20.03.2013 Views

Valuation Techniques for Social Cost-Benefit Analysis: - HM Treasury

Valuation Techniques for Social Cost-Benefit Analysis: - HM Treasury

Valuation Techniques for Social Cost-Benefit Analysis: - HM Treasury

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

40<br />

illusion. Instead, respondents are simply asked to provide a subjective assessment of their overall<br />

well-being which is then matched with objective measures of the determinants of well-being<br />

and their exposure to the non-market good. Using panel data we can track the effects of a nonmarket<br />

good over time and there<strong>for</strong>e fully estimate the degree of adaptation. Furthermore,<br />

people are not required to have perfect in<strong>for</strong>mation about the good being valued and there is<br />

no (hypothetical) payment involved and so this solves <strong>for</strong> the problems related to the payment<br />

vehicle in stated preference techniques.<br />

If variables are measured accurately, increased consumption of a non-market good or service<br />

should show up in changes in well-being and thus values, there<strong>for</strong>e reducing the risk of<br />

insensitivity to scope. Although it has not been tested empirically, sub-additivity and sequencing<br />

effects should also logically disappear. The resulting value estimate will be calculated on the<br />

basis of how people are actually affected by the good over time.<br />

Finally, since the analyst in effect calculates the marginal rates of substitution between income<br />

and the non-market good there is no potential <strong>for</strong> errors to occur due to people‘s inability to<br />

convert subjective feelings and beliefs into a monetary scale.<br />

On the other hand, we have highlighted that contextual factors can have large effects on<br />

people‘s reported well-being and there may be biases inherent to the way that people report<br />

their well-being to the surveyor. This means that reported measures of well-being may be pick<br />

up highly irrelevant factors which would bias any estimated statistical relationship between life<br />

satisfaction and the variable of interest, say income or employment.<br />

The life satisfaction approach typically involves conducting econometric analysis in order to<br />

estimate the true causal effect of both income and the non-market good of interest on reported<br />

life satisfaction. For a number of reasons outlined above this is extremely challenging and often<br />

requires rich data sets and careful econometric analysis. Many of the valuations which have been<br />

generated so far are implausibly high. Most of the reasons <strong>for</strong> this are likely to have been<br />

addressed in this chapter. The approach is still very much in development in the academic<br />

literature.<br />

The robustness of a valuation generated by a given study using any of the three valuation<br />

methods, and there<strong>for</strong>e the appropriateness of including it in <strong>Social</strong> <strong>Cost</strong>-<strong>Benefit</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong>,<br />

should always be assessed on a case-by-case basis. However, given the relative infancy of<br />

approaches that utilise reports of life satisfaction to derive valuations, we suggest relatively more<br />

caution be exercised regarding this method. Instead, we recommend that the life satisfaction<br />

approach to valuation be currently regarded as a complement to the more standard preferencebased<br />

approaches, especially where good data on life satisfaction are available.<br />

Nevertheless, even when the valuations derived from a specific life satisfaction study cannot be<br />

considered robust enough <strong>for</strong> <strong>Social</strong> <strong>Cost</strong>-<strong>Benefit</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> due to the reasons outlined here, the<br />

valuations and their description can still be of value. It is likely that the study may still be able to<br />

indicate the approximate magnitude of an impact thereby allowing decision makers to refine the<br />

values that they may otherwise place implicitly on these impacts.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!