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Theory of Statistics - George Mason University

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474 6 Statistical Inference Based on Likelihood<br />

qk(x, θ) + c(x, θ (k−1) ) ≤ lX(θ; x),<br />

where c(x, θ (k−1) ) is constant with respect to θ.<br />

Therefore for given θ (k−1) and any x,<br />

is a minorizing function for lX(θ; x).<br />

g(θ) = lX(θ (k−1) ; X) − qk(x, θ (k−1) )<br />

Alternative Ways <strong>of</strong> Performing the Computations<br />

There are two kinds <strong>of</strong> computations that must be performed in each iteration:<br />

<br />

• E step : compute qk(x, θ) = EU|x,θ (k−1) lc(θ; x, U) .<br />

• M step : determine θ (k) to maximize qk(x, θ), subject to any constraints<br />

on acceptable values <strong>of</strong> θ.<br />

There are obviously various ways to perform each <strong>of</strong> these computations.<br />

A number <strong>of</strong> papers since 1977 have suggested specific methods for the<br />

computations.<br />

For each specification <strong>of</strong> a method for doing the computations or each little<br />

modification, a new name is given, just as if it were a new idea:<br />

GEM, ECM, ECME, AECM, GAECM, PXEM, MCEM, AEM, EM1, SEM<br />

E Step<br />

There are various ways the expectation step can be carried out.<br />

In the happy case <strong>of</strong> a “nice” distribution, the expectation can be computed<br />

in closed form. Otherwise, computing the expectation is a numerical<br />

quadrature problem. There are various procedures for quadrature, including<br />

Monte Carlo.<br />

Some people have called an EM method that uses Monte Carlo to evaluate<br />

the expectation an MCEM method. (If a Newton-Cotes method is used,<br />

however, we do not call it an NCEM method!) The additional Monte Carlo<br />

computations add a lot to the overall time required for convergence <strong>of</strong> the EM<br />

method.<br />

An additional problem in using Monte Carlo in the expectation step may<br />

be that the distribution <strong>of</strong> C is difficult to simulate. The convergence criterion<br />

for optimization methods that involve Monte Carlo generally should be tighter<br />

than for deterministic methods.<br />

M Step<br />

For the maximization step, there are even more choices.<br />

<strong>Theory</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong> c○2000–2013 James E. Gentle

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