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Thesis Re-print: Does Selling Fruits or Vegetables - Department of ...

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Growth in income and urban population shares have led to a situation where<br />

expenditure on fresh produce, meat and dairy products is rising m<strong>or</strong>e rapidly across<br />

developing countries than anywhere in the w<strong>or</strong>ld. In the long-run, as incomes rise, the<br />

income elasticity <strong>of</strong> demand f<strong>or</strong> food falls. This can be represented by comparing the<br />

relative income elasticities f<strong>or</strong> a variety <strong>of</strong> food groups in Mozambique to a higher-<br />

income country such as the United States, as is visually depicted in figure 4. The income<br />

elasticity f<strong>or</strong> a crop represents the percentage change in consumption f<strong>or</strong> a 1% rise in<br />

income. In every food categ<strong>or</strong>y, the income elasticity <strong>of</strong> demand in the U.S. is less than<br />

the respective elasticity in Mozambique, meaning that if those in the U.S. received 10%<br />

m<strong>or</strong>e in income, their spending on food would rise less in percentage terms than the<br />

respective expenditures <strong>of</strong> an average African. The reason f<strong>or</strong> this is intuitive: as<br />

incomes rise, prop<strong>or</strong>tionately less <strong>of</strong> one’s salary needs to be spent on items such as food,<br />

and can be designated to functions <strong>or</strong> items that are less vital <strong>or</strong> necessary to life: this is<br />

Engel’s Law. Bennett’s Law represents a similar and related concept which is also<br />

evidenced by the elasticity patterns in figure 4: as incomes rise, the types <strong>of</strong> foods that are<br />

consumed tend to transition from cheaper and <strong>of</strong>ten less nutritionally-rich goods such as<br />

grains, to “luxury” food items such as dairy, meat, and fresh produce. All <strong>of</strong> the latter<br />

food types have higher income elasticities than the elasticity f<strong>or</strong> cereal, which is actually<br />

negative in the case <strong>of</strong> the U.S. Given these two economic principles (Engel’s Law and<br />

Bennett’s Law) at w<strong>or</strong>k in lower-income developing countries such as Mozambique,<br />

expenditure on fresh produce is rising much m<strong>or</strong>e rapidly with increasing incomes in<br />

these countries than it is in m<strong>or</strong>e developed countries such as Europe and the U.S., and<br />

will continue to do so until incomes across the region are much higher.<br />

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