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Theory of Statistics - George Mason University

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Notes and Further Reading 377<br />

An alternative approach to probabilistic reasoning is the Dempster-Shafer<br />

theory <strong>of</strong> belief functions (see Shafer (1976) and Yager and Liu (2008)).<br />

In some cases, especially in hypothesis, the Bayesian approach is fundamentally<br />

different from the frequentist approach. The differences arise from<br />

the definition <strong>of</strong> the problem that is addressed. The articles by Casella and Berger<br />

(1987) (Roger) and (Jim) Berger and Sellke (1987) with accompanying discussion<br />

by several authors identify some <strong>of</strong> the differences in perspectives.<br />

Berger (1985) and Robert (2001) provide extensive coverage <strong>of</strong> statistical<br />

inference from a Bayesian perspective. Both <strong>of</strong> these books compare the “frequentist”<br />

and Bayesian approaches and argue that the Bayesian paradigm is<br />

more solidly grounded.<br />

Ghosh and Sen (1991) have considered Pitman closeness in the context <strong>of</strong><br />

a posterior distribution, and defined posterior Pitman closeness in terms <strong>of</strong><br />

probabilities evaluated with respect to the posterior distribution. Interestingly,<br />

the posterior Pitman closeness is transitive, while as we have seen on page 215,<br />

Pitman closeness does not have the transitive property.<br />

Notation and Lingo<br />

There are several instances in which the notation and terminology used in<br />

Bayesian statistics differ from the classical statistics that had evolved with a<br />

strong mathematical flavor.<br />

I generally like to use uppercase letters to distinguish random variables<br />

from realizations <strong>of</strong> those random variables, which I generally represent by<br />

corresponding lowercase letters, but it is common in writing about a Bayesian<br />

analysis not to distinguish a random variable from its realization.<br />

People who work with simple Bayes procedures began calling the distribution<br />

<strong>of</strong> the reciprocal <strong>of</strong> a chi-squared random variable an “inverse” chisquared<br />

distribution. Because “inverse” is used in the names <strong>of</strong> distributions<br />

in a different way (“inverse Gaussian”, for example), I prefer the term inverted<br />

chi-squared, or inverted gamma.<br />

What is <strong>of</strong>ten called a “simple hypothesis” by most statisticians is <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

called a “sharp hypothesis in Bayesian analyses.<br />

The Bayesian Religious Wars <strong>of</strong> the Mid-Twentieth Century<br />

The analysis by Lindley and Phillips (1976) ********************.<br />

in Example 3.12<br />

Hartley (1963)<br />

A rather humorous historical survey <strong>of</strong> the antithetical Bayesian and frequentist<br />

approaches is given in McGrayne (2011).<br />

Prior Distributions<br />

Ghosh (2011) objective priors<br />

<strong>Theory</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong> c○2000–2013 James E. Gentle

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