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Abridged English version of the SCHUFA Credit Compass 2008

Abridged English version of the SCHUFA Credit Compass 2008

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Debt <strong>Compass</strong> | A | Sub-Analysis A-2 | Introduction<br />

50<br />

Introduction<br />

The Private Debt Index (PDI), which was developed by <strong>SCHUFA</strong>, is an instrument that not only<br />

analyses <strong>the</strong> historical development <strong>of</strong> critical indicators for private debt, but also forecasts <strong>the</strong><br />

future development in <strong>the</strong> medium range.<br />

The forecasts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI are unique in over-indebtedness research, because a single index figure<br />

from a wealth <strong>of</strong> individual indicators shows <strong>the</strong> private debt and over-indebtedness situation in<br />

all Germany, <strong>the</strong> 16 federal states and <strong>the</strong> currently 429 counties.<br />

The PDI shows <strong>the</strong> extent to which <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> over-indebtedness has decreased or increased, and<br />

how strong <strong>the</strong> critical indicators for private debt are represented in <strong>the</strong> individual geographical<br />

regions. To show <strong>the</strong> considerably varying regional development <strong>of</strong> private debt, <strong>the</strong> PDI figures<br />

for <strong>the</strong> five largest German cities are presented on zip code level in addition to <strong>the</strong> analyses on<br />

national and county level.<br />

The full year forecast has made <strong>the</strong> PDI <strong>the</strong> most important barometer for critical indicators<br />

<strong>of</strong> private debt in Germany. This increases transparency with respect to <strong>the</strong> over-indebtedness<br />

situation or over-indebtedness risk <strong>of</strong> private individuals in Germany. In view <strong>of</strong> tight money<br />

markets at present, <strong>the</strong> PDI can serve as an early warning signal that is important for <strong>the</strong> German<br />

economy.<br />

www.privatverschuldungsindex.de<br />

The current analyses are based on actual data from <strong>SCHUFA</strong>’s total data portfolio (reporting date<br />

30 June <strong>2008</strong>), as well as on <strong>the</strong> change as compared to <strong>the</strong> preceding year 2007 (reporting date<br />

31 December 2007) and <strong>the</strong> predicted changes for 2009 (reporting date 31 December 2009).<br />

The following chapters present <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PDI. Fur<strong>the</strong>r analyses with <strong>the</strong> PDI in combination<br />

with fur<strong>the</strong>r trends <strong>of</strong> debt and over-indebtedness with an interactive map <strong>of</strong> Germany are<br />

available in <strong>the</strong> internet at: www.privatverschuldungsindex.de

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