27.05.2013 Views

Abridged English version of the SCHUFA Credit Compass 2008

Abridged English version of the SCHUFA Credit Compass 2008

Abridged English version of the SCHUFA Credit Compass 2008

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Debt <strong>Compass</strong><br />

Empirical Indicators <strong>of</strong> Private Debt<br />

and Over-indebtedness<br />

Published by <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG


<strong>2008</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong><br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong><br />

Empirical Indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> Private Debt<br />

and Over-indebtedness<br />

(<strong>Abridged</strong> Version)<br />

Published by <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG


Contents<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Contents<br />

Foreword 7<br />

I Overview <strong>of</strong> Analyses and Core Findings 8<br />

II Retrospective Glance: Debt <strong>Compass</strong> 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 13<br />

A Representative Evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Data<br />

(<strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG)<br />

A-1: Basic Analysis 19<br />

1. Trends in Private Debt 22<br />

2. Regional Evaluations 30<br />

3. Risk Model 33<br />

A-2: Private Debt Index (PDI) 49<br />

1. Design <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI 51<br />

2. Regional Evaluations 35<br />

– Evaluation by Federal State<br />

– Evaluation by District<br />

– Evaluation <strong>of</strong> Cities<br />

3. Forecast 2009 61<br />

4. Tabular Overviews 64<br />

3


List <strong>of</strong> Abbreviations<br />

ALG Unemployment benefit (Arbeitslosengeld)<br />

GDP Gross domestic product<br />

BSHG Federal Social Assistance Act (Bundessozialhilfegesetz)<br />

DIW German Institute for Economic Research (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung)<br />

EU-SILC European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions<br />

EV Oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure (Eidesstattliche Versicherung)<br />

EVS Sample survey <strong>of</strong> income and expenditure (Einkommens- und Verbraucherstichprobe)<br />

HLU Social assistance (Hilfe zum Lebensunterhalt)<br />

IJF Institute for Youth Research (Institut für Jugendforschung)<br />

InsO Insolvency Act (Insolvenzordnung)<br />

OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development<br />

PDI Private Debt Index<br />

<strong>SCHUFA</strong> Schutzgemeinschaft für allgemeine Kreditsicherung<br />

SGB Code <strong>of</strong> Social Law (Sozialgesetzbuch)<br />

SOEP The German Socio-Economic Panel Study (Sozio-oekonomisches Panel)<br />

Tab. Table<br />

ZPO Code <strong>of</strong> Civil Procedure (Zivilprozessordnung)<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | List <strong>of</strong> Abbreviations<br />

5


Foreword<br />

Dear reader,<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Foreword<br />

The <strong>2008</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong> appeared in <strong>the</strong> middle <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> global credit and financial crisis, which<br />

many economists and historians are calling <strong>the</strong> deepest downturn since 1929. The crisis is<br />

believed to have originated in <strong>the</strong> United States, where mortgages were granted to people with<br />

little creditworthiness. The commercial downturn in <strong>the</strong> U.S., which began around 2005, and<br />

<strong>the</strong> subsequent increase <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S. prime rate set <strong>of</strong>f a chain reaction. Low-income borrowers<br />

could no longer make <strong>the</strong> mounting payments for <strong>the</strong>ir variable interest rate loans with much<br />

shorter terms.<br />

The failures in <strong>the</strong> U.S. mortgage market have clearly demonstrated that responsible lending<br />

and reliable credit information not only protect lending agencies from payment defaults, but<br />

also consumers from over-indebtedness.<br />

With <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong> – now in its sixth year <strong>of</strong> publication – it is becoming clear that lenders<br />

in Germany are acting cautiously. This is compounded by <strong>the</strong> communication system between<br />

lenders and borrowers within <strong>the</strong> German credit industry and reliable creditworthiness information.<br />

The average default rate for consumer credit recorded in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio has been<br />

relatively stable for many years (2007: 2.5 %), with an increase <strong>of</strong> about one half <strong>of</strong> a percentage<br />

point since 2003. The number <strong>of</strong> over-indebted private households has also been at a constant<br />

level for years (2003: 2.8 million and 2007: 2.8 million after a temporary increase to 3.0 million).<br />

Since <strong>the</strong> first edition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong>, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals for whom SHUFA has<br />

only recorded information concerning contractually compliant behaviour has remained consistent<br />

at over 90 percent. For <strong>the</strong>se individuals <strong>the</strong>re is no evidence <strong>of</strong> critical debt levels or a high<br />

occurrence <strong>of</strong> payment defaults.<br />

But since <strong>the</strong> German economy will be affected by <strong>the</strong> economic crisis, <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> which is<br />

not yet known, fur<strong>the</strong>r developments remain to be seen. The prognoses <strong>of</strong> SHUFA for 2009 do<br />

not presently forecast any serious increase <strong>of</strong> critical over-indebtedness on a nationwide scale.<br />

Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> relatively stable position <strong>of</strong> indebtedness and over-indebtedness in Germany<br />

that has been apparent for many years should not lead people to twiddle <strong>the</strong>ir thumbs. On <strong>the</strong><br />

contrary, it is essential that we remain active in our efforts to investigate <strong>the</strong> phenomenon <strong>of</strong><br />

over-indebtedness, and to develop preventative approaches. With its Debt <strong>Compass</strong>, <strong>SCHUFA</strong><br />

will continue to make a contribution to <strong>the</strong>se objectives.<br />

I wish you informative reading<br />

Rainer Neumann<br />

Chairman <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> board <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG<br />

7


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Overview <strong>of</strong> Analyses and Core Findings<br />

8<br />

I Overview <strong>of</strong> Analyses and Core Findings<br />

In order to identify reliable trends, relative and objective indicators will be examined with <strong>the</strong> Debt<br />

<strong>Compass</strong> as a platform for over-indebtedness research. These indicators are measurable, representative<br />

for <strong>the</strong> entire population <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Federal Republic <strong>of</strong> Germany, and can be regularly collected<br />

as an extension <strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong>ficial social reporting.<br />

Judging <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> private over-indebtedness solely on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> private insolvency cases<br />

(absolute over-indebtedness) is inadequate. Relative and absolute private over-indebtedness have<br />

mostly developing natures, for which <strong>the</strong> delivery <strong>of</strong> an affidavit or <strong>the</strong> initiation <strong>of</strong> a private insolvency<br />

proceeding represent merely <strong>the</strong> endpoints – inability to pay or over-indebtedness. The<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> examines <strong>the</strong> critical junctures <strong>of</strong> indebtedness. Against this background, <strong>SCHUFA</strong><br />

has developed a risk model with various “risk levels”. At <strong>the</strong> same time, this model is <strong>the</strong> basis<br />

for <strong>the</strong> design <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Private Debt Index (PDI). The PDI shows in which geographical regions <strong>the</strong><br />

critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt have grown especially strongly.<br />

As publisher <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong> research platform, <strong>SCHUFA</strong> presents five analyses in <strong>the</strong><br />

current <strong>2008</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong>: <strong>the</strong> analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data (Sub-Analyses A-1 and A-2) containing<br />

examinations <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> its total data portfolio <strong>of</strong> information<br />

on approximately 65 million individuals over 18 years old. This comes close to a complete census.<br />

Analyses B, C, D and E are all external studies which are totally independent <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> and its<br />

data. None <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> findings in <strong>the</strong> external Analyses are findings or conclusions <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong>, but<br />

are exclusively <strong>the</strong> findings, pronouncements or position papers <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> authors or <strong>the</strong> involved<br />

agencies and institutes which are cited in each case.<br />

Analysis A:<br />

Representative evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data<br />

The current <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio includes around 433 million data records from around<br />

65 million native adults in Germany. Differentiated by age group, county and Federal State,<br />

<strong>the</strong> data was made anonymous for <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong>, thus allowing for statistical reporting<br />

on <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> instalment loans, loan defaults and payment defaults reported by clients.<br />

The four risk levels, which are intended to depict <strong>the</strong> procedural nature <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness,<br />

are an attempt to ascertain <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> individuals who are over-indebted or at risk <strong>of</strong><br />

becoming over-indebted.<br />

The Private Debt Index developed by <strong>SCHUFA</strong> gives an overview <strong>of</strong> how strongly critical indicators<br />

for private debt appear in various regions <strong>of</strong> Germany. Moreover, it forecasts how <strong>the</strong> individual<br />

regions will develop to <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2009. This prognosis on <strong>the</strong> Federal State and county level is<br />

unique in <strong>the</strong> field <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness research.


Core Findings<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Overview <strong>of</strong> Analyses and Core Findings<br />

The condition <strong>of</strong> private debt and over-indebtedness in Germany presents itself in <strong>the</strong> years<br />

2005 through 2007 as relatively stabile. Even given <strong>the</strong> forecast for 2009, up to now no<br />

critical development are expected.<br />

The <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Private Debt Index (PDI) remained static in <strong>2008</strong> (reporting date <strong>of</strong> 06-30-<strong>2008</strong>)<br />

with respect to <strong>the</strong> previous year. Compared to 2007, in <strong>the</strong> middle <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong> five Federal States<br />

exhibit a slight decline (improvement) <strong>of</strong> PDI, eight a slight rise (worsening) and three Federal<br />

States exhibit no change <strong>of</strong> PDI.<br />

The current calculations <strong>of</strong> PDI for all 429 counties show that over-indebtedness risks <strong>of</strong> private<br />

individuals are not accumulating in any particular region <strong>of</strong> Germany. The current forecast shows<br />

a PDI decline in 186 counties, an increase in 218 counties and no change in 25 counties.<br />

The percentage for individuals, for whom information is available to <strong>SCHUFA</strong> only regarding<br />

contractual payments, lies above 90 percent once again (91.8 %) for <strong>the</strong> year 2007.<br />

The current average credit obligations (remaining debt) in <strong>the</strong> area <strong>of</strong> consumer credit is 8,078<br />

Euro in 2007, nearly unchanged in comparison to <strong>the</strong> previous year (8,087 Euro in 2006).<br />

Even failed consumer credit as a percentage <strong>of</strong> all loans is moving at a relatively stable pace,<br />

with an average <strong>of</strong> 2.5 percent showing only a minimal increase (2005: 2.3 % and 2006: 2.4 %).<br />

Thus in 2007 more than 97 percent <strong>of</strong> all loans were attended upon according to contract.<br />

The maximum failure rate lay in <strong>the</strong> age group <strong>of</strong> 25- to 29-year-olds at 3.3 percent.<br />

The growth rate <strong>of</strong> individuals with hard negative indicators (e.g. information concerning <strong>the</strong><br />

delivery <strong>of</strong> an affidavit or ongoing consumer insolvency proceedings) is decreasing in nearly all<br />

age groups. In <strong>the</strong> younger age groups, <strong>the</strong>y have actually decreased somewhat.<br />

9


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Overview <strong>of</strong> Analyses and Core Findings<br />

10<br />

EXTERNAL ANALYSES<br />

Analysis B:<br />

Evaluation <strong>of</strong> debt advisor data<br />

The Statistische Bundesamt (Federal Statistical Office Germany) has organized voluntary overindebtedness<br />

statistics since reporting year 2006, in order to fur<strong>the</strong>r develop social reporting data<br />

records. The statistics presented in <strong>the</strong> excerpts draw on data from debt advisory services as well<br />

as figures from <strong>of</strong>ficial insolvency statistics. Although individuals who visit a debt advisory service<br />

need not be over-indebted, never<strong>the</strong>less this survey can clearly improve data records regarding<br />

<strong>the</strong> situation <strong>of</strong> individuals and households who are in financial difficulties or even over-indebted.<br />

In reporting year 2007, 212 (<strong>of</strong> 950) advisory services in Germany have taken part in <strong>the</strong> voluntary<br />

survey and supplied anonymized details for approximately 57,000 individuals. The analysis<br />

yields information about <strong>the</strong> triggers <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness and about <strong>the</strong> group <strong>of</strong> people that<br />

is most likely to be affected by over-indebtedness. In addition, it examines <strong>the</strong> socio-economic<br />

patterns <strong>of</strong> individuals who sought advice, as well as <strong>the</strong> average amount <strong>of</strong> indebtedness.<br />

Core Findings<br />

From 1999 to <strong>the</strong> present, nearly 500,000 consumers have filed for insolvency hoping to overcome<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir financial difficulties. The number <strong>of</strong> proceedings rose from year to year up to approximately<br />

105,000 petitions in 2007, <strong>of</strong> which only a few were rejected. At year's end in 2007<br />

and in <strong>the</strong> first half <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong>, however, a slowdown became apparent for <strong>the</strong> first time since <strong>the</strong><br />

implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1999 Isolvenzordnung (German Insolvency Act). 48,000 consumer insolvencies<br />

were granted in <strong>the</strong> first half <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong>, 7 percent fewer than <strong>the</strong> previous year. Debts<br />

averaged 59,000 Euro, roughly a third <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> average sum for 2001. In 2007, 41 percent <strong>of</strong> individuals<br />

who sought debt advice were less than 10,000 Euro in arrears to <strong>the</strong>ir creditors. Just<br />

short <strong>of</strong> 8 percent <strong>of</strong> individuals who sought advice had debt levels that exceeded 100,000 Euro.<br />

Among individuals who nei<strong>the</strong>r had mortgage loans nor were independent <strong>of</strong> debt, just under<br />

half <strong>of</strong> all debts were to banks in <strong>the</strong> form <strong>of</strong> overdraft credit or instalment loans. Following far<br />

behind were debts to collection agencies (12 %), to public creditors (7 %), to private individuals<br />

(4 %) and to landlords (4 %). A fur<strong>the</strong>r cause is uneconomical household management (9 %),<br />

among which failed home loans were cited only in relatively few cases (4 %) as <strong>the</strong> leading cause<br />

<strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness.<br />

Analysis C:<br />

Trend in <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> over-indebted private households in 2007<br />

Over-indebtedness analyst Gunter E. Zimmermann analyzes <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> relatively over-indebted<br />

households on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> data from <strong>the</strong> 2007 Sozio-oekonomische Panel (SOEP) (The German<br />

Socio-Economic Panel) and demonstrates <strong>the</strong> trend <strong>of</strong> private over-indebtedness in Germany from<br />

1997 to 2007. It is emphasized that <strong>the</strong> SOEP data are representative for <strong>the</strong> entire population<br />

and <strong>the</strong> analysis does not rest on private insolvency alone. A distinction is made between overindebtedness<br />

on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> consumer debt and/or mortgage loans. In addition upper and lower<br />

limit <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness is described, in order to emphasize that <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> over-indebted<br />

private households depends on <strong>the</strong> definition: depending on whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> living is based<br />

on social assistance rates (lower limit <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness) or on <strong>the</strong> rates used for exemptions<br />

from attachment (upper limits <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness), different total numbers <strong>of</strong> over-indebted<br />

households in Germany are generated.


Core Findings<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Overview <strong>of</strong> Analyses and Core Findings<br />

The number <strong>of</strong> relatively over-indebted private households with consumer debt and/or mortgage<br />

loans has slightly diminished, from 2.9 million in 2006 to 2.8 million in 2007. The number <strong>of</strong><br />

relatively over-indebted private households with consumer debt only, and with living expenses<br />

measured according to <strong>the</strong> rates used for exemptions from attachment, has remained about <strong>the</strong><br />

same compared to 2006 with around 1.6 million households nationwide. When <strong>the</strong> measurement<br />

<strong>of</strong> relatively over-indebted households is not based on <strong>the</strong> exemption from attachment rates, but<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r on <strong>the</strong> social assistance rates, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> relatively over-indebted households in 2007<br />

changes to 970,000. In <strong>the</strong> previous year, <strong>the</strong> total was 930,000 households, although <strong>the</strong> increase<br />

is partly due to <strong>the</strong> emendation by <strong>the</strong> Statistische Bundesamt in 2007 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong><br />

private households in Germany.<br />

Analysis D:<br />

Poverty and over-indebtedness<br />

This comparative study by Gunter E. Zimmermann on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> data from <strong>the</strong> 2007 SOEP<br />

dealt with over-indebtedness <strong>of</strong> households that are income-poor or at risk <strong>of</strong> poverty.<br />

The central questions are: What is poverty and how should it be measured? Are households in<br />

danger <strong>of</strong> poverty commonly in debt or over-indebted? In which income groups is <strong>the</strong>re a disproportionately<br />

high risk <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness? What are <strong>the</strong> characteristics <strong>of</strong> households that<br />

are in danger <strong>of</strong> poverty or over-indebted?<br />

For an analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> connections and/or <strong>the</strong> possible reciprocal effects between poverty and<br />

over-indebtedness, <strong>the</strong> analyst differentiates households according to <strong>the</strong>ir income levels:<br />

1. Households whose household income (before debt) is less than <strong>the</strong> proportionate limits for<br />

exemption from attachment.<br />

2. Households which are designated as income-poor or at risk <strong>of</strong> poverty, according to <strong>the</strong><br />

EU standard.<br />

3. Households with a net income over <strong>the</strong> limit for exemption from attachment (and <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

not income-poor), whose disposable income after subtracting payment obligations from debts<br />

fall under <strong>the</strong> limit for income-poor poverty.<br />

Core Findings<br />

There isn't “<strong>the</strong>” definition, ei<strong>the</strong>r for poverty or over-indebtedness, since necessity always<br />

demands that normative value judgments slip into <strong>the</strong> definition. Poverty or over-indebtedness<br />

are present if <strong>the</strong> net income <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant parties (less <strong>the</strong> payment obligations from debts, in<br />

<strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness) falls below a socio-politically defined (normative) subsistence level,<br />

whereas legislators in Germany have given greatly varying definitions for <strong>the</strong> subsistence level<br />

for poverty and over-indebtedness. Private households whose net income lies under <strong>the</strong> limits for<br />

exemption from attachment, as well as private households at risk <strong>of</strong> poverty or income-poor, are<br />

nei<strong>the</strong>r more commonly nor less commonly indebted than o<strong>the</strong>r income groups. This indicates<br />

11


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Overview <strong>of</strong> Analyses and Core Findings<br />

12<br />

that fundamentally every income group in Germany has access to credit. Certainly among private<br />

households with consumer credit, <strong>the</strong> portion <strong>of</strong> over-indebted households that are at risk <strong>of</strong><br />

poverty or income-poor is disproportionately high. 26 percent <strong>of</strong> all over-indebted households<br />

with consumer credit (upper limit for over-indebtedness) are income-poor. Nearly three-fourths<br />

<strong>of</strong> households that are over-indebted and<br />

Analysis E:<br />

Is <strong>the</strong> impoverished population in Germany excluded?<br />

The analysts Petra Buhr and Stephan Leibfried give an overview <strong>of</strong> concepts in poverty research<br />

and specifications <strong>of</strong> income poverty. They pursue <strong>the</strong> question <strong>of</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r poverty inevitably<br />

leads to social exclusion. Among o<strong>the</strong>r things, <strong>the</strong> analysis discusses “consistent poverty”, by<br />

which is meant <strong>the</strong> coincidence <strong>of</strong> income poverty with shortages in many o<strong>the</strong>r areas <strong>of</strong> life.<br />

While consistent poverty is an indicator for exclusion processes, <strong>the</strong>re are inconsistent conditions<br />

that cross <strong>the</strong> boundaries between poverty and non-poverty.<br />

Core Findings<br />

There are partial and intermittent exclusions as well as blurred transitions between poverty and<br />

non-poverty. This speaks for a gradational, gradual and dynamic concept <strong>of</strong> exclusion and against<br />

a sharp dividing line between “inside” and “outside”. Even if <strong>the</strong> mobility <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> impoverished<br />

population has lessened in recent years and smaller rises are more common than larger ones,<br />

poverty is not a consistently self-reinforcing process with no way out. The majority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> poor,<br />

even if <strong>the</strong>y are poor for a long time, actively cope with <strong>the</strong>ir situation, have <strong>the</strong> prospect <strong>of</strong><br />

escape and retain <strong>the</strong> ability to act. In this respect <strong>the</strong> “connectivity” to non-poverty, normal<br />

biography and normal conduct <strong>of</strong> life is preserved even with long-term poverty.


2003 Debt <strong>Compass</strong><br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Retrospective Glance<br />

II Retrospective Glance:<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007<br />

The first Debt <strong>Compass</strong> published in November <strong>of</strong> 2003 was <strong>the</strong> start <strong>of</strong> an analysis series to be<br />

updated and continually expanded on an annual basis. “The Debt <strong>Compass</strong> has been designed<br />

to contribute to a better understanding <strong>of</strong> credit-based activities, show new orientation opportunities<br />

in <strong>the</strong> German credit landscape and encourage fur<strong>the</strong>r research initiatives”, said Hans-Peter<br />

Krämer, former Chairman <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Supervisory Board <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG and Rainer Neumann,<br />

Chairman <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Executive Board <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG.<br />

As a credit facilitator and credit accelerator, and as an institution with more than 80 years <strong>of</strong><br />

tradition, <strong>SCHUFA</strong> considers <strong>the</strong> enhancement <strong>of</strong> research into <strong>the</strong> causes <strong>of</strong> private over-indebtedness<br />

its duty. The anonymous analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolios is intended to contribute<br />

to making <strong>the</strong> public discussion more objective in order to also derive preventive aspects.<br />

The studies from <strong>the</strong> first period <strong>of</strong> observation from 1999 to 2002 concerning payment and loan<br />

defaults showed that <strong>the</strong>re had not been any significant increase in payment and loan defaults<br />

in any <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> age groups or counties. It was still possible, however, to establish marked payment<br />

defaults, especially in <strong>the</strong> younger age groups, in individual regions as well as in <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong><br />

smaller loans and in <strong>the</strong> telecommunications industry. The central task was thus to check in <strong>the</strong><br />

subsequent years how <strong>the</strong> observed findings and trends would change.<br />

It became clear in <strong>the</strong> discussion that over-indebtedness always involved payment defaults, but<br />

one payment problem did not necessarily mean over-indebtedness. This led to a number <strong>of</strong><br />

different questions. To what extent is <strong>the</strong> payment default an indication <strong>of</strong> temporary or permanent<br />

liquidity problems? What factors have an influence on <strong>the</strong> payment defaults <strong>of</strong> private<br />

individuals, and what instruments or indicator bundles are appropriate for establishing <strong>the</strong> overindebtedness<br />

situation <strong>of</strong> private German households? The large degree <strong>of</strong> interest within <strong>the</strong><br />

wider public has illustrated <strong>the</strong> necessity <strong>of</strong> an interdisciplinary dialogue between experts in order<br />

to obtain <strong>the</strong> most complex and objective picture possible <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> private over-indebtedness in<br />

Germany.<br />

13


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Retrospective Glance<br />

14<br />

2004 Debt <strong>Compass</strong><br />

The numerous requests from <strong>the</strong> public, practitioners and researchers received by <strong>SCHUFA</strong> since<br />

<strong>the</strong> publication <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> first Debt <strong>Compass</strong> has encouraged <strong>SCHUFA</strong> to fur<strong>the</strong>r differentiate and<br />

expand <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong>. It became clear as early on as during <strong>the</strong> preliminary work on <strong>the</strong> first<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> that many sub-aspects would have to be taken into account on a broad data basis<br />

to be able to more comprehensibly understand private debt and over-indebtedness. The central<br />

task for <strong>the</strong> 2004 Debt <strong>Compass</strong> was thus to supplement <strong>the</strong> previous customary indicators <strong>of</strong><br />

private over-indebtedness more broadly.<br />

The <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio was made anonymous and evaluated statistically with respect to<br />

<strong>the</strong> loans, defaults on loans and payment defaults reported by clients. The interactive map <strong>of</strong><br />

Germany with geographical peculiarities concerning debt and a risk model to differentiate<br />

between risk levels and degrees debt and over-indebtedness was developed for <strong>the</strong> first time.<br />

Developments concerning <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> credit, payment defaults and risk groups could be<br />

presented clearly and on a national level.<br />

On <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r representative studies, additional perspectives from over-indebtedness<br />

research were taken into account. Gunter E. Zimmermann employed <strong>the</strong> term over-indebtedness<br />

on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Attachment Schedule and <strong>the</strong> Federal Social Assistance Act. The market<br />

research institute MANAGEMENT consult collected information on risk situations in representative<br />

household interviews on <strong>the</strong> topic <strong>of</strong> how to deal with private loans. Winfried Hacker introduced<br />

loan servicing self-management as a central category to examine ways out <strong>of</strong> debt. The international<br />

comparison by Udo Reifner and Helga Springeneer helped to categorize <strong>the</strong> analyses<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong> on a global level.


2005 Debt <strong>Compass</strong><br />

Schulden-Kompass | Rückblick<br />

With <strong>the</strong> continual, anonymous, full collection <strong>of</strong> data and <strong>the</strong> testing <strong>of</strong> new research approaches,<br />

<strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong> expanded debt and over-indebtedness statistics from Germany to include<br />

reliable indicators. The Debt <strong>Compass</strong> has established itself as basic research and orientation tool<br />

in research, politics and <strong>the</strong> lending industry.<br />

The third edition allowed for statements on trends over a longer period <strong>of</strong> three years. It was<br />

observed that <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> defaulted instalment loans with respect to all current borrowings<br />

had increased across <strong>the</strong> board form 2002 to 2004. The rate <strong>of</strong> default was low in all <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> three<br />

years, however, at a maximum <strong>of</strong> 2.8 %. Approximately 2.6 million <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 62 million individuals<br />

registered in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio may be classified as being in risk <strong>of</strong> over?indebtedness<br />

or as being over-indebted because hard negative indicators such as <strong>the</strong> delivery <strong>of</strong> an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure<br />

(Eidesstattliche Versicherung = EV) or <strong>the</strong> initiation <strong>of</strong> personal insolvency proceedings<br />

(PI) existed.<br />

In supplement to <strong>the</strong> analyses <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> preceding years, context indicators specific to individuals<br />

and households were included in external studies in order to form a broader circle <strong>of</strong> indicators<br />

and to be able to make more representative statements on <strong>the</strong> social pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> indebted and<br />

over?indebtedness individuals and households. Udo Reifner and Gunter E. Zimmermann have<br />

studied context indicators on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Sozio-oekonomisches Panel (The German Socio-<br />

Economic Panel) with more than 12,000 households and just under 24,000 data records and<br />

300 data records by <strong>the</strong> Debt Counselling Centres in Hamburg and Wilhelmshaven using CAWIN<br />

s<strong>of</strong>tware.<br />

It became clear that <strong>the</strong>re is no such thing as “<strong>the</strong>” person who is in debt or is over-indebted.<br />

The social pr<strong>of</strong>iles, that is, <strong>the</strong> characteristic features <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> people in question are too diverse.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> analyses showed that <strong>the</strong> economic community and <strong>the</strong> position <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> indebted<br />

individuals within a household are central factors for determining whe<strong>the</strong>r a debt process<br />

will lead to over-indebtedness.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r emphasis in 2005 was an extensive evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> debt and over-indebtedness <strong>of</strong><br />

young adults between <strong>the</strong> ages <strong>of</strong> 18 to 24 because debt and over-indebtedness seem to be<br />

increasing amongst young adults, according to information from <strong>the</strong> Debt Counselling Centres.<br />

The extent to which debt in young adults can trigger <strong>the</strong> risks <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness or <strong>the</strong> start<br />

<strong>of</strong> a “career in over-indebtedness” was examined. In a pilot study, Dieter Korczak demonstrated<br />

<strong>the</strong> connections between one’s family origins and <strong>the</strong> later occurrence <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness on<br />

<strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> detailed debt biographies <strong>of</strong> young adults.<br />

15


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Retrospective Glance<br />

16<br />

2006 Debt <strong>Compass</strong><br />

In 2006, for <strong>the</strong> first time, <strong>SCHUFA</strong> developed <strong>the</strong> so-called Private Debt Index (PDI). As a statistical<br />

key figure, <strong>the</strong> PDI measures <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt in Germany’s<br />

16 federal states and 439 counties.<br />

Calculations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI for Germany in 2005 show a total increase <strong>of</strong> 4.1 percent. It was clear,<br />

however, that compared to previous years’ increase <strong>of</strong> 6.6 percent between 2003 and 2005,<br />

<strong>the</strong> increase between 2005 and 2006 was, with 2.5 percentage points, significantly lower.<br />

On <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> socio-economic panel (SOEP), Gunter E. Zimmermann calculated in an external<br />

analysis <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> over-indebted households with consumer loans and mortgages in<br />

Germany. This analysis showed a total <strong>of</strong> about 3 million over-indebted households. Compared<br />

to <strong>the</strong> previous year, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> households thus remained at a constant level. In <strong>the</strong> analysis<br />

based on those households that were over-indebted with consumer loans alone, however, <strong>the</strong>re<br />

was a significant decrease. Here, in 2005, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> households that were over-indebted as<br />

a result <strong>of</strong> consumer loans was between 1.0 million and 1.9 million whereas in 2004 <strong>the</strong> total<br />

was between 1.3 million and 2.9 million households.<br />

With an external pilot study from <strong>the</strong> Berlin Institute for Social Research (BIS) and on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>the</strong><br />

2006 pre-test, served as an initial analysis for <strong>the</strong> SOEP 2006 <strong>the</strong> debt indicators were expanded<br />

through <strong>the</strong> addition <strong>of</strong> subjective evaluations. In addition to <strong>the</strong> usual social data (age, sex, education,<br />

way <strong>of</strong> life, etc.) personality characteristics were tested along with o<strong>the</strong>r s<strong>of</strong>t indicators<br />

(account overdraft, length <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> account overdraft, etc.) which could indicate problems in handling<br />

money. The study determined, among o<strong>the</strong>r things, that <strong>the</strong>re is no connection between<br />

household income and account overdrafts. 1 According to <strong>the</strong> BIS, an important element for overcoming<br />

difficult financial situations is social integration.<br />

The Institute for Youth Research supplemented <strong>the</strong> analyses <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong> 2005 on young<br />

adults (18 to 24 years <strong>of</strong> age) with a study on <strong>the</strong> debt behaviour <strong>of</strong> youths (10 to 17 years <strong>of</strong><br />

age). The Youth Study attests to a greater amount <strong>of</strong> financial competence for <strong>the</strong> 1,000 interviewees<br />

than had been suspected. Particularly positive were <strong>the</strong> findings on saving behaviour.<br />

84 percent <strong>of</strong> those interviewed had saved an average <strong>of</strong> EUR 1,000. It was also interesting that<br />

<strong>the</strong> debt <strong>of</strong> those youths interviewed was independent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir social situation.<br />

1 Today <strong>the</strong> Institute for Youth Research is part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Synovate market research group and is called Synovate Kids + Teens.


2007 Debt <strong>Compass</strong><br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | Retrospective Glance<br />

The focus <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong> 2007 was on trends related to <strong>the</strong> Private Debt Index (PDI).<br />

The PDI is an instrument that provides information on how critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt in<br />

Germany are developing. According to <strong>the</strong> index, from <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2006 until <strong>the</strong> first half <strong>of</strong><br />

2007, ten federal states showed a PDI decrease. This means that, in <strong>the</strong>se federal states, <strong>the</strong><br />

critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt have decreased. At <strong>the</strong> county level too, a fall in <strong>the</strong> PDI was<br />

observed in <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> counties.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong> 2007, <strong>SCHUFA</strong> calculated a forecast <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI as <strong>of</strong> December 31, <strong>2008</strong><br />

at national and county levels. While in <strong>the</strong> overall national average 2007 as compared to <strong>the</strong><br />

previous year a stagnation in <strong>the</strong> critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt was observed, <strong>the</strong> forecast for<br />

<strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong> signalled, for <strong>the</strong> first time, a decrease in <strong>the</strong> PDI. Over-indebtedness researcher<br />

Gunter E. Zimmermann investigated, in an external analysis on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> data from<br />

<strong>the</strong> Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) 2006 <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> over-indebted private households in<br />

Germany. He was able to show that <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> households affected by over-indebtedness<br />

with consumer loans and/or mortgages in 2006 was 2.9 million. This corresponds to a 7.3 percent<br />

share <strong>of</strong> all households. It was possible to show that – ins<strong>of</strong>ar as only <strong>the</strong> debt from consumer<br />

loans is concerned – in 2006 <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> over-indebted private households decreased<br />

to about 1.6 million and <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> all households decreased to 4.2 percent.<br />

In ano<strong>the</strong>r external study, scientists Wolfram Backert and Götz Lechner described <strong>the</strong> socio-demographic<br />

background <strong>of</strong> people in consumer insolvency proceedings as well as <strong>the</strong> causes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

over-indebtedness. Their analysis, on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> a primary survey with over 1,600 persons who<br />

had filed for private insolvency, showed that insolvent persons are nei<strong>the</strong>r better nor worse education<br />

than <strong>the</strong> rest <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population. When asked, <strong>the</strong> main reasons given for <strong>the</strong> insolvency<br />

were unemployment, loss <strong>of</strong> financial overview as well as separation/divorce. The loss <strong>of</strong> financial<br />

overview was a surprising result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cause research.<br />

As a result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> deepening discussion that <strong>the</strong> debt compass intensifies year for year with<br />

<strong>the</strong> expert public, it has become particularly clear that private over-indebtedness cannot be put<br />

at <strong>the</strong> same level as <strong>the</strong> submission <strong>of</strong> an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure (Eidesstattliche Versicherung = EV)<br />

or private insolvency. Because over-indebtedness starts before one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> hard negative indicators<br />

is reached, consumers registered on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> private insolvency statistics make up only<br />

a small part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> over-indebted population. Overdue payments can also not be equated with<br />

over-indebtedness. Since over-indebtedness, or <strong>the</strong> threat <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness, is <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong><br />

an entire range <strong>of</strong> factors and life situations, it remains a matter <strong>of</strong> systemizing <strong>the</strong> complex<br />

connections so that <strong>the</strong>y can <strong>the</strong>n be measured.<br />

17


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-1 | Content<br />

Analysis A:<br />

Representative Evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Data<br />

<strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG<br />

Sub-Analysis A-1: Basic Analysis<br />

1. Trends in Private Debt 22<br />

2. Regional Evaluations 30<br />

3. Risk model 33<br />

3.1 Risk model and indicators <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk levels<br />

3.2 Development <strong>of</strong> risk levels from 2002 to 2007<br />

3.3 Regional view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk levels – All private individuals<br />

3.4 Regional view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk levels – Young adults<br />

19


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-1 | Introduction<br />

20<br />

Introduction<br />

Over-indebtedness research in Germany lacks national, representative data acquisition to cover<br />

private debt and over-indebtedness. Because regular and full collection is impossible, <strong>the</strong> findings<br />

that have so far been obtained in Germany result from a variety <strong>of</strong> diverse data sources and research<br />

approaches. In parts only based on data from debt counsellors or debt collection bureaus,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y merely reflect a section <strong>of</strong> private situations <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness.<br />

Moreover, statements on over-indebtedness <strong>of</strong> private households have so far only been possible<br />

based on projections. As a result, <strong>the</strong> figures on over-indebtedness partly vary and give rise<br />

to different interpretations. That is why <strong>SCHUFA</strong>, with a representative data portfolio <strong>of</strong> around<br />

65 million adult individuals and 433 data sets <strong>of</strong> credit relevant information, makes a singular<br />

contribution to <strong>the</strong> current reporting on private over-indebtedness in Germany.<br />

Analyses based on individuals: important supplement to over-indebtedness research<br />

While <strong>the</strong> public discussion about private over-indebtedness primarily focuses on private households,<br />

<strong>SCHUFA</strong>’s analyses place <strong>the</strong> emphasis on trends in critical debt situations <strong>of</strong> adult individuals.<br />

The focus on private individuals is important as <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> single-person households<br />

is relatively high at around 38 percent and continually increases.<br />

In addition, any private individual with critical debt carries this financial burden into a multipleperson<br />

household. It is all <strong>the</strong> more important to be able to present a picture <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> debt trends<br />

<strong>of</strong> private individuals. The data portfolio used to calculate <strong>the</strong> analyses is nearly a full collection.<br />

Statements on over-indebtedness <strong>of</strong> private households, however, have so far only been possible<br />

based on projections.<br />

Over-indebtedness situations are caused by a combination <strong>of</strong> numerous factors. Companies connected<br />

to <strong>SCHUFA</strong> report extra-judicial defaults <strong>of</strong> financial, commodity or service credits. These<br />

defaults can be interpreted and analysed as so called “s<strong>of</strong>t” early warning indicators for <strong>the</strong><br />

danger <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness. Moreover, <strong>SCHUFA</strong> receives judicial information on such kinds <strong>of</strong><br />

default as presented by an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure or <strong>the</strong> initiation <strong>of</strong> personal insolvency proceedings.<br />

But <strong>the</strong>se “hard“ indicators are just <strong>the</strong> ending <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> process leading to over-indebtedness.<br />

So it is all <strong>the</strong> more important to develop instruments for showing reliably <strong>the</strong> first indicators <strong>of</strong><br />

a critical financial situation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population.<br />

Trends in private debt and <strong>the</strong> dynamics <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness<br />

In <strong>the</strong> following chapters, <strong>SCHUFA</strong> introduces its current empirical results on <strong>the</strong> indicators for<br />

private debt and over-indebtedness. Divided according to age group, county and federal state,<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data allows for statistical evaluations about <strong>the</strong> amount as well as <strong>the</strong> default <strong>of</strong><br />

consumer credits. As it is primarily banks that are <strong>the</strong> creditors <strong>of</strong> over-indebted persons, and<br />

consumer credits have a higher default risk, monitoring consumer credits is an interesting issue<br />

for <strong>the</strong> over-indebtedness research.


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-1 | Introduction<br />

The so-called risk model allows for <strong>the</strong> examination <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> mobility <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness based on<br />

<strong>SCHUFA</strong>’s data portfolio. It addresses <strong>the</strong> question whe<strong>the</strong>r critical situations <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness<br />

become more strained over a period <strong>of</strong> five years or whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>re are ways away from <strong>the</strong> risk<br />

<strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness or actual over-indebtedness.<br />

Forecast <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Private Debt Index (PDI)<br />

In view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> wealth <strong>of</strong> differing information on <strong>the</strong> nature <strong>of</strong> private debt and over-indebtedness<br />

in Germany, <strong>the</strong> PDI is an important barometer on <strong>the</strong> over-indebtedness situation or overindebtedness<br />

risk <strong>of</strong> private individuals in <strong>the</strong> German regions.<br />

A forecast <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI for <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2009 is singular in <strong>the</strong> monitoring <strong>of</strong> private debt and overindebtedness<br />

trends. Not only does <strong>the</strong> PDI show <strong>the</strong> extent to which critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private<br />

debts have increased or decreased in <strong>the</strong> various regions or counties in Germany in <strong>the</strong> current<br />

period until <strong>the</strong> first half <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong>. In addition, <strong>the</strong> PDI forecast provides information on <strong>the</strong> future<br />

development <strong>of</strong> critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private over-indebtedness.<br />

The sub-analyses A-1 (Trends in private debt) and A-2 (Private Debt Index) are based on <strong>SCHUFA</strong>’s<br />

full data portfolio as <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> reporting dates December 31, 2007 and June 30, <strong>2008</strong>. This data was<br />

rendered anonymous and exclusively evaluated for <strong>the</strong> <strong>2008</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong>.<br />

21


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 1<br />

i<br />

22<br />

Reader help:<br />

The average debt<br />

obligation in <strong>the</strong> age<br />

group 40 to 44 rises<br />

in <strong>the</strong> current<br />

observation period<br />

from 8.715 Euro (2005)<br />

to 8.983 Euro (2007). 2<br />

1. Trends in Private Debt<br />

The average credit obligation <strong>of</strong> young adults declines<br />

Current credit obligations separated by age group<br />

Age group<br />

* Average <strong>of</strong> current credit obligations for all persons (over 18 years)<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 1.1<br />

Chart 1.1 shows <strong>the</strong> change in average residual debt from consumer loans in <strong>the</strong> years 2005 to<br />

2007, broken down by age group. The information bears exclusively on individuals in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong><br />

data portfolio who are currently indebted. Mortgage loans and lease agreements have not been<br />

included.<br />

Collectively, <strong>the</strong> average credit obligations have declined slightly from 2006 to 2007. This corresponds<br />

with observations <strong>of</strong> economic activity, which indicate that consumers were showing restraint<br />

in 2007. The three-year observation period shows a stagnating development among young<br />

adults (18 to 24 year olds) as well as all individuals under 35.<br />

Please note that <strong>the</strong> analysis is a ranking <strong>of</strong> individuals and not <strong>of</strong> households. The individuals<br />

could be ei<strong>the</strong>r members or heads <strong>of</strong> households. The average debt burden is an expression <strong>of</strong><br />

economic activity. No conclusions can be drawn from it concerning possible over-indebtedness<br />

or risk <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness.<br />

2 For reasons <strong>of</strong> clarity one single age group was selected in all reader helps.


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The amount <strong>of</strong> all<br />

standing loans in <strong>the</strong><br />

age group 40 to 44 years<br />

old averaged 10,658 Euro<br />

in 2007. The amount<br />

<strong>of</strong> all defaulted loans<br />

averages 12,142 Euro.<br />

Default volumes increase with age<br />

Average extent <strong>of</strong> all standing and defaulted loans<br />

arranged according to age group, 2007<br />

* Average <strong>of</strong> all standing loans in 2007<br />

* Average <strong>of</strong> all defaulted loans in 2007<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 1.2<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 1<br />

As in <strong>the</strong> previous chart (chart 1.1), which shows <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> residual debt in <strong>the</strong> sample<br />

period <strong>of</strong> individuals with consumer loans, chart 1.2 displays <strong>the</strong> average amounts <strong>of</strong> all standing<br />

and defaulted consumer loans per age group. In comparison to chart 1.1 <strong>the</strong> loans shown here<br />

are higher, since this examination displays <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> loans taken out, and not <strong>the</strong> residual<br />

debt after partial payment. It is notable that with respect to <strong>the</strong> younger age groups <strong>the</strong><br />

amount <strong>of</strong> standing loans is greater than <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> defaulted loans. On <strong>the</strong> contrary, starting<br />

with <strong>the</strong> 25-to-29 age group <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> defaulted loans is higher than <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> standing<br />

loans.<br />

Once again, all data corresponds to <strong>the</strong> entire <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio and not only individuals in<br />

an over-indebted situation.<br />

23


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 1<br />

i<br />

24<br />

Reader help:<br />

In <strong>the</strong> 40-to-44 age<br />

group <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> defaulted loans in<br />

relation to all loans<br />

was around 2.4 percent<br />

in 2007.<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong> defaulted loans stands around 2.5 percent<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> defaulted loans in relation to all loans by age group<br />

Percent<br />

Age group<br />

* Percentage <strong>of</strong> defaulted loans in relation to all loans for individuals (over 18 years old)<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Abb. 1.3<br />

After <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> current loan obligations (chart 1.1) and <strong>the</strong> volumes <strong>of</strong> all standing and<br />

defaulted loans (chart 1.2) were presented, figure 1.3 documents <strong>the</strong> proportion <strong>of</strong> defaulted<br />

loans to all loans in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio between 2005 and 2007. This proportion in<br />

2007 initially rises for <strong>the</strong> age group <strong>of</strong> 25-to-29 year olds to 3.3 percent and <strong>the</strong>n falls again<br />

in <strong>the</strong> remaining age groups.<br />

The amount <strong>of</strong> defaulted loans within <strong>the</strong> respective age groups nearly remained unchanged<br />

during <strong>the</strong> sample period. The overall average in 2007 was around 2.5 percent. Thus one can<br />

observe a slow growth rate since 2005 (when <strong>the</strong> percentage was 2.3 percent).<br />

Never<strong>the</strong>less, despite <strong>the</strong> very good economic situation in 2007 no clear general decline <strong>of</strong> loan<br />

defaults can be observed. Still it should be pointed out that <strong>the</strong> even <strong>the</strong> maximum percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> defaulted loans in 2007 was only around 3.3 percent. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand it means that nearly<br />

97 percent <strong>of</strong> all loans in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio were serviced in accordance with <strong>the</strong> terms<br />

<strong>of</strong> contract and without payment defaults.


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 1<br />

The trend <strong>of</strong> first-time negative reports is dependent on <strong>the</strong> sector<br />

Chart 1.4, divided according to sector, shows which sector <strong>the</strong> first report <strong>of</strong> a payment default<br />

comes from. A first report will only be recorded once per individual, in ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> telecommunications,<br />

banking or retail sector. It includes all first-time negative reports from companies affiliated<br />

with <strong>SCHUFA</strong> between 2005 and 2007. These affiliated companies passed on information on payment<br />

defaults (negative indicators) to <strong>SCHUFA</strong>, if sufficient reminder was given for a payable<br />

claim and it was not contested by <strong>the</strong> customer.<br />

It can be seen that in <strong>the</strong> young age group first negative reports come predominantly from <strong>the</strong><br />

telecommunications sector. After that, first reports come increasingly from banks. The distribution<br />

<strong>of</strong> first reports consequently varies among <strong>the</strong> sectors. Whereas <strong>the</strong> first negative reports<br />

in banking rose up until to <strong>the</strong> middle age groups and <strong>the</strong>n fell back after that, <strong>the</strong> values for<br />

<strong>the</strong> telecommunications sector went down from <strong>the</strong>ir peak among 20-to-24 year olds and <strong>the</strong>n<br />

steadied in <strong>the</strong> later age groups. First negative reports in <strong>the</strong> retail sector shift at a relatively low<br />

level in comparison with <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sectors.<br />

25


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 1<br />

i<br />

26<br />

Reader help:<br />

The most initial negative<br />

indicators <strong>of</strong> a payment<br />

default to a bank appear<br />

in <strong>the</strong> 40-to-44 age group.<br />

First-time payment defaults by sector<br />

Amount in thousands<br />

Amount in thousands<br />

Amount in thousands<br />

Age group<br />

2005 banking<br />

2006 banking<br />

2007 banking<br />

2005 retail<br />

2006 retail<br />

2007 retail<br />

2005 telecommunications<br />

2006 telecommunications<br />

2007 telecommunications<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 1.4


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

individuals with at least<br />

one negative indicator<br />

averages at 10.6 percent<br />

for <strong>the</strong> 40-to-44 age<br />

group in 2007.<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 1<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator<br />

rose by 8.2 percent<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator<br />

in relation to all individuals in each age group<br />

Percent<br />

Age group<br />

* Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator in relation to all individuals (over 18 years old)<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 1.5<br />

Chart 1.5 shows <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals within each age group for whom <strong>the</strong>re was at<br />

least one negative report in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio at <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> survey. The percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator in 2007 rises until it reaches <strong>the</strong> 25-to-29 year<br />

old age group and <strong>the</strong>n continuously declines.<br />

In 2007 <strong>the</strong> average percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator is around<br />

8.2 percent. The percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator in <strong>the</strong> age group<br />

18-19 remains nearly constant between 2005 and 2007. In <strong>the</strong> remaining age groups, however,<br />

it rises slightly.<br />

While this evaluation does not distinguish between “s<strong>of</strong>t” negative indicators (a payment default,<br />

for example) and “hard” negative indicators (such as <strong>the</strong> delivery <strong>of</strong> an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure), <strong>the</strong><br />

following figures show differentiated analyses <strong>of</strong> individuals with only s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators<br />

(chart 1.6) or with at least one hart negative indicator (chart 1.7). The differentiated analyses are<br />

important because over-indebtedness is seen in <strong>the</strong> research as a process that most <strong>of</strong>ten begins<br />

with a first payment default and can end with private insolvency as hard endpoint. 3<br />

3 Cf. Zimmermann, G.E.: Armut und Überschuldung, in: Debt <strong>Compass</strong> <strong>2008</strong>, p. 143.<br />

27


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 1<br />

i<br />

28<br />

Reader help:<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

individuals with only<br />

s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators<br />

averages 4.6 percent<br />

for <strong>the</strong> age group 40-44<br />

in 2007.<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with only s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators<br />

is 3.9 percent<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with only s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators<br />

in relation to all individuals in <strong>the</strong> relevant age group<br />

Percent<br />

Age group<br />

* Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with only s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators in relation to all individuals (over 18 years old)<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 1.6<br />

Following <strong>the</strong> evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator<br />

(chart 1.5), figure 1.6 shows <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with only s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators. The<br />

next chart will show only <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one hard negative indicator<br />

(chart 1.7). S<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators are payment defaults that are reported to <strong>SCHUFA</strong>, i.e. open<br />

uncontested bills receivable, where sufficient reminder was given, from companies associated<br />

with <strong>SCHUFA</strong>.<br />

These do not necessarily have to be equated with a risk <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness or an over-indebted<br />

situation. Collectively, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators climbed from<br />

around 3.3 percent in 2005 to 3.9 percent in 2007. Figure 1.6 shows a trend similar to <strong>the</strong> one<br />

in figure 1.5. It is merely remarkable that in figure 1.5 <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least<br />

one negative indicator in <strong>the</strong> age group 20-to-24 remained nearly constant between 2005 and<br />

2007. As mentioned in figure 1.5, it is not possible to draw conclusions concerning <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong><br />

over-indebtedness in each age group. However, outstanding debts or payment defaults can be<br />

<strong>the</strong> precursor to relative over-indebtedness.


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

individuals with at least<br />

one hard negative<br />

indicator averaged<br />

6.0 percent in <strong>the</strong> age<br />

group 40 to 44 in 2007.<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 1<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one hard negative indicator<br />

is 4.2 percent<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one hard negative indicator<br />

in relation to all individuals in <strong>the</strong> relevant age group<br />

Percent<br />

Age group<br />

* Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one hard negative indicator in relation to all individuals<br />

(over 18 years old)<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 1.7<br />

Chart 1.7 shows <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one hard negative<br />

indicator in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio. Unlike a s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicator (payment default), a<br />

hard negative indicator (such as <strong>the</strong> delivery <strong>of</strong> an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure or <strong>the</strong> initiation <strong>of</strong> a private<br />

insolvency proceeding) can be assessed as a sign for an existing or imminent over-indebtedness<br />

situation. In contrast to <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators (chart 1.6) it stands out here<br />

that <strong>the</strong> growth rate <strong>of</strong> individuals with hard negative indicators declined sharply between 2006<br />

and 2007 in nearly all age groups. This corresponds with <strong>the</strong> observation that private insolvency<br />

increased less keenly from 2006 to 2007 than it did from 2005 to 2006.<br />

Altoge<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> average percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one hard negative indicator is<br />

4.2 percent. As in <strong>the</strong> previous year, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one hard negative<br />

indicator declined among 20-to-24 year olds. While ano<strong>the</strong>r stagnation was apparent among<br />

25-to-29 year olds, <strong>the</strong>re was a noticeable increase among 30-34 year olds: with a percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

around 6.8 percent, <strong>the</strong>y exhibit for <strong>the</strong> first time <strong>the</strong> highest percentage relative to all individuals<br />

with hard negative indicators.<br />

29


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-1 | 2<br />

30<br />

2. Regional Evaluations<br />

The evaluations on debt from chapter 1 will now be applied to a regional analysis by examining<br />

<strong>the</strong> German federal states (chart 2.1) and counties (map 2.1).<br />

The following chapter shows <strong>the</strong> regional distribution <strong>of</strong> individuals (over 18 years) with at least<br />

one negative indicator. The tabular breakdown (chart 2.1) shows <strong>the</strong> federal state level, while<br />

<strong>the</strong> map <strong>of</strong> Germany (map 2.1.) depicts <strong>the</strong> analysis on county level.<br />

The distinction between federal state and county level is revealing, because <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong><br />

individuals with negative indicators within a federal state <strong>of</strong>ten gives a very differentiated picture.


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

In <strong>the</strong> federal state <strong>of</strong><br />

Hessen, <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> individuals with at<br />

least one negative indicator<br />

was 7.9 percent in 2007.<br />

On <strong>the</strong> national level,<br />

8.2 percent have at least<br />

one negative indicator.<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-1 | 2<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator<br />

<strong>of</strong> all individuals (over 18 years) in <strong>the</strong> respective federal state, 2007<br />

Bavaria<br />

Baden-Württemberg<br />

Saxony<br />

Thuringia<br />

Hesse<br />

Rhineland Palatinate<br />

Lower Saxony<br />

Brandenburg<br />

Schleswig-Holstein<br />

Saarland<br />

Mecklenburg Western Pomerania<br />

Saxony-Anhalt<br />

Hamburg<br />

Northrhine-Westphalia<br />

Bremen<br />

Berlin<br />

Percent<br />

* Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals (over 18 years) with at least one negative indicator<br />

for Germany<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 2.1<br />

Total = 8.2*<br />

Examining <strong>the</strong> individual 429 counties (map 2.1) in more detail shows that <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

individuals with at least one negative indicator varies from region to region. While in Northrhine-<br />

Westphalia (NRW) an average <strong>of</strong> 9.4 individuals shows at least one negative indicator, <strong>the</strong> individual<br />

NRW counties also have percentages <strong>of</strong> below four percent or above ten percent. This<br />

shows that although <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with one negative indicator is above average<br />

on federal state level, <strong>the</strong>re are counties in Northrhine-Westphalia that are significantly below <strong>the</strong><br />

national average. Similar differences can be seen on <strong>the</strong> map <strong>of</strong> Germany for o<strong>the</strong>r counties as<br />

well. In Bayern and Baden-Württemberg, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with one national indicator<br />

is significantly below <strong>the</strong> overall national average. But in <strong>the</strong>se states, too, <strong>the</strong>re are counties<br />

where <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator is above ten percent.<br />

31


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-1 | 2<br />

i<br />

32<br />

Reader help:<br />

The graduation <strong>of</strong> colours<br />

from light to dark signifies<br />

an increase in percentage,<br />

i.e. <strong>the</strong> darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> individuals with at least<br />

one negative indicator.<br />

The percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals with at least one negative indicator<br />

<strong>of</strong> all individuals (over 18 years) in <strong>the</strong> respective county, 2007<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 2.1<br />

SAARLAND<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY


3. Risk Model<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

The <strong>SCHUFA</strong> risk model, first developed for <strong>the</strong> 2004 Debt <strong>Compass</strong>, classified levels <strong>of</strong> debt<br />

into four different risk groups. An indicator model makes possible analyses about, for example,<br />

<strong>the</strong> course over-indebtedness takes.<br />

The risk groups are organized into green, yellow, orange and red levels. In <strong>the</strong> green risk level,<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are no indications <strong>of</strong> payment difficulty. Individuals with payment difficulties relating to<br />

<strong>the</strong> mail order, e-commerce or telecommunications sectors count toward <strong>the</strong> yellow risk level.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> orange risk level, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, are bank loan payment defaults. The red risk level is<br />

for individuals who show signs <strong>of</strong> a critical financial situation which can be classified as absolute<br />

over-indebtedness. Indications <strong>of</strong> this are, e.g., <strong>the</strong> delivery <strong>of</strong> an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure or information<br />

about consumer insolvency proceedings.<br />

The indicators included in <strong>the</strong> risk model are presented on <strong>the</strong> following page.<br />

Possible analyses <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk model<br />

In addition to <strong>the</strong> evaluation <strong>of</strong> all adult individuals, <strong>the</strong>re is a separate evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 18 to 24<br />

year old age group.<br />

With <strong>the</strong> study <strong>of</strong> mobility between <strong>the</strong> different risk levels, it is possible to present whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>re<br />

is a way out <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness or <strong>the</strong> threat <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness. For this purpose, <strong>the</strong> period<br />

from 2002 to 2007 will be examined (cf. chapter 3).<br />

33


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

34<br />

3.1 Risk model and indicators <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk levels<br />

The following indicators are included in <strong>the</strong> risk levels:<br />

• No negative indicators and no current credit obligation <strong>of</strong> any kind<br />

• No negative indicator and current credit obligation with a <strong>SCHUFA</strong> default rate<br />

according to a score < 10 percent<br />

The default rate indicates for <strong>the</strong> evaluated group <strong>of</strong> individuals <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals<br />

within <strong>the</strong> rating level who have received a negative status after a defined time period <strong>of</strong><br />

15 months.<br />

• Only discharged negative indicators<br />

• No negative indicator and current credit obligation and <strong>SCHUFA</strong> default rate according<br />

to a score > 10 %<br />

• One current negative indicator only from <strong>the</strong> non-banking sector<br />

• More than one current negative indicator from <strong>the</strong> non-banking sector<br />

The so-called non-banking sectors are <strong>the</strong> following:<br />

Retail, mail order, e-commerce, telecommunications, etc.<br />

• Unsettled negative indicator from a bank, less than 1 year ago<br />

• Unsettled negative indicator from a bank, less than 1 year ago, and also from<br />

a non-banking sector<br />

• Unsettled negative indicators from at least one bank from less than 1 year ago<br />

• Negative indicator history at least one bank within 1 to 3 years <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> study<br />

Unsettled negative indicators are payment defaults, i.e. uncontested, sufficiently<br />

reminded claims not yet settled by payment.<br />

• Indicator <strong>of</strong> oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure (EV = Eidestattliche Versicherung) or arrest order for <strong>the</strong> delivery<br />

<strong>of</strong> an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure<br />

• Indicator <strong>of</strong> personal insolvency<br />

• Individuals with search mandate<br />

Search mandate means that a client <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> owns a claim that is unsettled, sufficiently<br />

reminded and uncontested against a customer who has moved without a forwarding address.


Number <strong>of</strong> individuals in <strong>the</strong> risk levels<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

The total <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio <strong>of</strong> approx. 65 million native adults in Germany was made<br />

anonymous and analysed for <strong>the</strong> Debt <strong>Compass</strong>. With <strong>the</strong> help <strong>of</strong> risk models, a differentiated<br />

allocation <strong>of</strong> all individuals into <strong>the</strong> different risk levels is possible. Table 3.1.1 shows how many<br />

individuals at least 18 years old are found in which risk level. Young adults, between 18 to 24<br />

years old, are separately considered in Table 3.1.2.<br />

Individuals in <strong>the</strong> 2007 risk levels<br />

Warning level Number Percentage (2007) Percentage (2006)<br />

• Green 58,624,219 89.9 90.0<br />

• Yellow 2,341,536 3.6 3.3<br />

• Orange 1,019,946 1.5 1.6<br />

• Red 3,265,514 5.0 5.1<br />

Total 65,269,215 100.0 100.0<br />

Tab. 3.1.1<br />

Individuals between 18 and 24 years old in <strong>the</strong> 2007 risk levels<br />

Warning level Number Percentage (2007) Percentage (2006)<br />

• Green 5,231,336 86.4 86.5<br />

• Yellow 533,744 8.8 8.4<br />

• Orange 59,406 1.0 1.0<br />

• Red 229,310 3.8 4.1<br />

Total 6.053,796 100.0 100.0<br />

Tab. 3.1.2<br />

Around 90 percent <strong>of</strong> all individuals whose information is stored by <strong>SCHUFA</strong> are in <strong>the</strong> green<br />

risk level. The percentage <strong>of</strong> all adults in <strong>the</strong> red level rose by around five percent from 2006.<br />

However, <strong>the</strong> differentiated examination <strong>of</strong> individuals between 18 and 24 years old shows<br />

a decline in <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> young adults in this risk level: from 4.1 percent in 2006 to<br />

3.8 percent in 2007.<br />

Since <strong>the</strong> process <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness begins before reaching one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> hard negative indicators<br />

(red level), <strong>the</strong> yellow and orange warning levels are especially important. The percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> 18 to 24 year olds is in contrast to that <strong>of</strong> all age groups in <strong>the</strong> yellow level, with nearly nine<br />

percentage points over <strong>the</strong> average <strong>of</strong> about 3.6 percent. However, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> young<br />

adults in <strong>the</strong> orange level is around one percent, while <strong>the</strong> general average is around 1.5 percent.<br />

35


Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-1 | 3<br />

i<br />

36<br />

Reader help:<br />

An overwhelming<br />

percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals<br />

(94.8 %) who were in<br />

<strong>the</strong> green level in 2002<br />

still have no negative<br />

indicators five years later,<br />

and so are placed in<br />

<strong>the</strong> green level.<br />

3.2 Development <strong>of</strong> risk levels between 2002 and 2007<br />

For <strong>the</strong> assessment <strong>of</strong> private debt and over-indebtedness, it is <strong>of</strong> central importance whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong><br />

critical financial situations previously intensified, or whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>re is a way out <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness<br />

or <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness. Figures 3.2.1 and 3.2.2 examine <strong>the</strong> mobility between <strong>the</strong><br />

different debt levels (green, yellow, orange and red) over a five-year period. As in <strong>the</strong> previous<br />

examinations, data will be separated between all adult individuals (chart 3.2.1) and young adults<br />

between 18 and 24 (chart 3.2.2).<br />

Change in <strong>the</strong> risk levels for all individuals in <strong>the</strong> entire data portfolio<br />

from 2002 to 2007<br />

Percent<br />

green<br />

yellow<br />

orange<br />

red<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 3.2.1<br />

green yellow orange red<br />

The study <strong>of</strong> all adults registered in <strong>the</strong> data portfolio (chart 3.2.1) shows that <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> individuals<br />

who were in <strong>the</strong> green sector in 2002, 94.8 percent were still in <strong>the</strong> same group five years later.<br />

Only a small percentage (1.9 %) switched to <strong>the</strong> red, or critical, sector. At <strong>the</strong> same time it can<br />

be seen that more than half (56.9 %) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> individuals who were in <strong>the</strong> red group in 2002 are<br />

still in <strong>the</strong> red group. A different conclusion can be drawn from <strong>the</strong> fact that about a quarter <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> individuals have made <strong>the</strong> jump to <strong>the</strong> green group.<br />

The transition levels, yellow and orange, display <strong>the</strong> greatest mobility. Five years later, <strong>the</strong> majority<br />

<strong>of</strong> individuals who used to be in <strong>the</strong> yellow risk level now have no acute indicators <strong>of</strong> being<br />

threatened by over-indebtedness. The development in <strong>the</strong> orange sector presents itself differently:<br />

here <strong>the</strong> largest portion has not fundamentally improved <strong>the</strong>ir financial situation, and indeed<br />

for about a fourth it has worsened into <strong>the</strong> red level, a situation <strong>of</strong> concrete over-indebtedness.<br />

This is, for example, a consumer insolvency proceeding or <strong>the</strong> delivery <strong>of</strong> an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure.


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

18.9 percent <strong>of</strong> all<br />

18 to 24 year olds who<br />

wereconfronted with<br />

a situation <strong>of</strong> critical<br />

indebtedness or overindebtedness<br />

in 2002<br />

(red level) were able to<br />

reach <strong>the</strong> green level.<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

Change in <strong>the</strong> risk levels for young adults (ages 18-24)* from 2002 to 2007<br />

Percent<br />

green<br />

yellow<br />

orange<br />

red<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Chart 3.2.2<br />

green yellow orange red<br />

* Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se individuals are no longer in <strong>the</strong> 18-24 age group in 2007<br />

The study <strong>of</strong> young adults (18 to 24 years old, chart 3.2.2) shows that critical financial situations<br />

are not necessarily self-reinforcing, even among <strong>the</strong> younger age groups. Between 2002 and<br />

2007 almost half <strong>of</strong> 18 to 24 year olds were able to move out <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> critical red level.<br />

An overwhelming majority <strong>of</strong> young adults (88.6 %) who had no negative indicators registered<br />

with <strong>SCHUFA</strong> in 2002 and thus were in <strong>the</strong> green risk level, also have no information <strong>of</strong> noncontractual<br />

behaviour five years later. At <strong>the</strong> same time, more than half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> young adults who<br />

were in <strong>the</strong> red level in 2002 have not left this critical situation by 2007. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore it can be<br />

seen that young adults previously in <strong>the</strong> orange level have more quickly arrived in <strong>the</strong> critical red<br />

risk level than <strong>the</strong> older age groups. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> young adults in <strong>the</strong> orange<br />

group is negligible, with around one percent in 2007 (cf. table 3.1.2). Altoge<strong>the</strong>r, both studies<br />

show that <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> individuals who were in <strong>the</strong> green level at <strong>the</strong> beginning <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> study<br />

period were still presenting no information about payment defaults five years later. In <strong>the</strong> same<br />

period around a fourth <strong>of</strong> people who found <strong>the</strong>mselves in a critical situation <strong>of</strong> indebtedness or<br />

over-indebtedness in 2002 saw <strong>the</strong>ir financial position stabilize and were able to reach <strong>the</strong> green<br />

level.<br />

Since development is fairly dynamic, critical financial situations do not always intensify and <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are ways out <strong>of</strong> even a critical financial situation; never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> evaluations show a ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

strong mobility toward <strong>the</strong> red level. There is a higher probability <strong>of</strong> moving into <strong>the</strong> red group<br />

from <strong>the</strong> yellow or orange levels than <strong>the</strong>re is from <strong>the</strong> green level.<br />

37


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

38<br />

3.3 Regional view <strong>of</strong> risk levels – all private individuals<br />

The following two chapters show <strong>the</strong> regional occurrence, by county, <strong>of</strong> each risk level by means<br />

<strong>of</strong> maps <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Federal Republic <strong>of</strong> Germany. As in <strong>the</strong> preceding chapters, <strong>the</strong>re will be a distinction<br />

made here between all individuals recorded in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio, and young adults.<br />

Chapter 3.3 (maps 3.3.1 through 3.3.4) gives information about <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals<br />

reported to <strong>SCHUFA</strong> in each respective risk level in 2007. The first to be considered are all<br />

individuals over 18 years old who were recorded in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio, in <strong>the</strong> respective<br />

counties.<br />

Chapter 3.4 (maps 3.4.1 through 3.4.4) evaluates regional risk levels among young adults<br />

between 18 and 24 in 2007. Divided into <strong>the</strong> green, yellow, orange and red groups, <strong>the</strong> various<br />

maps <strong>of</strong> Germany show <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> 18 to 24 year olds in each risk group out <strong>of</strong> all young<br />

adults in <strong>the</strong> respective counties.


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> more people in<br />

<strong>the</strong> green risk level<br />

(cf. p. 34 for explanation).<br />

The trend is that individuals<br />

living in <strong>the</strong> south are<br />

more likely to be at levels<br />

with <strong>the</strong> least risk.<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

SAARLAND<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.3.1<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals from <strong>the</strong> green group out <strong>of</strong> all individuals<br />

(over 18 years old) in <strong>the</strong> respective county, 2007<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY<br />

39


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

i<br />

40<br />

Reader help:<br />

The darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> individuals in <strong>the</strong><br />

yellow risk group<br />

(cf. page 34 for explanation).<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals from <strong>the</strong> yellow group out <strong>of</strong> all individuals<br />

(over 18 years old) in <strong>the</strong> respective county, 2007<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

SAARLAND<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.3.2<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> individuals in <strong>the</strong><br />

orange risk group<br />

(cf. page 34 for explanation).<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals from <strong>the</strong> orange group out <strong>of</strong> all individuals<br />

(over 18 years old) in <strong>the</strong> respective county, 2007.<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

SAARLAND<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.3.3<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY<br />

41


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

i<br />

42<br />

Reader help:<br />

The darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> individuals in <strong>the</strong> red<br />

risk group (cf. page 34 for<br />

explanation).<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> individuals from <strong>the</strong> red group out <strong>of</strong> all individuals<br />

(over 18 years old) in <strong>the</strong> respective county, 2007<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

SAARLAND<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.3.4<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

3.4 Regional view <strong>of</strong> risk levels – young adults<br />

While <strong>the</strong> previous chapters (maps 3.3.1 through 3.3.4) presented <strong>the</strong> regional occurrence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

percentage <strong>of</strong> all individuals over 18 years old in <strong>the</strong> contained in <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> data portfolio, <strong>the</strong><br />

following maps <strong>of</strong> Germany (3.4.1 through 3.4.4) only account for young adults between 18 and<br />

24 years old.<br />

Divided into green, yellow, orange and red risk levels, <strong>the</strong> various maps <strong>of</strong> Germany show for<br />

2007 <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> 18 to 24 year olds out <strong>of</strong> all young adults in <strong>the</strong> respective county and<br />

<strong>the</strong> respective risk level.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> regional view <strong>of</strong> risk levels among young adults, it should be borne in mind that a<br />

pre-dominant number <strong>of</strong> people under 25 years old still reside in <strong>the</strong> household <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir parents.<br />

An external analysis showed that about 99 percent <strong>of</strong> 18 to 19 year olds and approx. 61 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> 20 to 24 year olds still live with <strong>the</strong>ir parents. 4 Therefore, let it be noted for <strong>the</strong> red level<br />

in particular that it does not always amount to an actual over-indebted situation. Many 18 to 24<br />

year olds are still likely to have <strong>the</strong> financial resources <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> household at <strong>the</strong>ir disposal.<br />

Although not all young adults in <strong>the</strong> orange and red risk levels find <strong>the</strong>mselves directly in overindebtedness<br />

or at risk <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness, never<strong>the</strong>less it is critical to assess entrance into one<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se levels against <strong>the</strong> background <strong>of</strong> a potential “over-indebtedness career”.<br />

4 Zimmermann, G.E.: Sozialpr<strong>of</strong>ile ver- und überschuldeter Personen, Auswertungen auf Basis des<br />

Sozio-oekonomischen Panel (SOEP), [Social pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong> indebted and over-indebted individuals,<br />

evaluation on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> Socio-economic Panel (SOEP) data] in: <strong>SCHUFA</strong> holding company (ed.),<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> 2005, Wiesbaden 2005, p. 144.<br />

43


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

i<br />

44<br />

Reader help:<br />

The darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> more young adults<br />

who are in <strong>the</strong> green risk<br />

group (cf. page 34 for<br />

explanation). The trend is<br />

that individuals living<br />

in <strong>the</strong> south are more<br />

likely to be at levels with<br />

<strong>the</strong> least risk.<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> young adults (age 18-24) from <strong>the</strong> green group<br />

out <strong>of</strong> all young adults, 2007<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.4.1<br />

SAARLAND<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> young adults who<br />

are in <strong>the</strong> yellow risk group<br />

(cf. page 34 for explanation).<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> young adults (age 18-24) from <strong>the</strong> yellow group<br />

out <strong>of</strong> all young adults, 2007<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.4.2<br />

SAARLAND<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY<br />

Please note: The regional risk levels for young adults generally have <strong>the</strong> same grading as that chosen for<br />

<strong>the</strong> risk levels <strong>of</strong> all individuals. It is only in <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> yellow level that a different grading has been<br />

chosen for young adults because all counties show a percentage point <strong>of</strong> more than 3.5 percent. If one<br />

were to keep <strong>the</strong> grading used to evaluate all individuals, this would result in a uniform coloration without<br />

any declaratory power.<br />

45


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

i<br />

46<br />

Reader help:<br />

The darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> young adults who are<br />

in <strong>the</strong> orange risk group<br />

(cf. page 34 for explanation).<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> young adults (age 18-24) from <strong>the</strong> orange group<br />

out <strong>of</strong> all young adults, 2007<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

SAARLAND<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.4.3<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The darker <strong>the</strong> county,<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> percentage<br />

<strong>of</strong> young adults who are<br />

in <strong>the</strong> red risk group<br />

(cf. page 34 for explanation).<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> young adults (age 18-24) from <strong>the</strong> red group<br />

out <strong>of</strong> all young adults, 2007<br />

Percent<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

SAARLAND<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.4.4<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Basic Analysis A-1 | 3<br />

HAMBURG<br />

SAXONY- SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

WESTERN WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

POMERANIA<br />

BAVARIA BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY<br />

47


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | Contents<br />

Analysis A:<br />

Representative Evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Data<br />

<strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG<br />

Sub-Analysis A-2: Private Debt Index (PDI)<br />

1. Private Debt Idex 51<br />

2. Regional Evaluations 53<br />

2.1 Evaluation by federal state<br />

2.2 Evaluation by county<br />

2.3 Evaluation <strong>of</strong> cities<br />

3. Forecast 2009 61<br />

3.1 Forecast on federal state and county level<br />

4. Tabular overviews<br />

– Overview: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> federal states<br />

– Overview: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> counties<br />

64<br />

49


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | Introduction<br />

50<br />

Introduction<br />

The Private Debt Index (PDI), which was developed by <strong>SCHUFA</strong>, is an instrument that not only<br />

analyses <strong>the</strong> historical development <strong>of</strong> critical indicators for private debt, but also forecasts <strong>the</strong><br />

future development in <strong>the</strong> medium range.<br />

The forecasts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI are unique in over-indebtedness research, because a single index figure<br />

from a wealth <strong>of</strong> individual indicators shows <strong>the</strong> private debt and over-indebtedness situation in<br />

all Germany, <strong>the</strong> 16 federal states and <strong>the</strong> currently 429 counties.<br />

The PDI shows <strong>the</strong> extent to which <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness has decreased or increased, and<br />

how strong <strong>the</strong> critical indicators for private debt are represented in <strong>the</strong> individual geographical<br />

regions. To show <strong>the</strong> considerably varying regional development <strong>of</strong> private debt, <strong>the</strong> PDI figures<br />

for <strong>the</strong> five largest German cities are presented on zip code level in addition to <strong>the</strong> analyses on<br />

national and county level.<br />

The full year forecast has made <strong>the</strong> PDI <strong>the</strong> most important barometer for critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> private debt in Germany. This increases transparency with respect to <strong>the</strong> over-indebtedness<br />

situation or over-indebtedness risk <strong>of</strong> private individuals in Germany. In view <strong>of</strong> tight money<br />

markets at present, <strong>the</strong> PDI can serve as an early warning signal that is important for <strong>the</strong> German<br />

economy.<br />

www.privatverschuldungsindex.de<br />

The current analyses are based on actual data from <strong>SCHUFA</strong>’s total data portfolio (reporting date<br />

30 June <strong>2008</strong>), as well as on <strong>the</strong> change as compared to <strong>the</strong> preceding year 2007 (reporting date<br />

31 December 2007) and <strong>the</strong> predicted changes for 2009 (reporting date 31 December 2009).<br />

The following chapters present <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI. Fur<strong>the</strong>r analyses with <strong>the</strong> PDI in combination<br />

with fur<strong>the</strong>r trends <strong>of</strong> debt and over-indebtedness with an interactive map <strong>of</strong> Germany are<br />

available in <strong>the</strong> internet at: www.privatverschuldungsindex.de


1. Private Debt Index<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 1<br />

To show <strong>the</strong> different degrees <strong>of</strong> private over-indebtedness risk, <strong>the</strong> PDI takes into account<br />

a number <strong>of</strong> measurable indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt and over-indebtedness. The data is based<br />

on credit relevant information <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG on around 65 million private adult individuals<br />

in Germany.<br />

Due to <strong>the</strong> varying situation <strong>of</strong> private debt or over-indebtedness risk in <strong>the</strong> individual regions<br />

<strong>of</strong> Germany, <strong>the</strong> PDI does not only provide a figure for all Germany, but additionally serves as a<br />

yardstick for <strong>the</strong> 16 federal states and <strong>the</strong> currently 429 counties in Germany. The Index figures<br />

for <strong>the</strong> federal states and counties – divided into <strong>the</strong> levels green, yellow, orange and red – are<br />

depicted with <strong>the</strong> help <strong>of</strong> a cluster analysis. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> PDI is calculated for <strong>the</strong> zip code are<br />

as by means <strong>of</strong> examples for <strong>the</strong> five largest German cities.<br />

The levels <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI<br />

The PDI figures are divided into four degree levels. Accordingly, <strong>the</strong> critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> debt risk can be<br />

• slight<br />

• moderate<br />

• strong<br />

• very strong<br />

The individual federal states, counties and cities are allocated to <strong>the</strong> respective sectors in accordance<br />

with a defined weighting using <strong>the</strong> defining indicators <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> three risk levels (yellow,<br />

orange, red) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk model (cf. analysis A-1, chapter 3). As <strong>the</strong> green level <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk model<br />

does not take into account negative indicators, it is not included in <strong>the</strong> Index calculation.<br />

Consequently, it has to be noted that <strong>the</strong> colour classification should not be confused with<br />

<strong>the</strong> allocation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk levels from <strong>the</strong> risk model.<br />

Components <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI<br />

In order to calculate <strong>the</strong> PDI, a combination <strong>of</strong> negative relevant information for <strong>the</strong> respective<br />

residential population was studied and weighted individually, and an overall figure was calculated.<br />

Below, <strong>the</strong> so-called s<strong>of</strong>t and hard negative indicators are listed, which served to calculate <strong>the</strong><br />

PDI. These s<strong>of</strong>t and hard negative indicators are divided into <strong>the</strong> three levels yellow, orange and<br />

red depending on <strong>the</strong>ir degree.<br />

51


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 1<br />

52<br />

The s<strong>of</strong>t negative indicators (yellow and orange level) are payment defaults at non-banks and<br />

banks. The red level includes hard negative indicators such as information on <strong>the</strong> delivery <strong>of</strong> an<br />

oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure or personal insolvency proceedings. The indicators on <strong>the</strong> red level can be<br />

evaluated as a clear sign <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> threat or occurrence <strong>of</strong> an over-indebted situation. The indicators<br />

on <strong>the</strong> red risk level were weighted most strongly for <strong>the</strong> calculation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI to be able to<br />

sharply filter out <strong>the</strong> regions with <strong>the</strong> critical private debt.<br />

Yellow level<br />

• Only discharged negative indicators<br />

• No negative indicator and current credit obligation and <strong>SCHUFA</strong> default rate according<br />

to a score > 10 percent<br />

• One current negative indicator only in <strong>the</strong> non-banking sector<br />

• More than one current negative indicator in <strong>the</strong> non-banking sector<br />

The so-called non-banks are <strong>the</strong> following sectors:<br />

Retail, mail order, e-commerce, telecommunications, etc.<br />

Orange level<br />

• Unsettled negative indicator from a bank newer than 1 year<br />

• Unsettled negative indicator from a bank newer than 1 year and from non-banks<br />

• Unsettled negative indicators from at least one bank newer than 1 year<br />

• Negative indicator history from at least one bank <strong>of</strong> 1 to 3 years<br />

Unsettled negative indicators are payment incidents, i.e. unpaid, sufficiently dunned and<br />

uncontested claims not yet settled by payment.<br />

Red level<br />

• Indicator oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure (EV = Eidestattliche Versicherung) or arrest order for <strong>the</strong> delivery<br />

<strong>of</strong> an oath <strong>of</strong> disclosure<br />

• Indicator <strong>of</strong> personal insolvency<br />

• Individuals with search mandate<br />

Search mandate means that a client <strong>of</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> owns an unsettled, sufficiently reminded<br />

and uncontested claim against a customer who has moved without a forwarding address.


2. Regional Evaluations<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 2<br />

Below, <strong>the</strong> Private Debt Index (PDI) is used to show <strong>the</strong> degree to which critical indicators <strong>of</strong><br />

private debt are present in <strong>the</strong> various regions in Germany. While <strong>the</strong> maps 2.1 and 2.2 depict<br />

<strong>the</strong> evaluation on <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> federal states and counties (cf. tabular overviews in chap. 4), <strong>the</strong><br />

indicators for private debt are also shown with <strong>the</strong> help <strong>of</strong> an analysis on <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> zip codes<br />

for <strong>the</strong> five largest German cities (maps 2.3.1 – 2.3.5) The following chapter 3 includes <strong>the</strong><br />

predicted change <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> critical indicators as at 31 December 2009.<br />

Overall, <strong>the</strong> Private Debt Index was 1,149 for all Germany in <strong>2008</strong> (reporting date 30 June <strong>2008</strong>).<br />

The PDI figure has thus hardly changed compared with <strong>the</strong> preceding year (2007: 1,147). But<br />

in comparison to <strong>the</strong> national Index figure, regional changes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI give a very differentiated<br />

picture.<br />

Evaluation on federal state level<br />

Overall, <strong>the</strong> Index figures <strong>of</strong> five federal states have slightly decreased since 2007 and thus have<br />

shown a reduction <strong>of</strong> critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt and over-indebtedness. With <strong>the</strong> exceptions<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> federal states <strong>of</strong> Rhineland-Palatinate, Hamburg and Saxony-Anhalt, where <strong>the</strong> PDI<br />

figure did not change, in <strong>the</strong> eight o<strong>the</strong>r federal states an increase in <strong>the</strong> critical indicators <strong>of</strong><br />

private debt can be seen to emerge. The growth rates in <strong>the</strong>se eight federal states, however,<br />

vary considerably. While comparatively high growth can be seen in Brandenburg, Northrhine-<br />

Westphalia and Saarland, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r federal states have only shown a very low PDI growth since<br />

2007 (see tabular overviews in chap.4). As in preceding years, <strong>the</strong> tendency for a discrepancy<br />

between <strong>the</strong> north and south can be seen in <strong>the</strong> current evaluations as well, with <strong>the</strong> degrees<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Index within a state varying considerably.<br />

Evaluation on county level<br />

Similar to <strong>the</strong> findings <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> preceding year, <strong>the</strong> evaluation on county level shows <strong>the</strong> continuously<br />

dynamic development <strong>of</strong> private debt situations. The results partly show significant<br />

increase or decrease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Index figure in <strong>the</strong> individual counties (see tabular overview in<br />

chap. 4). Generally, an examination <strong>of</strong> all 429 counties does not indicate a region where <strong>the</strong><br />

critical indicators regarding over-indebtedness are highly concentrated. The counties with<br />

a high degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators for private debt are distributed across <strong>the</strong> entire country.<br />

Evaluation <strong>of</strong> five cities<br />

The evaluation <strong>of</strong> Germany’s five largest cities (Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, Cologne, Frankfurt)<br />

confirms <strong>the</strong> general trend as found on national and county level. The more differentiated <strong>the</strong><br />

regional evaluation <strong>of</strong> critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt, <strong>the</strong> more varying are critical indicators<br />

distributed. The city maps (see maps 2.3.1 - 2.3.5) show, that – despite a medium to high overindebtedness<br />

risk on federal state and county level – an evaluation on zip code level leads to<br />

areas in <strong>the</strong> individual cities with only a low degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators.<br />

53


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 2<br />

i<br />

54<br />

Reader help:<br />

The PDI describes <strong>the</strong> degree<br />

<strong>of</strong> critical indicators <strong>of</strong> debt.<br />

The colour green means<br />

that <strong>the</strong>re are critical indicators<br />

only to a low extent.<br />

Red, however, signifies a<br />

significant degree <strong>of</strong> critical<br />

indicators.<br />

2.1 Evaluation by federal state<br />

Critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt according<br />

to <strong>the</strong> Private Debt Index (PDI), first half <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong>, federal states<br />

characteristics<br />

minor<br />

moderate<br />

significant<br />

extreme<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

SAARLAND<br />

BREMEN<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 2.1<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

HAMBURG WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The PDI describes <strong>the</strong><br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> debt. The colour green<br />

means that <strong>the</strong>re are critical<br />

indicators only to a limited<br />

degree. Red, however,<br />

signifies a significant<br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators.<br />

2.2 Evaluation by county<br />

Critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt according<br />

to <strong>the</strong> Private Debt Index (PDI), first half <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong>, counties<br />

characteristics<br />

minor<br />

moderate<br />

significant<br />

extreme<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

SAARLAND<br />

BREMEN<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 2.2<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 2<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

HAMBURG WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY<br />

55


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 2<br />

i<br />

56<br />

Reader help:<br />

The PDI describes <strong>the</strong><br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> debt. The colour green<br />

means that <strong>the</strong>re are critical<br />

indicators only to a limited<br />

degree. Red, however,<br />

signifies a significant<br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators.<br />

2.3 Evaluation <strong>of</strong> cities<br />

PDI/Berlin<br />

characteristics<br />

slight<br />

moderate<br />

strong<br />

very strong<br />

Spandau<br />

Reinickendorf<br />

CharlottenburgWilmersdorf<br />

Steglitz-<br />

Zehlendorf<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 2.3.1<br />

Pankow<br />

Centre<br />

Friedrichshain<br />

Kreuzberg<br />

Tempelh<strong>of</strong><br />

Schöneberg<br />

Neukölln<br />

Lichtenberg<br />

Marzahn<br />

Hellersdorf<br />

Treptow-<br />

Köpenick


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The PDI describes <strong>the</strong><br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> debt. The colour green<br />

means that <strong>the</strong>re are critical<br />

indicators only to a limited<br />

degree. Red, however,<br />

signifies a significant<br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators.<br />

PDI/Hamburg<br />

characteristics<br />

slight<br />

moderate<br />

strong<br />

very strong<br />

Altona<br />

Eimsbüttel<br />

Harburg<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 2.3.2<br />

North<br />

Centre<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 2<br />

Wandsbeck<br />

Bergedorf<br />

57


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 2<br />

i<br />

58<br />

Reader help:<br />

The PDI describes <strong>the</strong><br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> debt. The colour green<br />

means that <strong>the</strong>re are critical<br />

indicators only to a limited<br />

degree. Red, however,<br />

signifies significant degree<br />

<strong>of</strong> critical indicators.<br />

PDI/Munich<br />

characteristics<br />

slight<br />

moderate<br />

strong<br />

very strong<br />

Aubing-<br />

Lochhausen-<br />

Langwied<br />

1 Altstadt – Lehel<br />

2 Ludwigsvorstadt – Isarvorstadt<br />

3 Maxvorstadt<br />

4 Schwanthalerhöhe<br />

5 Au – Haidhausen<br />

Allach-<br />

Untermenzing<br />

Feldmoching-<br />

Schwabing-<br />

Hasenbergl<br />

Freimann<br />

Milbertsh<strong>of</strong>en-<br />

Am Hart<br />

Moosach<br />

Schwabing-<br />

Pasing-<br />

Neuhausen- West<br />

Ober-<br />

Nymphenburg<br />

menzing<br />

3<br />

1<br />

Laim 4<br />

Hadern<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 2.3.3<br />

Thalkirchen<br />

Obersendling<br />

Forstenried<br />

Fürstenried<br />

Solln<br />

Sendling-SendWestlingpark<br />

Bogenhausen<br />

Berg am<br />

Laim<br />

2<br />

5<br />

Ober-<br />

Trudering-<br />

Riem<br />

giesingUnterRamersdorfgiesing<br />

Perlach<br />

Harlaching


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The PDI describes <strong>the</strong><br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> debt. The colour green<br />

means that <strong>the</strong>re are critical<br />

indicators only to a limited<br />

degree. Red, however,<br />

signifies a significant<br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators.<br />

PDI/Cologne<br />

characteristics<br />

slight<br />

moderate<br />

strong<br />

very strong<br />

Chorweiler<br />

Ehrenfeld<br />

Lindenthal<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 2.3.4<br />

Nippes<br />

City Centre<br />

Rodenkirchen<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 2<br />

Mülheim<br />

Kalk<br />

Porz<br />

59


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 2<br />

i<br />

60<br />

Reader help:<br />

The PDI describes <strong>the</strong><br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> debt. The colour green<br />

means that <strong>the</strong>re are critical<br />

indicators only to a limited<br />

degree. Red, however,<br />

signifies a significant<br />

degree <strong>of</strong> critical indicators.<br />

PDI/Frankfurt<br />

characteristics<br />

slight<br />

moderate<br />

strong<br />

very strong<br />

West<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 2.3.5<br />

Kalbach<br />

Centre-<br />

West<br />

Nieder-<br />

Eschbach<br />

Centre-<br />

North<br />

City Centre<br />

Nieder-<br />

Erlenbach<br />

Harheim<br />

Northwest Nor<strong>the</strong>ast<br />

East<br />

South<br />

Bergen-<br />

Enkheim


3. Forecast 2009<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 3<br />

The following section presents <strong>the</strong> forecasts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Private Debt Index for <strong>the</strong> period from <strong>the</strong><br />

end <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong> until <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2009. With <strong>the</strong> forecast, <strong>the</strong> PDI does not only show <strong>the</strong> historical,<br />

but also <strong>the</strong> long-term, future development <strong>of</strong> critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt. That makes <strong>the</strong><br />

PDI a unique instrument for <strong>the</strong> monitoring <strong>of</strong> private debt and over-indebtedness trends. Tabular<br />

overviews in chapter 4 show <strong>the</strong> forecasts as well as <strong>the</strong> changes as compared to <strong>the</strong> calculated<br />

actual figures.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> current forecast period until 31 December 2009, <strong>the</strong> forecast for all Germany shows<br />

stagnation on <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> preceding years. While in past <strong>the</strong> increase <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI was<br />

slowed down, such a development is not to be expected according to <strong>the</strong> current forecast.<br />

3.1 Forecast on federal state and county level<br />

Compared to <strong>the</strong> national development, <strong>the</strong> predicted changes on county level vary considerably.<br />

A PDI increase and thus an increase <strong>of</strong> critical indicators is forecast for eight federal states from<br />

<strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong> until <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2009. Only in Thüringen, <strong>the</strong>se over-indebtedness risks nei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

increase nor decrease.<br />

On county level, <strong>the</strong> prognosis until <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2009 shows a PDI decrease for 186 <strong>of</strong> 429 counties.<br />

The forecast predicts a PDI increase for 218 counties – around half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m – and nei<strong>the</strong>r an<br />

increase or a decrease for 25 counties (change actually smaller +0.1 %).<br />

61


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 3<br />

i<br />

62<br />

Reader help:<br />

The map shows <strong>the</strong> predicted<br />

change in critical<br />

indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt<br />

as <strong>of</strong> 31 December 2009.<br />

The green colour, for example,<br />

indicates that critical<br />

indicators will decrease.<br />

Predicted change in critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt according to <strong>the</strong><br />

Private Debt Index (PDI), from <strong>the</strong> first half <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong> until <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong><br />

2009, federal states<br />

pred. change PDI<br />

decrease<br />

constant<br />

increase<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

SAARLAND<br />

BREMEN<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.1.1<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

HAMBURG WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY


i<br />

Reader help:<br />

The map shows <strong>the</strong> predicted<br />

change in critical<br />

indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt<br />

as <strong>of</strong> 31 December 2009.<br />

The green colour, for example,<br />

indicates that critical<br />

indicators will decrease.<br />

pred. change PDI<br />

decrease<br />

constant<br />

increase<br />

© <strong>2008</strong> <strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG, all rights reserved<br />

Map 3.1.2<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 3<br />

Predicted change in critical indicators <strong>of</strong> private debt according to <strong>the</strong> Private<br />

Debt Index (PDI), from <strong>the</strong> first half <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong> until <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2009, counties<br />

RHINELAND<br />

PALATINATE<br />

NORTHRHINE-<br />

WESTPHALIA<br />

SAARLAND<br />

SCHLESWIG-<br />

HOLSTEIN<br />

BREMEN<br />

LOWER SAXONY<br />

HESSE<br />

BADEN-<br />

WÜRTTEMBERG<br />

MECKLENBURG<br />

HAMBURG WESTERN<br />

POMERANIA<br />

SAXONY-<br />

ANHALT<br />

THURINGIA<br />

BAVARIA<br />

BERLIN<br />

BRANDENBURG<br />

SAXONY<br />

63


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 4<br />

64<br />

4. Tabular Overviews<br />

The following tabular overviews show <strong>the</strong> PDI figures for <strong>2008</strong> (reporting date 30 June <strong>2008</strong>)<br />

and 2007 (reporting date 31 December 2007) for <strong>the</strong> federal states (tab. 4.1) and <strong>the</strong> currently<br />

429 counties and municipalities (tab. 4.2) with <strong>the</strong> correspondingly calculated Private Debt Index<br />

(PDI). In addition, <strong>the</strong> tables include <strong>the</strong> respective forecast for 2009 (reporting date 31 December<br />

2009).<br />

Depending on <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Index figure, a federal state or a county is in <strong>the</strong> green, yellow,<br />

orange or red level. In <strong>the</strong> regions with <strong>the</strong> lowest Index figure, <strong>the</strong> critical indicators for<br />

private debt are most weakly represented. In <strong>the</strong> tables, <strong>the</strong>se regions occupy <strong>the</strong> top places.<br />

Generally, <strong>the</strong> developments <strong>of</strong> PDI figures vary more significantly on county level than on<br />

federal level.<br />

Reader help<br />

The tables are to be read as follows: If <strong>the</strong> Index for federal state A is, for example, 1,000<br />

points and for federal state B, for example, 1,200 points, it means that <strong>the</strong> critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> private debt in federal state B are 20 percent more strongly represented than in federal<br />

state A. The same applies to <strong>the</strong> figures for <strong>the</strong> counties.<br />

Apart from <strong>the</strong> list <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective PDI figures, <strong>the</strong> tabular overviews include <strong>the</strong> changes <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> PDI figures from 2007 to <strong>2008</strong> and from <strong>2008</strong> to 2009.<br />

A change in a county <strong>of</strong> plus 2.10 percent from 2007 to <strong>2008</strong>, for instance, means that <strong>the</strong> PDI<br />

has increased by 2.10 percent from 2007 to <strong>2008</strong> and thus <strong>the</strong> critical indicators for private debt<br />

have increased by 2.10 percent.<br />

A change with a negative sign signifies a decrease in <strong>the</strong> Index figure and a decrease in critical<br />

indicators for private debt.


Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Federal States<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

9<br />

10<br />

10<br />

12<br />

13<br />

14<br />

15<br />

16<br />

Federal state<br />

Baden-Württemberg<br />

Bavaria<br />

Hesse<br />

Saxony<br />

Rhineland Palatinate<br />

Thuringia<br />

Hamburg<br />

Brandenburg<br />

Schleswig-Holstein<br />

Lower Saxony<br />

Northrhine-Westphalia<br />

Saarland<br />

Mecklenburg Western Pomerania<br />

Saxony-Anhalt<br />

Bremen<br />

Berlin<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

812<br />

839<br />

963<br />

984<br />

1015<br />

1025<br />

1029<br />

1090<br />

1130<br />

1136<br />

1141<br />

1143<br />

1225<br />

1228<br />

1252<br />

1462<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

-0,37<br />

-0,71<br />

0,10<br />

0,72<br />

0,00<br />

-0,29<br />

0,00<br />

1,11<br />

0,36<br />

0,35<br />

1,06<br />

1,78<br />

-0,41<br />

0,00<br />

0,16<br />

-0,41<br />

0,17<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

10<br />

12<br />

11<br />

9<br />

14<br />

13<br />

15<br />

16<br />

Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 4<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

815<br />

845<br />

962<br />

977<br />

1015<br />

1028<br />

1029<br />

1078<br />

1126<br />

1132<br />

1129<br />

1123<br />

1230<br />

1228<br />

1250<br />

1468<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

6<br />

7<br />

5<br />

8<br />

9<br />

10<br />

11<br />

12<br />

13<br />

14<br />

15<br />

16<br />

PVI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

808<br />

828<br />

962<br />

994<br />

1017<br />

1025<br />

1014<br />

1099<br />

1131<br />

1139<br />

1153<br />

1155<br />

1218<br />

1227<br />

1260<br />

1454<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

Tab. 4.1 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

-0,49<br />

-1,31<br />

-0,10<br />

1,02<br />

0,20<br />

0,00<br />

-1,46<br />

0,83<br />

0,09<br />

0,26<br />

1,05<br />

1,05<br />

-0,57<br />

-0,08<br />

0,64<br />

-0,55<br />

-0,09<br />

65


Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | 4<br />

Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

66<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

9<br />

10<br />

11<br />

12<br />

13<br />

14<br />

15<br />

15<br />

17<br />

18<br />

19<br />

20<br />

21<br />

22<br />

22<br />

24<br />

24<br />

26<br />

27<br />

28<br />

28<br />

30<br />

31<br />

32<br />

33<br />

34<br />

35<br />

36<br />

37<br />

38<br />

38<br />

Name<br />

Eichstätt, county<br />

München, county<br />

Starnberg, county<br />

Ebersberg, county<br />

Erlangen-Höchstadt, municipality<br />

Heidelberg, county<br />

Tübingen, county<br />

Main-Taunus county<br />

Jena, municipality<br />

Hochtaunus county<br />

Fürstenfeldbruck, county<br />

Böblingen, county<br />

Roth, county<br />

Rosenheim, county<br />

Dachau, county<br />

Fürth, county<br />

Biberach, county<br />

Main-Tauber county<br />

Alb-Donau county<br />

Stollberg, county<br />

Esslingen, county<br />

Augsburg, county<br />

Trier-Saarburg, county<br />

Ravensburg, county<br />

Schweinfurt, county<br />

Niederschlesischer Oberlausitz, c.<br />

Rheingau-Taunus county<br />

Aichach-Friedberg, county<br />

Bodensee county<br />

Würzburg, county<br />

Traunstein, county<br />

Reutlingen, county<br />

Bad Tölz-Wolfratshausen, county<br />

Erlangen, municipality<br />

Heilbronn, county<br />

Regensburg, county<br />

Freising, county<br />

Freudenstadt, county<br />

Neuburg-Schrobenhausen, county<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

534<br />

539<br />

546<br />

553<br />

577<br />

582<br />

593<br />

605<br />

617<br />

632<br />

637<br />

648<br />

651<br />

657<br />

659<br />

659<br />

662<br />

664<br />

666<br />

668<br />

669<br />

670<br />

670<br />

674<br />

674<br />

676<br />

677<br />

679<br />

679<br />

692<br />

697<br />

699<br />

706<br />

712<br />

715<br />

718<br />

720<br />

724<br />

724<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

-0,56<br />

0,75<br />

-1,80<br />

0,00<br />

-0,17<br />

-1,69<br />

0,85<br />

1,85<br />

-1,12<br />

0,64<br />

0,95<br />

1,09<br />

-1,96<br />

1,86<br />

0,61<br />

-0,60<br />

-0,45<br />

-2,35<br />

-2,49<br />

-0,30<br />

0,00<br />

-1,47<br />

-0,15<br />

0,75<br />

-0,44<br />

0,30<br />

0,00<br />

-1,02<br />

0,00<br />

0,29<br />

0,72<br />

-1,27<br />

0,28<br />

-2,20<br />

0,28<br />

-0,14<br />

0,14<br />

-2,03<br />

-9,95<br />

0,17<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

2<br />

1<br />

4<br />

3<br />

5<br />

7<br />

6<br />

8<br />

9<br />

10<br />

11<br />

12<br />

16<br />

13<br />

14<br />

15<br />

17<br />

26<br />

28<br />

20<br />

18<br />

26<br />

21<br />

18<br />

23<br />

22<br />

23<br />

29<br />

25<br />

30<br />

31<br />

33<br />

32<br />

37<br />

34<br />

35<br />

35<br />

40<br />

76<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

537<br />

535<br />

556<br />

553<br />

578<br />

592<br />

588<br />

594<br />

624<br />

628<br />

631<br />

641<br />

664<br />

645<br />

655<br />

663<br />

665<br />

680<br />

683<br />

670<br />

669<br />

680<br />

671<br />

669<br />

677<br />

674<br />

677<br />

686<br />

679<br />

690<br />

692<br />

708<br />

704<br />

728<br />

713<br />

719<br />

719<br />

739<br />

804<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

5<br />

2<br />

1<br />

4<br />

7<br />

6<br />

8<br />

11<br />

10<br />

13<br />

16<br />

18<br />

21<br />

23<br />

23<br />

17<br />

19<br />

14<br />

12<br />

26<br />

27<br />

15<br />

21<br />

29<br />

23<br />

33<br />

27<br />

31<br />

30<br />

37<br />

39<br />

34<br />

36<br />

35<br />

43<br />

42<br />

40<br />

41<br />

9<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

551<br />

536<br />

523<br />

542<br />

575<br />

573<br />

602<br />

618<br />

610<br />

634<br />

650<br />

653<br />

661<br />

668<br />

668<br />

651<br />

657<br />

644<br />

633<br />

671<br />

672<br />

648<br />

661<br />

674<br />

668<br />

687<br />

672<br />

684<br />

681<br />

701<br />

702<br />

692<br />

698<br />

696<br />

717<br />

714<br />

708<br />

710<br />

607<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

3,18<br />

-0,56<br />

-4,21<br />

-1,99<br />

-0,35<br />

-1,55<br />

1,52<br />

2,15<br />

-1,13<br />

0,32<br />

2,04<br />

0,77<br />

1,54<br />

1,67<br />

1,37<br />

-1,21<br />

-0,76<br />

-3,01<br />

-4,95<br />

0,45<br />

0,45<br />

-3,28<br />

-1,34<br />

0,00<br />

-0,89<br />

1,63<br />

-0,74<br />

0,74<br />

0,29<br />

1,30<br />

0,72<br />

-1,00<br />

-1,13<br />

-2,25<br />

0,28<br />

-0,56<br />

-1,67<br />

-1,93<br />

-16,16<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

-0,09


Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

40<br />

41<br />

42<br />

43<br />

44<br />

44<br />

46<br />

47<br />

48<br />

49<br />

50<br />

50<br />

52<br />

53<br />

54<br />

55<br />

56<br />

56<br />

56<br />

59<br />

60<br />

61<br />

61<br />

61<br />

64<br />

65<br />

66<br />

67<br />

68<br />

69<br />

70<br />

71<br />

71<br />

73<br />

74<br />

75<br />

76<br />

77<br />

77<br />

Name<br />

Rottweil, county<br />

Amberg-Sulzbach, county<br />

Neustadt a.d.Waldnaab, county<br />

Rhein-Pfalz county<br />

Donau-Ries, county<br />

Main-Spessart, county<br />

Hohenlohe county<br />

Landsberg am Lech, county<br />

Stormarn, county<br />

Miesbach, county<br />

Enz county<br />

Pfaffenh<strong>of</strong>en a.d.Ilm, county<br />

Unterallgäu, county<br />

Rhein-Neckar county<br />

Erding, county<br />

Ludwigsburg, county<br />

Harburg, county<br />

Mittlerer Erzgebirgs county<br />

München, municipality<br />

Münster, municipality<br />

Aschaffenburg, county<br />

Bamberg, county<br />

Karlsruhe, county<br />

Neumarkt i.d.OPf., county<br />

Kamenz, county<br />

Breisgau-Hochschwarzwald, county<br />

Weißeritz county<br />

Rastatt, county<br />

Ansbach, county<br />

Eichsfeld, county<br />

Rottal-Inn, county<br />

Altötting, county<br />

Berchtesgadener Land, county<br />

Mainz, municipality<br />

Weilheim-Schongau, county<br />

Rhein-Hunsrück county<br />

Lindau (Bodensee), county<br />

Neu-Ulm, county<br />

Rems-Murr county<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

725<br />

726<br />

730<br />

739<br />

740<br />

740<br />

741<br />

748<br />

755<br />

756<br />

759<br />

759<br />

761<br />

764<br />

765<br />

766<br />

767<br />

767<br />

767<br />

769<br />

776<br />

777<br />

777<br />

777<br />

778<br />

779<br />

780<br />

781<br />

787<br />

789<br />

790<br />

792<br />

792<br />

795<br />

797<br />

799<br />

802<br />

803<br />

803<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

-2,03<br />

-6,08<br />

-4,70<br />

0,27<br />

-1,60<br />

-2,25<br />

0,68<br />

0,94<br />

1,48<br />

-1,05<br />

1,07<br />

-1,17<br />

2,98<br />

0,00<br />

2,14<br />

0,26<br />

0,26<br />

1,99<br />

0,66<br />

0,65<br />

-0,77<br />

-18,89<br />

0,26<br />

-2,63<br />

0,65<br />

0,78<br />

-0,38<br />

1,30<br />

-0,88<br />

1,41<br />

-1,37<br />

0,38<br />

-1,86<br />

0,63<br />

-0,75<br />

0,38<br />

1,78<br />

-1,35<br />

-0,50<br />

0,17<br />

Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

42<br />

59<br />

56<br />

39<br />

47<br />

49<br />

38<br />

43<br />

44<br />

51<br />

46<br />

57<br />

40<br />

51<br />

45<br />

51<br />

55<br />

47<br />

50<br />

51<br />

64<br />

177<br />

62<br />

73<br />

59<br />

59<br />

65<br />

58<br />

71<br />

63<br />

74<br />

68<br />

79<br />

69<br />

75<br />

72<br />

67<br />

83<br />

79<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

740<br />

773<br />

766<br />

737<br />

752<br />

757<br />

736<br />

741<br />

744<br />

764<br />

751<br />

768<br />

739<br />

764<br />

749<br />

764<br />

765<br />

752<br />

762<br />

764<br />

782<br />

958<br />

775<br />

798<br />

773<br />

773<br />

783<br />

771<br />

794<br />

778<br />

801<br />

789<br />

807<br />

790<br />

803<br />

796<br />

788<br />

814<br />

807<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

37<br />

20<br />

32<br />

59<br />

44<br />

47<br />

48<br />

49<br />

61<br />

50<br />

52<br />

55<br />

46<br />

52<br />

74<br />

55<br />

55<br />

63<br />

55<br />

60<br />

54<br />

3<br />

64<br />

75<br />

64<br />

69<br />

61<br />

76<br />

51<br />

72<br />

45<br />

70<br />

71<br />

77<br />

67<br />

66<br />

80<br />

73<br />

78<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

701<br />

660<br />

686<br />

769<br />

719<br />

740<br />

748<br />

749<br />

772<br />

760<br />

765<br />

768<br />

738<br />

765<br />

793<br />

768<br />

768<br />

776<br />

768<br />

770<br />

767<br />

537<br />

777<br />

795<br />

777<br />

785<br />

772<br />

798<br />

762<br />

791<br />

722<br />

787<br />

790<br />

799<br />

784<br />

783<br />

804<br />

792<br />

802<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

-3,31<br />

-9,09<br />

-6,03<br />

4,06<br />

-2,84<br />

0,00<br />

0,94<br />

0,13<br />

2,25<br />

0,53<br />

0,79<br />

1,19<br />

-3,02<br />

0,13<br />

3,66<br />

0,26<br />

0,13<br />

1,17<br />

0,13<br />

0,13<br />

-1,16<br />

-30,89<br />

0,00<br />

2,32<br />

-0,13<br />

0,77<br />

-1,03<br />

2,18<br />

-3,18<br />

0,25<br />

-8,61<br />

-0,63<br />

-0,25<br />

0,50<br />

-1,63<br />

-2,00<br />

0,25<br />

-1,37<br />

-0,12<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

-0,09<br />

67


Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

68<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

79<br />

79<br />

81<br />

82<br />

83<br />

84<br />

85<br />

86<br />

87<br />

88<br />

88<br />

88<br />

88<br />

88<br />

93<br />

93<br />

95<br />

96<br />

96<br />

98<br />

99<br />

100<br />

100<br />

102<br />

103<br />

104<br />

105<br />

106<br />

106<br />

108<br />

108<br />

110<br />

110<br />

110<br />

113<br />

114<br />

115<br />

116<br />

117<br />

Name<br />

Landshut, county<br />

Potsdam-Mittelmark, county<br />

Calw, county<br />

Straubing-Bogen, county<br />

Forchheim, county<br />

Mainz-Bingen, county<br />

Coesfeld, county<br />

Oberallgäu, county<br />

Rhön-Grabfeld, county<br />

Darmstadt-Dieburg, county<br />

Freiberg, county<br />

Freiburg im Breisgau, county<br />

Saale-Holzland county<br />

Südwestpfalz, county<br />

Kaiserslautern, county<br />

Schwabach, municipality<br />

Sächsische Schweiz, county<br />

Nürnberger Land, county<br />

Tuttlingen, county<br />

Rheinisch-Bergischer county<br />

Zollernalbkreis<br />

Bayreuth, county<br />

Mittweida, county<br />

Cochem-Zell, county<br />

Sömmerda, county<br />

Löbau-Zittau, county<br />

Günzburg, county<br />

Garmisch-Partenkirchen, county<br />

Kassel, county<br />

Schwarzwald-Baar county<br />

St. Wendel, county<br />

Fulda, county<br />

Gütersloh, county<br />

Ingolstadt, municipality<br />

Schwäbisch Hall, county<br />

Schwandorf, county<br />

Leipziger Land, county<br />

Gießen, county<br />

Pinneberg, county<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

804<br />

804<br />

806<br />

807<br />

812<br />

813<br />

814<br />

815<br />

819<br />

824<br />

824<br />

824<br />

824<br />

824<br />

825<br />

825<br />

826<br />

827<br />

827<br />

832<br />

836<br />

839<br />

839<br />

840<br />

843<br />

848<br />

852<br />

856<br />

856<br />

858<br />

858<br />

859<br />

859<br />

859<br />

860<br />

861<br />

862<br />

864<br />

865<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

-0,25<br />

2,29<br />

1,77<br />

-2,06<br />

-0,37<br />

0,74<br />

1,24<br />

0,49<br />

-0,73<br />

1,23<br />

-0,60<br />

0,12<br />

0,86<br />

-2,14<br />

-0,60<br />

0,12<br />

1,10<br />

0,49<br />

0,85<br />

2,09<br />

-1,07<br />

-1,53<br />

-0,71<br />

0,96<br />

-0,94<br />

1,44<br />

-0,47<br />

0,12<br />

0,82<br />

-1,15<br />

1,90<br />

-1,72<br />

0,82<br />

1,18<br />

-1,83<br />

-0,92<br />

0,58<br />

-1,26<br />

0,35<br />

0,17<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

78<br />

66<br />

70<br />

92<br />

85<br />

79<br />

76<br />

82<br />

94<br />

83<br />

95<br />

90<br />

87<br />

99<br />

96<br />

92<br />

87<br />

90<br />

89<br />

85<br />

101<br />

106<br />

101<br />

97<br />

105<br />

98<br />

110<br />

108<br />

103<br />

118<br />

99<br />

122<br />

106<br />

103<br />

124<br />

120<br />

111<br />

123<br />

114<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

806<br />

786<br />

792<br />

824<br />

815<br />

807<br />

804<br />

811<br />

825<br />

814<br />

829<br />

823<br />

817<br />

842<br />

830<br />

824<br />

817<br />

823<br />

820<br />

815<br />

845<br />

852<br />

845<br />

832<br />

851<br />

836<br />

856<br />

855<br />

849<br />

868<br />

842<br />

874<br />

852<br />

849<br />

876<br />

869<br />

857<br />

875<br />

862<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

84<br />

84<br />

95<br />

67<br />

83<br />

89<br />

90<br />

93<br />

90<br />

97<br />

82<br />

90<br />

96<br />

80<br />

104<br />

100<br />

103<br />

97<br />

78<br />

117<br />

88<br />

87<br />

102<br />

112<br />

101<br />

113<br />

107<br />

109<br />

117<br />

107<br />

127<br />

105<br />

115<br />

138<br />

106<br />

111<br />

123<br />

110<br />

120<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

818<br />

818<br />

828<br />

784<br />

813<br />

821<br />

822<br />

823<br />

822<br />

830<br />

810<br />

822<br />

829<br />

804<br />

843<br />

831<br />

837<br />

830<br />

802<br />

866<br />

820<br />

819<br />

834<br />

855<br />

832<br />

859<br />

849<br />

851<br />

866<br />

849<br />

876<br />

846<br />

865<br />

889<br />

847<br />

854<br />

871<br />

852<br />

867<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

1,74<br />

1,74<br />

2,73<br />

-2,85<br />

0,12<br />

0,98<br />

0,98<br />

0,98<br />

0,37<br />

0,73<br />

-1,70<br />

-0,24<br />

0,61<br />

-2,43<br />

2,18<br />

0,73<br />

1,33<br />

0,36<br />

-3,02<br />

4,09<br />

-1,91<br />

-2,38<br />

-0,60<br />

1,79<br />

-1,30<br />

1,30<br />

-0,35<br />

-0,58<br />

1,17<br />

-1,05<br />

2,10<br />

-1,51<br />

0,70<br />

3,49<br />

-1,51<br />

-0,81<br />

1,04<br />

-1,39<br />

0,23<br />

-0,09


Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

118<br />

119<br />

120<br />

121<br />

122<br />

122<br />

124<br />

125<br />

126<br />

127<br />

128<br />

128<br />

130<br />

131<br />

132<br />

132<br />

134<br />

134<br />

136<br />

136<br />

138<br />

138<br />

140<br />

141<br />

142<br />

142<br />

144<br />

145<br />

146<br />

147<br />

148<br />

148<br />

150<br />

151<br />

152<br />

153<br />

153<br />

153<br />

153<br />

Name<br />

Siegen-Wittgenstein, county<br />

Darmstadt, municipality<br />

Würzburg, municipality<br />

Göppingen, county<br />

Passau, county<br />

Riesa-Großenhain, county<br />

Ahrweiler, county<br />

Ulm, Stadt county<br />

Offenbach, county<br />

Vogtland county<br />

Annaberg, county<br />

Konstanz, county<br />

Karlsruhe, Stadt county<br />

Ostallgäu, county<br />

Stuttgart, Stadt county<br />

Waldshut, county<br />

Freyung-Grafenau, county<br />

Heidenheim, county<br />

Meißen, county<br />

Spree-Neiße, county<br />

Emmendingen, county<br />

Warendorf, county<br />

Lörrach, county<br />

Bad Dürkheim, county<br />

Dillingen a.d.Donau, county<br />

Rhein-Sieg county<br />

Sigmaringen, county<br />

Bergstraße, county<br />

Südliche Weinstraße, county<br />

Ostalb county<br />

Limburg-Weilburg, county<br />

Oberspreewald-Lausitz, county<br />

Bautzen, county<br />

Deggendorf, county<br />

Aachen, municipality<br />

Chemnitzer Land, county<br />

Groß-Gerau, county<br />

Mühldorf a. Inn, county<br />

Wolfsburg, municipality<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

866<br />

867<br />

870<br />

873<br />

874<br />

874<br />

876<br />

877<br />

878<br />

879<br />

881<br />

881<br />

883<br />

885<br />

888<br />

888<br />

889<br />

889<br />

893<br />

893<br />

899<br />

899<br />

902<br />

904<br />

905<br />

905<br />

906<br />

908<br />

909<br />

917<br />

920<br />

920<br />

923<br />

924<br />

926<br />

927<br />

927<br />

927<br />

927<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

1,29<br />

1,05<br />

-0,34<br />

0,92<br />

-0,68<br />

1,16<br />

1,86<br />

-3,31<br />

1,50<br />

1,27<br />

0,46<br />

0,46<br />

-0,23<br />

-0,45<br />

-0,67<br />

-6,53<br />

-2,31<br />

-0,89<br />

0,11<br />

0,22<br />

0,56<br />

1,47<br />

0,33<br />

-0,22<br />

-4,03<br />

2,38<br />

-2,05<br />

-1,41<br />

-0,55<br />

-0,86<br />

1,43<br />

0,66<br />

-2,64<br />

-2,33<br />

1,87<br />

0,43<br />

0,00<br />

1,87<br />

-3,03<br />

0,17<br />

Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

108<br />

112<br />

121<br />

116<br />

127<br />

115<br />

113<br />

139<br />

116<br />

118<br />

125<br />

125<br />

129<br />

131<br />

134<br />

169<br />

142<br />

136<br />

133<br />

132<br />

134<br />

130<br />

137<br />

138<br />

161<br />

128<br />

151<br />

147<br />

144<br />

151<br />

139<br />

144<br />

167<br />

165<br />

141<br />

148<br />

155<br />

142<br />

176<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

855<br />

858<br />

873<br />

865<br />

880<br />

864<br />

860<br />

907<br />

865<br />

868<br />

877<br />

877<br />

885<br />

889<br />

894<br />

950<br />

910<br />

897<br />

892<br />

891<br />

894<br />

886<br />

899<br />

906<br />

943<br />

884<br />

925<br />

921<br />

914<br />

925<br />

907<br />

914<br />

948<br />

946<br />

909<br />

923<br />

927<br />

910<br />

956<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

126<br />

127<br />

115<br />

114<br />

121<br />

130<br />

139<br />

97<br />

142<br />

137<br />

132<br />

136<br />

129<br />

125<br />

131<br />

94<br />

117<br />

122<br />

132<br />

139<br />

148<br />

152<br />

145<br />

148<br />

123<br />

156<br />

142<br />

135<br />

144<br />

151<br />

172<br />

154<br />

139<br />

146<br />

189<br />

159<br />

153<br />

167<br />

146<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

875<br />

876<br />

865<br />

863<br />

868<br />

879<br />

891<br />

830<br />

895<br />

887<br />

882<br />

884<br />

877<br />

873<br />

880<br />

827<br />

866<br />

869<br />

882<br />

891<br />

908<br />

912<br />

898<br />

908<br />

871<br />

921<br />

895<br />

883<br />

897<br />

910<br />

949<br />

920<br />

891<br />

904<br />

978<br />

931<br />

917<br />

943<br />

904<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

1,04<br />

1,04<br />

-0,57<br />

-1,15<br />

-0,69<br />

0,57<br />

1,71<br />

-5,36<br />

1,94<br />

0,91<br />

0,11<br />

0,34<br />

-0,68<br />

-1,36<br />

-0,90<br />

-6,87<br />

-2,59<br />

-2,25<br />

-1,23<br />

-0,22<br />

1,00<br />

1,45<br />

-0,44<br />

0,44<br />

-3,76<br />

1,77<br />

-1,21<br />

-2,75<br />

-1,32<br />

-0,76<br />

3,15<br />

0,00<br />

-3,47<br />

-2,16<br />

5,62<br />

0,43<br />

-1,08<br />

1,73<br />

-2,48<br />

-0,09<br />

69


Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

70<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

157<br />

158<br />

159<br />

159<br />

161<br />

162<br />

163<br />

164<br />

165<br />

166<br />

167<br />

168<br />

168<br />

168<br />

171<br />

172<br />

172<br />

174<br />

174<br />

174<br />

177<br />

178<br />

179<br />

180<br />

180<br />

180<br />

183<br />

184<br />

185<br />

185<br />

187<br />

187<br />

189<br />

189<br />

189<br />

192<br />

192<br />

194<br />

194<br />

Name<br />

Neustadt a.d. Aisch-Bad Windsheim, r.d.<br />

Main-Kinzig county<br />

Aue-Schwarzenberg, county<br />

Wittenberg, county<br />

Rhein county Neuss<br />

Wetterau county<br />

Ortenau county<br />

Tirschenreuth, county<br />

Paderborn, county<br />

Bonn, municipality<br />

Potsdam, municipality<br />

Hildburghausen, county<br />

Muldental county<br />

Saalfeld-Rudolstadt, county<br />

Ilm county<br />

Regensburg, municipality<br />

Saale-Orla county<br />

Dresden, municipality<br />

Germersheim, county<br />

Haßberge, county<br />

Segeberg, county<br />

Göttingen, county<br />

Baden-Baden, Stadt county<br />

Kelheim, county<br />

Neckar-Odenwald county<br />

Zwickauer Land, county<br />

Rendsburg-Eckernförde, county<br />

Elbe-Elster, county<br />

Greifswald, municipality<br />

Greiz, county<br />

Birkenfeld, county<br />

Cham, county<br />

Bernkastel-Wittlich, county<br />

Kitzingen, county<br />

Merzig-Wadern, county<br />

Osnabrück, county<br />

Stade, county<br />

Bitburg-Prüm, county<br />

Mettmann, county<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

929<br />

930<br />

931<br />

931<br />

933<br />

934<br />

936<br />

937<br />

942<br />

943<br />

944<br />

945<br />

945<br />

945<br />

950<br />

951<br />

951<br />

953<br />

953<br />

953<br />

955<br />

957<br />

961<br />

964<br />

964<br />

964<br />

965<br />

973<br />

975<br />

975<br />

976<br />

976<br />

978<br />

978<br />

978<br />

979<br />

979<br />

981<br />

981<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

-0,64<br />

0,65<br />

0,87<br />

-0,32<br />

1,74<br />

0,21<br />

0,54<br />

-3,00<br />

1,73<br />

1,84<br />

1,29<br />

-0,84<br />

-0,11<br />

-1,05<br />

-0,21<br />

0,00<br />

-0,83<br />

0,85<br />

-1,24<br />

-3,25<br />

0,42<br />

1,48<br />

1,37<br />

-0,92<br />

0,31<br />

-0,72<br />

1,05<br />

0,41<br />

-1,91<br />

1,67<br />

3,28<br />

-0,41<br />

-0,91<br />

-0,41<br />

1,77<br />

0,31<br />

0,93<br />

-2,10<br />

1,76<br />

0,17<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

160<br />

150<br />

148<br />

159<br />

146<br />

157<br />

156<br />

184<br />

153<br />

153<br />

157<br />

173<br />

165<br />

174<br />

172<br />

170<br />

178<br />

163<br />

183<br />

195<br />

170<br />

161<br />

167<br />

189<br />

180<br />

187<br />

174<br />

185<br />

201<br />

178<br />

163<br />

193<br />

196<br />

194<br />

180<br />

190<br />

186<br />

208<br />

182<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

935<br />

924<br />

923<br />

934<br />

917<br />

932<br />

931<br />

966<br />

926<br />

926<br />

932<br />

953<br />

946<br />

955<br />

952<br />

951<br />

959<br />

945<br />

965<br />

985<br />

951<br />

943<br />

948<br />

973<br />

961<br />

971<br />

955<br />

969<br />

994<br />

959<br />

945<br />

980<br />

987<br />

982<br />

961<br />

976<br />

970<br />

1002<br />

964<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

158<br />

162<br />

162<br />

157<br />

162<br />

175<br />

166<br />

148<br />

181<br />

172<br />

171<br />

160<br />

161<br />

169<br />

176<br />

174<br />

170<br />

179<br />

132<br />

154<br />

179<br />

185<br />

182<br />

165<br />

167<br />

177<br />

187<br />

193<br />

178<br />

195<br />

215<br />

185<br />

183<br />

183<br />

190<br />

195<br />

195<br />

192<br />

198<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

929<br />

938<br />

938<br />

927<br />

938<br />

952<br />

942<br />

908<br />

959<br />

949<br />

946<br />

935<br />

937<br />

944<br />

954<br />

951<br />

945<br />

958<br />

882<br />

920<br />

958<br />

968<br />

961<br />

941<br />

943<br />

955<br />

975<br />

981<br />

957<br />

984<br />

1018<br />

968<br />

967<br />

967<br />

979<br />

984<br />

984<br />

980<br />

990<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

0,00<br />

0,86<br />

0,75<br />

-0,43<br />

0,54<br />

1,93<br />

0,64<br />

-3,09<br />

1,80<br />

0,64<br />

0,21<br />

-1,06<br />

-0,85<br />

-0,11<br />

0,42<br />

0,00<br />

-0,63<br />

0,52<br />

-7,45<br />

-3,46<br />

0,31<br />

1,15<br />

0,00<br />

-2,39<br />

-2,18<br />

-0,93<br />

1,04<br />

0,82<br />

-1,85<br />

0,92<br />

4,30<br />

-0,82<br />

-1,12<br />

-1,12<br />

0,10<br />

0,51<br />

0,51<br />

-0,10<br />

0,92<br />

-0,09


Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

196<br />

197<br />

197<br />

199<br />

200<br />

201<br />

202<br />

202<br />

204<br />

204<br />

206<br />

207<br />

208<br />

208<br />

210<br />

211<br />

211<br />

213<br />

214<br />

215<br />

216<br />

217<br />

218<br />

218<br />

220<br />

220<br />

222<br />

223<br />

223<br />

223<br />

226<br />

227<br />

228<br />

229<br />

229<br />

231<br />

232<br />

232<br />

234<br />

Name<br />

Hoyerswerda, municipality<br />

Gotha, county<br />

Vogelsberg county<br />

Bad Kissingen, county<br />

Dingolfing-Landau, county<br />

Neuwied, county<br />

Osnabrück, municipality<br />

Weimarer-Land, county<br />

Schmalkalden-Meiningen, county<br />

Wolfenbüttel, county<br />

Steinfurt, county<br />

Rosenheim, municipality<br />

Alzey-Worms, county<br />

Oberbergischer county<br />

Saarpfalz county<br />

Bamberg, municipality<br />

Döbeln, county<br />

Olpe, county<br />

Minden-Lübbecke, county<br />

Miltenberg, county<br />

Coburg, county<br />

Viersen, county<br />

Saarlouis, county<br />

Schwalm-Eder county<br />

Parchim, county<br />

Rhein-Lahn county<br />

Weißenburg-Gunzenhausen, r. district<br />

Hamburg, state<br />

Plön, county<br />

Regen, county<br />

Marburg-Biedenkopf, county<br />

Ennepe-Ruhr county<br />

Westerwald county<br />

Wartburg county<br />

Wesel, county<br />

Mayen-Koblenz, county<br />

Gifhorn, county<br />

Schweinfurt, municipality<br />

Lahn-Dill county<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

983<br />

985<br />

985<br />

989<br />

991<br />

995<br />

996<br />

996<br />

1001<br />

1001<br />

1002<br />

1004<br />

1007<br />

1007<br />

1009<br />

1011<br />

1011<br />

1013<br />

1018<br />

1019<br />

1020<br />

1021<br />

1023<br />

1023<br />

1026<br />

1026<br />

1028<br />

1029<br />

1029<br />

1029<br />

1031<br />

1032<br />

1033<br />

1034<br />

1034<br />

1039<br />

1041<br />

1041<br />

1042<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

1,24<br />

0,72<br />

-1,99<br />

-0,50<br />

0,41<br />

0,81<br />

0,00<br />

0,40<br />

-0,20<br />

-0,20<br />

0,50<br />

0,40<br />

1,00<br />

2,03<br />

3,17<br />

-12,39<br />

-1,27<br />

0,50<br />

1,50<br />

-1,36<br />

-1,35<br />

1,19<br />

2,30<br />

-1,06<br />

-2,29<br />

0,39<br />

0,19<br />

0,00<br />

-0,58<br />

0,59<br />

-1,62<br />

1,18<br />

0,39<br />

-0,86<br />

1,97<br />

0,48<br />

1,46<br />

0,68<br />

-0,38<br />

0,17<br />

Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

187<br />

191<br />

212<br />

201<br />

196<br />

196<br />

203<br />

200<br />

209<br />

209<br />

204<br />

206<br />

204<br />

196<br />

191<br />

302<br />

220<br />

213<br />

209<br />

227<br />

228<br />

214<br />

206<br />

228<br />

245<br />

218<br />

221<br />

223<br />

232<br />

219<br />

243<br />

217<br />

223<br />

236<br />

216<br />

228<br />

221<br />

228<br />

240<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

971<br />

978<br />

1005<br />

994<br />

987<br />

987<br />

996<br />

992<br />

1003<br />

1003<br />

997<br />

1000<br />

997<br />

987<br />

978<br />

1154<br />

1024<br />

1008<br />

1003<br />

1033<br />

1034<br />

1009<br />

1000<br />

1034<br />

1050<br />

1022<br />

1026<br />

1029<br />

1035<br />

1023<br />

1048<br />

1020<br />

1029<br />

1043<br />

1014<br />

1034<br />

1026<br />

1034<br />

1046<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

199<br />

194<br />

187<br />

190<br />

212<br />

201<br />

201<br />

204<br />

204<br />

200<br />

208<br />

210<br />

215<br />

221<br />

220<br />

84<br />

215<br />

215<br />

231<br />

201<br />

207<br />

228<br />

231<br />

214<br />

206<br />

233<br />

222<br />

212<br />

219<br />

226<br />

211<br />

235<br />

229<br />

222<br />

242<br />

235<br />

248<br />

239<br />

225<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

992<br />

982<br />

975<br />

979<br />

1014<br />

995<br />

995<br />

997<br />

997<br />

994<br />

1003<br />

1010<br />

1018<br />

1024<br />

1023<br />

818<br />

1018<br />

1018<br />

1038<br />

995<br />

1001<br />

1035<br />

1038<br />

1015<br />

998<br />

1040<br />

1027<br />

1014<br />

1021<br />

1033<br />

1013<br />

1046<br />

1036<br />

1027<br />

1051<br />

1046<br />

1065<br />

1047<br />

1030<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

0,92<br />

-0.30<br />

-1,02<br />

-1,01<br />

2,32<br />

0,00<br />

-0,10<br />

0,10<br />

-0,40<br />

-0,70<br />

0,10<br />

0,60<br />

1,09<br />

1,69<br />

1,39<br />

-19,09<br />

0,69<br />

0,49<br />

1,96<br />

-2,36<br />

-1,86<br />

1,37<br />

1,47<br />

-0,78<br />

-2,73<br />

1,36<br />

-0,10<br />

-1,46<br />

-0,78<br />

0,39<br />

-1,75<br />

1,36<br />

0,29<br />

-0,68<br />

1,64<br />

0,67<br />

2,31<br />

0,58<br />

-1,15<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

-0,09<br />

71


Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

72<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

234<br />

236<br />

236<br />

236<br />

236<br />

240<br />

240<br />

242<br />

243<br />

244<br />

245<br />

246<br />

247<br />

248<br />

248<br />

248<br />

251<br />

252<br />

252<br />

254<br />

254<br />

256<br />

257<br />

258<br />

258<br />

258<br />

258<br />

258<br />

263<br />

263<br />

263<br />

266<br />

267<br />

267<br />

267<br />

270<br />

271<br />

271<br />

273<br />

Name<br />

Oldenburg, county<br />

Altenburger Land, county<br />

Grafschaft Ben<strong>the</strong>im, county<br />

Kronach, county<br />

Lichtenfels, county<br />

Dahme-Spreewald, county<br />

Höxter, county<br />

H<strong>of</strong>, county<br />

Leverkusen, municipality<br />

Frankfurt am Main, municipality<br />

Neustadt a. d. Weinstraße, municipality<br />

Havelland, county<br />

Erftkreis<br />

Bad Kreuznach, county<br />

Börde, county<br />

Osterholz, county<br />

Emsland, county<br />

Cuxhaven, county<br />

Lüchow-Dannenberg, county<br />

Köln, municipality<br />

Passau, municipality<br />

Suhl, municipality<br />

Schleswig-Flensburg, county<br />

Donnersberg county<br />

Hannover, region<br />

Lippe, county<br />

Ostvorpommern, county<br />

Speyer, municipality<br />

Ammerland, county<br />

Diepholz, county<br />

Kulmbach, county<br />

Heilbronn, county<br />

Koblenz, municipality<br />

Nordvorpommern, county<br />

Oberhavel, county<br />

Mülheim an der Ruhr, municipality<br />

Burgenland county<br />

Prignitz, county<br />

Mecklenburg-Strelitz, county<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

1042<br />

1044<br />

1044<br />

1044<br />

1044<br />

1045<br />

1045<br />

1048<br />

1049<br />

1050<br />

1051<br />

1053<br />

1055<br />

1064<br />

1064<br />

1064<br />

1074<br />

1080<br />

1080<br />

1081<br />

1081<br />

1082<br />

1086<br />

1087<br />

1087<br />

1087<br />

1087<br />

1087<br />

1088<br />

1088<br />

1088<br />

1092<br />

1093<br />

1093<br />

1093<br />

1099<br />

1100<br />

1100<br />

1101<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

0,48<br />

1,46<br />

-1,69<br />

-2,70<br />

0,10<br />

0,19<br />

-0,67<br />

0,29<br />

1,75<br />

-0,10<br />

0,29<br />

1,25<br />

1,74<br />

1,72<br />

-0,19<br />

1,62<br />

-0,46<br />

7,04<br />

-1,73<br />

-0,28<br />

-0,92<br />

-0,46<br />

0,46<br />

-1,54<br />

0,46<br />

2,94<br />

-2,51<br />

-0,09<br />

-1,81<br />

-1,45<br />

0,18<br />

0,28<br />

0,28<br />

0,46<br />

2,34<br />

1,20<br />

0,09<br />

2,04<br />

1,38<br />

0,17<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

233<br />

223<br />

249<br />

252<br />

236<br />

236<br />

247<br />

239<br />

226<br />

246<br />

243<br />

235<br />

233<br />

240<br />

250<br />

242<br />

254<br />

214<br />

272<br />

257<br />

268<br />

261<br />

255<br />

275<br />

256<br />

248<br />

283<br />

262<br />

277<br />

275<br />

258<br />

264<br />

266<br />

262<br />

251<br />

258<br />

272<br />

253<br />

258<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

1037<br />

1029<br />

1062<br />

1073<br />

1043<br />

1043<br />

1052<br />

1045<br />

1031<br />

1051<br />

1048<br />

1040<br />

1037<br />

1046<br />

1066<br />

1047<br />

1079<br />

1009<br />

1099<br />

1084<br />

1091<br />

1087<br />

1081<br />

1104<br />

1082<br />

1056<br />

1115<br />

1088<br />

1108<br />

1104<br />

1086<br />

1089<br />

1090<br />

1088<br />

1068<br />

1086<br />

1099<br />

1078<br />

1086<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

239<br />

243<br />

227<br />

208<br />

229<br />

222<br />

235<br />

241<br />

258<br />

234<br />

235<br />

247<br />

253<br />

258<br />

246<br />

263<br />

251<br />

305<br />

245<br />

248<br />

253<br />

256<br />

260<br />

255<br />

262<br />

285<br />

243<br />

269<br />

252<br />

257<br />

266<br />

267<br />

268<br />

275<br />

275<br />

270<br />

270<br />

278<br />

280<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

1047<br />

1054<br />

1034<br />

1003<br />

1036<br />

1027<br />

1046<br />

1048<br />

1079<br />

1042<br />

1046<br />

1062<br />

1071<br />

1079<br />

1061<br />

1089<br />

1068<br />

1151<br />

1059<br />

1065<br />

1071<br />

1074<br />

1085<br />

1072<br />

1088<br />

1121<br />

1054<br />

1100<br />

1069<br />

1078<br />

1095<br />

1096<br />

1097<br />

1113<br />

1113<br />

1101<br />

1101<br />

1114<br />

1117<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

0,48<br />

0,96<br />

-0,96<br />

-3,93<br />

-0,77<br />

-1,72<br />

0,10<br />

0,00<br />

2,86<br />

-0,76<br />

-0,48<br />

0,85<br />

1,52<br />

1,41<br />

-0,28<br />

2,35<br />

-0,56<br />

6,57<br />

-1,94<br />

-1,48<br />

-0,93<br />

-0,74<br />

-0,09<br />

-1,38<br />

0,09<br />

3,13<br />

-3,04<br />

1,20<br />

-1,75<br />

-0,92<br />

0,64<br />

0,37<br />

0,37<br />

1,83<br />

1,83<br />

0,18<br />

0,09<br />

1,27<br />

1,45<br />

-0,09


Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

274<br />

274<br />

276<br />

277<br />

278<br />

279<br />

279<br />

281<br />

282<br />

283<br />

283<br />

285<br />

286<br />

287<br />

288<br />

288<br />

288<br />

291<br />

292<br />

293<br />

294<br />

295<br />

296<br />

296<br />

298<br />

298<br />

298<br />

301<br />

302<br />

303<br />

304<br />

305<br />

306<br />

307<br />

307<br />

309<br />

309<br />

311<br />

312<br />

Name<br />

Bad Doberan, county<br />

Chemnitz, municipality<br />

Peine, county<br />

Daun, county<br />

Nordfriesland, county<br />

Augsburg, municipality<br />

Kleve, county<br />

Mansfeld-Südharz, county<br />

Hochsauerland county<br />

Cottbus, municipality<br />

Trier, municipality<br />

Verden, county<br />

Unna, county<br />

Ludwigslust, county<br />

Herzogtum Lauenburg, county<br />

Landshut, municipality<br />

Wiesbaden, Landeshauptstadt, county<br />

Delitzsch, county<br />

Sonneberg, county<br />

Weimar, municipality<br />

Heinsberg, county<br />

Ostholstein, county<br />

Düsseldorf, municipality<br />

Torgau-Oschatz, county<br />

Coburg, municipality<br />

Recklinghausen, county<br />

Vechta, county<br />

Kusel, county<br />

Nordwestmecklenburg, county<br />

Bottrop, municipality<br />

Barnim, county<br />

Erfurt, municipality<br />

Waldeck-Frankenberg, county<br />

Aurich, county<br />

Landau in der Pfalz, municipality<br />

Anhalt-Bitterfeld, county<br />

Görlitz, municipality<br />

Nordhausen, county<br />

Braunschweig, municipality<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

1102<br />

1102<br />

1104<br />

1105<br />

1107<br />

1112<br />

1112<br />

1114<br />

1115<br />

1116<br />

1116<br />

1117<br />

1122<br />

1123<br />

1124<br />

1124<br />

1124<br />

1126<br />

1127<br />

1132<br />

1133<br />

1134<br />

1135<br />

1135<br />

1136<br />

1136<br />

1136<br />

1138<br />

1142<br />

1146<br />

1149<br />

1152<br />

1153<br />

1161<br />

1161<br />

1162<br />

1162<br />

1164<br />

1168<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

-1,25<br />

1,19<br />

0,73<br />

-1,34<br />

-0,09<br />

2,02<br />

1,37<br />

1,64<br />

0,54<br />

0,36<br />

-0,53<br />

-0,71<br />

1,91<br />

0,63<br />

0,09<br />

0,99<br />

0,54<br />

0,36<br />

1,26<br />

0,53<br />

1,43<br />

0,53<br />

0,35<br />

-1,22<br />

-0,18<br />

1,07<br />

-1,73<br />

-2,90<br />

-0,87<br />

2,05<br />

-0,61<br />

0,09<br />

-6,41<br />

-0,17<br />

-1,61<br />

-0,51<br />

0,35<br />

-2,18<br />

1,21<br />

Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

0,17<br />

284<br />

264<br />

269<br />

288<br />

277<br />

266<br />

271<br />

269<br />

279<br />

280<br />

289<br />

294<br />

274<br />

284<br />

291<br />

281<br />

287<br />

289<br />

281<br />

295<br />

286<br />

296<br />

297<br />

299<br />

298<br />

293<br />

304<br />

316<br />

301<br />

291<br />

304<br />

300<br />

347<br />

309<br />

321<br />

313<br />

307<br />

328<br />

302<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

1116<br />

1089<br />

1096<br />

1120<br />

1108<br />

1090<br />

1097<br />

1096<br />

1109<br />

1112<br />

1122<br />

1125<br />

1101<br />

1116<br />

1123<br />

1113<br />

1118<br />

1122<br />

1113<br />

1126<br />

1117<br />

1128<br />

1131<br />

1149<br />

1138<br />

1124<br />

1156<br />

1172<br />

1152<br />

1123<br />

1156<br />

1151<br />

1232<br />

1163<br />

1180<br />

1168<br />

1158<br />

1190<br />

1154<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

260<br />

280<br />

275<br />

263<br />

273<br />

287<br />

293<br />

298<br />

284<br />

292<br />

274<br />

272<br />

302<br />

282<br />

290<br />

296<br />

295<br />

300<br />

299<br />

285<br />

304<br />

300<br />

287<br />

283<br />

293<br />

302<br />

279<br />

265<br />

289<br />

311<br />

296<br />

307<br />

250<br />

308<br />

290<br />

309<br />

339<br />

305<br />

316<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

1085<br />

1117<br />

1113<br />

1089<br />

1106<br />

1123<br />

1129<br />

1137<br />

1120<br />

1126<br />

1109<br />

1105<br />

1147<br />

1118<br />

1125<br />

1133<br />

1130<br />

1143<br />

1139<br />

1121<br />

1150<br />

1143<br />

1123<br />

1119<br />

1129<br />

1147<br />

1115<br />

1093<br />

1124<br />

1168<br />

1133<br />

1152<br />

1067<br />

1153<br />

1125<br />

1154<br />

1220<br />

1151<br />

1182<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

-1,54<br />

1,36<br />

0,82<br />

-1,45<br />

-0,09<br />

0,99<br />

1,53<br />

2,06<br />

0,45<br />

0,90<br />

-0,63<br />

-1,07<br />

2,23<br />

-0,45<br />

0,09<br />

0,80<br />

0,53<br />

1,51<br />

1,06<br />

-0,97<br />

1,50<br />

0,79<br />

-1,06<br />

-1,41<br />

-0,62<br />

0,97<br />

-1,85<br />

-3,95<br />

-1,58<br />

1,92<br />

-1,39<br />

0,00<br />

-7,46<br />

-0,69<br />

-3,10<br />

-0,69<br />

4,99<br />

-1,12<br />

1,20<br />

-0,09<br />

73


Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

74<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

313<br />

313<br />

315<br />

316<br />

316<br />

318<br />

319<br />

320<br />

320<br />

320<br />

323<br />

324<br />

324<br />

326<br />

327<br />

327<br />

329<br />

329<br />

331<br />

331<br />

333<br />

334<br />

334<br />

336<br />

337<br />

338<br />

338<br />

340<br />

341<br />

342<br />

343<br />

343<br />

345<br />

346<br />

347<br />

348<br />

348<br />

350<br />

351<br />

Name<br />

Saale county<br />

Schaumburg, county<br />

Uckermark, county<br />

Borken, county<br />

Bremen, municipality<br />

Hersfeld-Rotenburg, county<br />

Nor<strong>the</strong>im, county<br />

Ansbach, municipality<br />

Müritz, county<br />

Nürnberg, municipality<br />

Lüneburg, county<br />

Euskirchen, county<br />

Kempten (Allgäu), municipality<br />

Weiden i.d.OPf., municipality<br />

Hildesheim, county<br />

Oldenburg (Oldenburg), municipality<br />

Amberg, municipality<br />

Stendal, county<br />

Aachen, county<br />

Rügen, county<br />

Helmstedt, county<br />

Harz, county<br />

Kyffhäuser county<br />

Osterode am Harz, county<br />

Oder-Spree, county<br />

Memmingen, municipality<br />

Teltow-Fläming, county<br />

Frankenthal (Pfalz), municipality<br />

Nienburg (Weser), Landkreis<br />

Ostprignitz-Ruppin, county<br />

Bayreuth, municipality<br />

Soest, county<br />

Cloppenburg, county<br />

Uecker-Randow, county<br />

Goslar, county<br />

Aschaffenburg, municipality<br />

Wismar, municipality<br />

Dessau-Roßlau, municipality<br />

Altenkirchen (Westerwald), county<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

1171<br />

1171<br />

1174<br />

1176<br />

1176<br />

1179<br />

1181<br />

1184<br />

1184<br />

1184<br />

1187<br />

1189<br />

1189<br />

1191<br />

1192<br />

1192<br />

1199<br />

1199<br />

1200<br />

1200<br />

1201<br />

1203<br />

1203<br />

1205<br />

1207<br />

1208<br />

1208<br />

1209<br />

1213<br />

1216<br />

1218<br />

1218<br />

1219<br />

1224<br />

1225<br />

1230<br />

1230<br />

1231<br />

1235<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

0,26<br />

0,95<br />

1,56<br />

-1,01<br />

0,51<br />

0,08<br />

1,37<br />

-0,92<br />

1,54<br />

-0,84<br />

0,34<br />

1,89<br />

-0,92<br />

-0,17<br />

0,76<br />

0,34<br />

-0,75<br />

2,04<br />

2,21<br />

-2,44<br />

1,09<br />

-0,58<br />

-0,91<br />

1,35<br />

1,43<br />

2,46<br />

0,25<br />

0,42<br />

-0,33<br />

1,33<br />

0,91<br />

0,66<br />

-1,22<br />

0,99<br />

1,32<br />

-0,32<br />

-1,13<br />

1,07<br />

-1,59<br />

0,17<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

313<br />

308<br />

304<br />

324<br />

315<br />

319<br />

310<br />

332<br />

311<br />

331<br />

322<br />

312<br />

333<br />

330<br />

322<br />

324<br />

338<br />

318<br />

317<br />

346<br />

324<br />

340<br />

343<br />

327<br />

328<br />

320<br />

336<br />

335<br />

344<br />

333<br />

337<br />

340<br />

348<br />

342<br />

339<br />

348<br />

350<br />

345<br />

353<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

1168<br />

1160<br />

1156<br />

1188<br />

1170<br />

1178<br />

1165<br />

1195<br />

1166<br />

1194<br />

1183<br />

1167<br />

1200<br />

1193<br />

1183<br />

1188<br />

1208<br />

1175<br />

1174<br />

1230<br />

1188<br />

1210<br />

1214<br />

1189<br />

1190<br />

1179<br />

1205<br />

1204<br />

1217<br />

1200<br />

1207<br />

1210<br />

1234<br />

1212<br />

1209<br />

1234<br />

1244<br />

1218<br />

1255<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

314<br />

316<br />

326<br />

310<br />

319<br />

314<br />

325<br />

323<br />

340<br />

313<br />

321<br />

351<br />

316<br />

349<br />

327<br />

320<br />

335<br />

340<br />

347<br />

311<br />

346<br />

322<br />

323<br />

337<br />

337<br />

327<br />

331<br />

334<br />

357<br />

344<br />

350<br />

336<br />

329<br />

352<br />

355<br />

333<br />

330<br />

355<br />

344<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

1175<br />

1182<br />

1198<br />

1157<br />

1189<br />

1175<br />

1197<br />

1195<br />

1222<br />

1171<br />

1192<br />

1238<br />

1182<br />

1229<br />

1201<br />

1191<br />

1217<br />

1222<br />

1227<br />

1168<br />

1225<br />

1194<br />

1195<br />

1219<br />

1219<br />

1201<br />

1211<br />

1216<br />

1250<br />

1224<br />

1230<br />

1218<br />

1204<br />

1239<br />

1247<br />

1214<br />

1208<br />

1247<br />

1224<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

0,34<br />

0,94<br />

2,04<br />

-1,62<br />

1,11<br />

-0,34<br />

1,35<br />

0,93<br />

3,21<br />

-1,10<br />

0,42<br />

4,12<br />

-0,59<br />

3,19<br />

0,76<br />

-0,08<br />

1,50<br />

1,92<br />

2,25<br />

-2,67<br />

2,00<br />

-0,75<br />

-0,67<br />

1,16<br />

0,99<br />

-0,58<br />

0,25<br />

0,58<br />

3,05<br />

0,66<br />

0,99<br />

0,00<br />

-1,23<br />

1,23<br />

1,80<br />

-1,30<br />

-1,79<br />

1,30<br />

-0,89<br />

-0,09


Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

352<br />

353<br />

354<br />

355<br />

356<br />

357<br />

358<br />

359<br />

360<br />

361<br />

361<br />

363<br />

364<br />

364<br />

366<br />

367<br />

368<br />

368<br />

370<br />

371<br />

371<br />

373<br />

374<br />

375<br />

376<br />

376<br />

378<br />

379<br />

379<br />

381<br />

382<br />

383<br />

383<br />

385<br />

386<br />

387<br />

388<br />

389<br />

390<br />

Name<br />

Pforzheim, county<br />

Hameln-Pyrmont, county<br />

Mannheim, county<br />

Bielefeld, municipality<br />

Remscheid, municipality<br />

Unstrut-Hainich-Kreis<br />

Essen, municipality<br />

Zweibrücken, municipality<br />

Salzland county<br />

Emden, municipality<br />

Herford, county<br />

Düren, county<br />

Märkischer county<br />

Steinburg, county<br />

Jerichower Land, county<br />

Leipzig, municipality<br />

Fürth, municipality<br />

Rotenburg (Wümme), municipality<br />

Bochum, municipality<br />

Saarbrücken, Stadtverband<br />

Salzgitter, municipality<br />

Werra-Meißner-Kreis<br />

Demmin, Kreis<br />

Märkisch-Oderland, county<br />

Holzminden, county<br />

Wunsiedel i.Fichtelgebirge, county<br />

Stralsund, municipality<br />

Kassel, municipality<br />

Wesermarsch, county<br />

Gera, municipality<br />

Uelzen, county<br />

Friesland, county<br />

Kaufbeuren, municipality<br />

Brandenburg an der Havel, municipality<br />

Leer, county<br />

Wittmund, county<br />

Hagen, municipality<br />

Güstrow, county<br />

Neunkirchen, county<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

1251<br />

1252<br />

1255<br />

1257<br />

1258<br />

1259<br />

1260<br />

1266<br />

1268<br />

1280<br />

1280<br />

1287<br />

1289<br />

1289<br />

1293<br />

1298<br />

1299<br />

1299<br />

1300<br />

1303<br />

1303<br />

1310<br />

1313<br />

1316<br />

1317<br />

1317<br />

1319<br />

1327<br />

1327<br />

1329<br />

1347<br />

1348<br />

1348<br />

1354<br />

1362<br />

1364<br />

1368<br />

1370<br />

1372<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

-0,16<br />

0,40<br />

-2,18<br />

-0,16<br />

-0,32<br />

-3,45<br />

0,16<br />

-1,78<br />

-0,08<br />

-3,69<br />

0,23<br />

0,78<br />

1,98<br />

-0,15<br />

-2,93<br />

2,20<br />

-0,08<br />

1,01<br />

0,54<br />

1,09<br />

1,09<br />

-0,23<br />

-0,53<br />

0,69<br />

1,93<br />

0,61<br />

-0,98<br />

0,61<br />

-0,08<br />

-0,37<br />

-1,32<br />

-0,66<br />

2,04<br />

0,82<br />

-0,66<br />

0,37<br />

1,03<br />

-0,80<br />

1,40<br />

0,17<br />

Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

352<br />

351<br />

362<br />

355<br />

356<br />

371<br />

354<br />

364<br />

358<br />

379<br />

360<br />

360<br />

357<br />

367<br />

380<br />

359<br />

370<br />

363<br />

369<br />

364<br />

364<br />

374<br />

376<br />

372<br />

368<br />

373<br />

380<br />

375<br />

378<br />

382<br />

390<br />

387<br />

377<br />

383<br />

392<br />

388<br />

386<br />

394<br />

385<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

1253<br />

1247<br />

1283<br />

1259<br />

1262<br />

1304<br />

1258<br />

1289<br />

1269<br />

1329<br />

1277<br />

1277<br />

1264<br />

1291<br />

1332<br />

1270<br />

1300<br />

1286<br />

1293<br />

1289<br />

1289<br />

1313<br />

1320<br />

1307<br />

1292<br />

1309<br />

1332<br />

1319<br />

1328<br />

1334<br />

1365<br />

1357<br />

1321<br />

1343<br />

1371<br />

1359<br />

1354<br />

1381<br />

1353<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

363<br />

359<br />

332<br />

360<br />

358<br />

343<br />

348<br />

353<br />

361<br />

340<br />

362<br />

364<br />

372<br />

368<br />

354<br />

380<br />

367<br />

375<br />

366<br />

369<br />

365<br />

371<br />

369<br />

372<br />

382<br />

380<br />

377<br />

379<br />

377<br />

374<br />

376<br />

382<br />

388<br />

386<br />

382<br />

385<br />

389<br />

387<br />

396<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

1289<br />

1256<br />

1213<br />

1257<br />

1252<br />

1223<br />

1228<br />

1243<br />

1267<br />

1222<br />

1279<br />

1297<br />

1312<br />

1302<br />

1244<br />

1338<br />

1301<br />

1327<br />

1300<br />

1308<br />

1299<br />

1309<br />

1308<br />

1312<br />

1343<br />

1338<br />

1334<br />

1337<br />

1334<br />

1313<br />

1328<br />

1343<br />

1379<br />

1351<br />

1343<br />

1347<br />

1385<br />

1357<br />

1394<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

3,04<br />

0,32<br />

-3,35<br />

0,00<br />

-0,48<br />

-2,86<br />

-2,54<br />

-1,82<br />

-0,08<br />

-4,53<br />

-0,08<br />

0,78<br />

1,78<br />

1,01<br />

-3,79<br />

3,08<br />

0,15<br />

2,16<br />

0,00<br />

0,38<br />

-0,31<br />

-0,08<br />

-0,38<br />

-0,30<br />

1,97<br />

1,59<br />

1,14<br />

0,75<br />

0,53<br />

-1,20<br />

-1,41<br />

-0,37<br />

2,30<br />

-0,22<br />

-1,40<br />

-1,25<br />

1,24<br />

-0,95<br />

1,60<br />

-0,09<br />

75


Schulden-Kompass | A | Teil-Analyse A-2 | 4<br />

Ranking: Private Debt Index (PDI) in <strong>the</strong> Counties<br />

Tab. 4.2 *Reporting date 31 Dec. <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year / **reporting date 30 June <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> respective year<br />

76<br />

Rank<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

390<br />

392<br />

393<br />

393<br />

395<br />

396<br />

397<br />

398<br />

399<br />

400<br />

401<br />

402<br />

403<br />

404<br />

405<br />

406<br />

407<br />

408<br />

409<br />

410<br />

411<br />

412<br />

413<br />

414<br />

415<br />

416<br />

417<br />

418<br />

419<br />

420<br />

421<br />

422<br />

423<br />

424<br />

425<br />

426<br />

427<br />

428<br />

429<br />

Name<br />

Plauen, municipality<br />

Dortmund, municipality<br />

Oberhausen, municipality<br />

Odenwald municipality<br />

Celle, county<br />

Altmark county Salzwedel<br />

Kaiserslautern, municipality<br />

Dithmarschen, county<br />

Krefeld, municipality<br />

Soltau-Fallingbostel, county<br />

Zwickau, municipality<br />

Frankfurt (Oder), municipality<br />

Neubrandenburg, municipality<br />

Rostock, municipality<br />

Lübeck, Hansestadt, municipality<br />

Solingen, municipality<br />

Ludwigshafen am Rhein, municipality<br />

Hamm, municipality<br />

Kiel, Landeshauptstadt, municipality<br />

Berlin, Land<br />

Straubing, municipality<br />

Herne, municipality<br />

Magdeburg, municipality<br />

Halle (Saale), municipality<br />

Worms, municipality<br />

Gelsenkirchen, municipality<br />

Wuppertal, municipality<br />

Schwerin, municipality<br />

Eisenach, municipality<br />

Offenbach am Main, municipality<br />

H<strong>of</strong>, municipality<br />

Duisburg, municipality<br />

Neumünster, municipality<br />

Flensburg, municipality<br />

Bremerhaven, municipality<br />

Delmenhorst, municipality<br />

Mönchengladbach, municipality<br />

Wilhelmshaven, municipality<br />

Pirmasens, municipality<br />

GERMANY<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

First half**<br />

1372<br />

1380<br />

1383<br />

1383<br />

1393<br />

1395<br />

1402<br />

1408<br />

1410<br />

1414<br />

1415<br />

1428<br />

1438<br />

1439<br />

1441<br />

1442<br />

1448<br />

1455<br />

1459<br />

1462<br />

1463<br />

1486<br />

1487<br />

1503<br />

1526<br />

1532<br />

1536<br />

1552<br />

1561<br />

1562<br />

1564<br />

1583<br />

1613<br />

1634<br />

1638<br />

1650<br />

1751<br />

1809<br />

2092<br />

1149<br />

Change<br />

2007*/<strong>2008</strong><br />

[%]<br />

2,01<br />

0,95<br />

0,73<br />

-0,22<br />

-0,50<br />

-0,71<br />

0,43<br />

0,50<br />

1,22<br />

-0,49<br />

-0,70<br />

4,92<br />

1,91<br />

0,14<br />

0,14<br />

0,77<br />

-1,16<br />

0,90<br />

0,27<br />

-0,41<br />

-2,98<br />

1,23<br />

0,13<br />

-0,07<br />

0,20<br />

2,82<br />

0,99<br />

-1,21<br />

-0,32<br />

1,49<br />

0,39<br />

-0,19<br />

1,90<br />

-1,45<br />

-0,79<br />

0,18<br />

1,16<br />

-0,82<br />

1,31<br />

0,17<br />

Rank<br />

2007*<br />

384<br />

391<br />

393<br />

395<br />

398<br />

400<br />

397<br />

399<br />

396<br />

402<br />

403<br />

389<br />

401<br />

405<br />

406<br />

404<br />

409<br />

407<br />

408<br />

410<br />

415<br />

410<br />

412<br />

414<br />

417<br />

413<br />

416<br />

421<br />

420<br />

418<br />

419<br />

423<br />

422<br />

426<br />

425<br />

424<br />

427<br />

428<br />

429<br />

PDI<br />

2007*<br />

1345<br />

1367<br />

1373<br />

1386<br />

1400<br />

1405<br />

1396<br />

1401<br />

1393<br />

1421<br />

1425<br />

1361<br />

1411<br />

1437<br />

1439<br />

1431<br />

1465<br />

1442<br />

1455<br />

1468<br />

1508<br />

1468<br />

1485<br />

1504<br />

1523<br />

1490<br />

1521<br />

1571<br />

1566<br />

1539<br />

1558<br />

1586<br />

1583<br />

1658<br />

1651<br />

1647<br />

1731<br />

1824<br />

2065<br />

1147<br />

Rank<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

398<br />

393<br />

399<br />

391<br />

389<br />

391<br />

401<br />

402<br />

403<br />

399<br />

397<br />

412<br />

410<br />

404<br />

407<br />

404<br />

393<br />

409<br />

408<br />

406<br />

395<br />

413<br />

411<br />

414<br />

416<br />

418<br />

417<br />

415<br />

423<br />

420<br />

421<br />

419<br />

425<br />

422<br />

424<br />

426<br />

427<br />

428<br />

429<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

PDI<br />

2009*<br />

pred.<br />

1398<br />

1391<br />

1400<br />

1390<br />

1385<br />

1390<br />

1405<br />

1408<br />

1430<br />

1400<br />

1396<br />

1481<br />

1464<br />

1440<br />

1460<br />

1440<br />

1391<br />

1463<br />

1462<br />

1454<br />

1392<br />

1492<br />

1475<br />

1520<br />

1536<br />

1573<br />

1552<br />

1530<br />

1607<br />

1588<br />

1591<br />

1579<br />

1634<br />

1604<br />

1626<br />

1650<br />

1770<br />

1804<br />

2118<br />

1148<br />

Change<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/2009*<br />

pred. [%]<br />

1,90<br />

0,80<br />

1,23<br />

0,51<br />

-0,57<br />

-0,36<br />

0,21<br />

0,00<br />

1,42<br />

-0,99<br />

-1,34<br />

3,71<br />

1,81<br />

0,07<br />

1,32<br />

-0,14<br />

-3,94<br />

0,55<br />

0,21<br />

-0,55<br />

-4,85<br />

0,40<br />

-0,81<br />

1,13<br />

0,66<br />

2,68<br />

1,04<br />

-1,42<br />

2,95<br />

1,66<br />

1,73<br />

-0,25<br />

1,30<br />

-1,84<br />

-0,73<br />

0,00<br />

1,09<br />

-0,28<br />

1,24<br />

-0,09


Imprint<br />

Herausgeber:<br />

<strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG<br />

Kormoranweg 5<br />

65201 Wiesbaden<br />

Projektleitung: Tanja Panhans<br />

Fachliche Expertise: Sven Albrecht,<br />

Dr. Dogan Argac, Stefanie Daum<br />

Redaktion: Intellisource GmbH<br />

Grafik: smavicon<br />

Layout: schnellerwerben


Herausgeber:<br />

<strong>SCHUFA</strong> Holding AG<br />

Kormoranweg 5<br />

65201 Wiesbaden<br />

Tel: +49 (0) 611 - 9278 - 888<br />

Fax: +49 (0) 611 - 9278 - 887<br />

anfrage@schulden-kompass.de<br />

www.schulden-kompass.de<br />

Wir schaffen Vertrauen

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!