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Abridged English version of the SCHUFA Credit Compass 2008

Abridged English version of the SCHUFA Credit Compass 2008

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i<br />

Reader help:<br />

18.9 percent <strong>of</strong> all<br />

18 to 24 year olds who<br />

wereconfronted with<br />

a situation <strong>of</strong> critical<br />

indebtedness or overindebtedness<br />

in 2002<br />

(red level) were able to<br />

reach <strong>the</strong> green level.<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

Change in <strong>the</strong> risk levels for young adults (ages 18-24)* from 2002 to 2007<br />

Percent<br />

green<br />

yellow<br />

orange<br />

red<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 3.2.2<br />

green yellow orange red<br />

* Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se individuals are no longer in <strong>the</strong> 18-24 age group in 2007<br />

The study <strong>of</strong> young adults (18 to 24 years old, chart 3.2.2) shows that critical financial situations<br />

are not necessarily self-reinforcing, even among <strong>the</strong> younger age groups. Between 2002 and<br />

2007 almost half <strong>of</strong> 18 to 24 year olds were able to move out <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> critical red level.<br />

An overwhelming majority <strong>of</strong> young adults (88.6 %) who had no negative indicators registered<br />

with <strong>SCHUFA</strong> in 2002 and thus were in <strong>the</strong> green risk level, also have no information <strong>of</strong> noncontractual<br />

behaviour five years later. At <strong>the</strong> same time, more than half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> young adults who<br />

were in <strong>the</strong> red level in 2002 have not left this critical situation by 2007. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore it can be<br />

seen that young adults previously in <strong>the</strong> orange level have more quickly arrived in <strong>the</strong> critical red<br />

risk level than <strong>the</strong> older age groups. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> young adults in <strong>the</strong> orange<br />

group is negligible, with around one percent in 2007 (cf. table 3.1.2). Altoge<strong>the</strong>r, both studies<br />

show that <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> individuals who were in <strong>the</strong> green level at <strong>the</strong> beginning <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> study<br />

period were still presenting no information about payment defaults five years later. In <strong>the</strong> same<br />

period around a fourth <strong>of</strong> people who found <strong>the</strong>mselves in a critical situation <strong>of</strong> indebtedness or<br />

over-indebtedness in 2002 saw <strong>the</strong>ir financial position stabilize and were able to reach <strong>the</strong> green<br />

level.<br />

Since development is fairly dynamic, critical financial situations do not always intensify and <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are ways out <strong>of</strong> even a critical financial situation; never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> evaluations show a ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

strong mobility toward <strong>the</strong> red level. There is a higher probability <strong>of</strong> moving into <strong>the</strong> red group<br />

from <strong>the</strong> yellow or orange levels than <strong>the</strong>re is from <strong>the</strong> green level.<br />

37

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