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LTBB Master Land Use Plan - Little Traverse Bay Bands of Odawa ...

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.<br />

Population Projections<br />

Carrying this reasoning one step further, we must look into the future. Population projections<br />

can be developed using many methods, however in rural areas such as Northern Michigan the<br />

simplest techniques will most likely produce the most accurate results. In addition, the choice <strong>of</strong><br />

method (in this case a straight-line progression) reflects that used by the State <strong>of</strong> Michigan for most<br />

purposes.<br />

As can be seen from Table 9, both Charlevoix and Emmet Counties can reasonably expect to see<br />

population increases near 10,000 persons over the next 25 to 30 years. Graph 7 illustrates the<br />

problem with this simple approach. In effect, the ratio <strong>of</strong> population distribution between the<br />

various units <strong>of</strong> government is permanently fixed, and so only total County population is accurately<br />

projected. Changes in population amongst the MCD’s are not accurately portrayed.<br />

Perhaps a better way to look at population distribution within a County is shown in Table 10.<br />

This method takes a 30-year historical snapshot <strong>of</strong> population in a jurisdiction, and essentially<br />

continues the trend that averages out, for that jurisdiction. Thus, it is more likely to show patterns <strong>of</strong><br />

change, i.e. population moving from one township to another. Graph 8 and Table 11 both display<br />

the result.<br />

HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS<br />

Housing in the area covered by this plan varies enormously in availability, cost, and quality<br />

throughout the Reservation area. The use <strong>of</strong> land for housing and shelter represents a significant<br />

proportion <strong>of</strong> all land uses in most areas. Generally, changes in statistical information related to<br />

housing and shelter mirror important changes in the character <strong>of</strong> an area. Therefore, the change in<br />

the number <strong>of</strong> housing units, percentage <strong>of</strong> owner-occupied units, or increases in building permit<br />

activity over time are all important factors that shape planning decisions.<br />

Dwelling Unit Percent Change 1990 – 2000<br />

Graph 9 is entitled “1855 <strong>LTBB</strong> Reservation <strong>Land</strong>s – Dwelling Unit % Change 1990-2000” and<br />

depicts the growth or decline in the actual number <strong>of</strong> dwelling units, by area municipality, between<br />

the 1990 Census and the 2000 Census. A dwelling unit can be a single-family house, a condominium<br />

unit, an apartment, or any other structure that can be permanently lived in. The source <strong>of</strong> this graph<br />

is shown as Table 12.<br />

This graph gives us a clear indication <strong>of</strong> which areas are experiencing the most residential growth<br />

pressure. Most importantly, however, when used in conjunction with other data on land use it gives<br />

us a good way to predict where residential development opportunities might exist in the near future.<br />

This can be seen further in Maps 7 through 10, which show the data evolving over time.<br />

Housing Characteristics Tabulation<br />

Related directly to the population demographics <strong>of</strong> an area are the characteristics <strong>of</strong> the housing<br />

base. The use <strong>of</strong> land for housing and shelter is a significant portion <strong>of</strong> all land uses in most areas.<br />

Generally, changes in statistical information related to housing and shelter mirror important changes<br />

in the character <strong>of</strong> an area. Officials and citizens alike cite the need for adequate housing, and for<br />

housing that matches the demographics <strong>of</strong> the area.<br />

15

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