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A Mathematica based Version of the CKMfitter Package

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42 Chapter 5. Probing <strong>the</strong> Standard Model<br />

The quality <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> agreement between <strong>the</strong> SM predictions and <strong>the</strong> experimental data<br />

, which is a<br />

can be obtained from <strong>the</strong> interpretation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> test statistics χ2 min,ymod<br />

probe <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> goodness-<strong>of</strong>-fit for <strong>the</strong> SM hypo<strong>the</strong>sis. The p-value P (χ2 min,ymod |SM)<br />

for <strong>the</strong> validity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Standard Model needs to be calculated using Toy Monte Carlo<br />

simulations [4]. Since this is beyond <strong>the</strong> scope <strong>of</strong> this <strong>the</strong>sis, an approximative<br />

method is chosen instead.<br />

Assuming naively a gaussian behavior <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> global likelihood function L(ymod) with<br />

Nd<strong>of</strong> = Nexp − Nmod = 6, <strong>the</strong> p-value can be approximately obtained from <strong>the</strong> Prob<br />

function, which is given in Equation (3.6). The global χ2-minimum <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Standard<br />

Global CKM Fit is:<br />

= 4.25 . (5.28)<br />

This leads to a p-value <strong>of</strong><br />

χ 2 min,ymod<br />

P (χ 2 min,ymod |SM) ≤ P rob(χ2min,ymod ) = 64.2 % (5.29)<br />

for <strong>the</strong> validity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Standard Model.<br />

The main contribution to <strong>the</strong> global χ 2 -minimum stems from <strong>the</strong> slight disagreement<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> measurements <strong>of</strong> |Vub| and sin 2β. The plots in Figure 5.5 show <strong>the</strong> SM<br />

prediction compared to <strong>the</strong> direct measurement for both observables, |Vub|incl. and<br />

sin 2β. In addition, <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Standard Global CKM Fit is shown.<br />

1 - CL<br />

1<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0<br />

CKM<br />

f i t t e r<br />

ICHEP 2006<br />

CKM fit<br />

prediction<br />

measurement<br />

0.0035 0.004 0.0045 0.005 0.0055<br />

| Vub | incl.<br />

1 - CL<br />

1<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

CKM<br />

f i t t e r<br />

ICHEP 2006<br />

CKM fit<br />

prediction<br />

measurement<br />

0<br />

0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1<br />

sin(2 β )<br />

Figure 5.5: Confidence level on |Vub|incl (left) and sin 2β (right) obtained from <strong>the</strong> Standard<br />

Global CKM Fit (blue curve), <strong>the</strong> SM predictions (red curve) and <strong>the</strong> direct measurements<br />

(green shaded).<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r possibility for <strong>the</strong> determination <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CKM matrix element |Vub| is provided<br />

by purely leptonic decays <strong>of</strong> charged B-mesons. Since <strong>the</strong> SM expectations for<br />

<strong>the</strong> corresponding branching fractions are ra<strong>the</strong>r small, only <strong>the</strong> decay B + → τ + ντ<br />

has been seen yet. Figure 5.6 shows <strong>the</strong> SM predictions from <strong>the</strong> Standard Global<br />

CKM Fit for B(B + → τ + ντ ) and B(B + → µ + νµ). In addition, <strong>the</strong> combined<br />

B + → τ + ντ measurement from BABAR and Belle and <strong>the</strong> corresponding fit result<br />

is shown.

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