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Theory of Statistics - George Mason University

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310 3 Basic Statistical <strong>Theory</strong><br />

For comparing two estimators, we may use the asymptotic relative efficiency.<br />

The asymptotic relative efficiency <strong>of</strong> the estimators Sn and Tn for<br />

g(θ) wrt P is defined as<br />

ARE(Sn, Tn) = AMSE(Sn, g(θ), P)/AMSE(Tn, g(θ), P). (3.173)<br />

The ARE is essentially a scalar concept; for vectors, we usually do one at<br />

a time, ignoring covariances.<br />

Asymptotic Significance<br />

For use <strong>of</strong> asymptotic approximations for confidence sets and hypothesis testing,<br />

we need a concept <strong>of</strong> asymptotic significance. As in the case <strong>of</strong> exact<br />

significance, the concepts in confidence sets and hypothesis tests are essentially<br />

the same.<br />

We assume a family <strong>of</strong> distributions P, a sequence <strong>of</strong> statistics {Tn}, and<br />

a sequence <strong>of</strong> tests {δ(Xn)} based on the iid random variables X1, . . ., Xn.<br />

The test statistic δ(·) is defined in terms the decisions; it takes the value 1<br />

for the case <strong>of</strong> deciding to reject H0 and conclude H1, and the value 0 for the<br />

case <strong>of</strong> deciding not to reject H0.<br />

Asymptotic Properties <strong>of</strong> Tests<br />

In hypothesis testing, the standard setup is that we have an observable random<br />

variable with a distribution in the family P. Our hypotheses concern a specific<br />

member P ∈ P. We have a null hypothesis<br />

and an alternative hypothesis<br />

H0 : P ∈ P0<br />

H1 : P ∈ P1,<br />

where P0 ⊆ P, P1 ⊆ P, and P0 ∩ P1 = ∅.<br />

Definition 3.19 (limiting size)<br />

Letting β(δ(Xn), P) be the power function,<br />

We define<br />

β(δ(Xn), P) = PrP(δ(Xn) = 1).<br />

if it exists, as the limiting size <strong>of</strong> the test.<br />

<strong>Theory</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong> c○2000–2013 James E. Gentle<br />

lim<br />

n→∞ sup β(δ(Xn), P), (3.174)<br />

P ∈P0

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