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Growth and Regeneration in the Gateway - london.gov.uk - Greater ...

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4.10There is potential for fur<strong>the</strong>r homes for many years after 2016<br />

as implementation of major sites proceeds, some of <strong>the</strong> more<br />

difficult sites start to become available <strong>and</strong> new transport <strong>and</strong><br />

o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>frastructure opens up fur<strong>the</strong>r opportunities. This will<br />

depend upon <strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g delivery of <strong>the</strong> substantial<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure that will be essential to enable <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> to<br />

maximise its contribution to <strong>the</strong> huge hous<strong>in</strong>g needs of <strong>the</strong><br />

wider South East. The East of Engl<strong>and</strong> has a figure of 37,000<br />

new homes by 2021. The o<strong>the</strong>r two regions will produce<br />

equivalent figures as <strong>the</strong>ir plann<strong>in</strong>g processes progress.<br />

4.11The hous<strong>in</strong>g figures <strong>in</strong> Tables 2 <strong>and</strong> 3 reflect potential capacity.<br />

Demographic change <strong>and</strong> household size will be important<br />

<strong>in</strong>fluences <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> number <strong>and</strong> types of homes that<br />

will be needed, but <strong>the</strong>re will <strong>in</strong>evitably be a cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g dem<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> need for hous<strong>in</strong>g. Population would grow by at least<br />

275,000 if <strong>the</strong> RPBs’ figure of 128,500 homes were built to<br />

2016 <strong>and</strong> by about a fur<strong>the</strong>r 75,000 if <strong>the</strong> higher London<br />

figures were achieved.<br />

4.12Some profound demographic changes will cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider<br />

South East <strong>and</strong> especially <strong>in</strong> London, with relatively high <strong>in</strong>migration<br />

<strong>and</strong> birth rates. The range of hous<strong>in</strong>g types will need<br />

to reflect this change. For example some of <strong>the</strong> large numbers<br />

of young <strong>in</strong>-migrants may want accommodation <strong>in</strong> smaller units<br />

that can be provided <strong>in</strong> higher density hous<strong>in</strong>g. However, <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Gateway</strong> must also provide for households at all stages of <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

development <strong>and</strong> for all age groups <strong>and</strong> family types,<br />

recognis<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> ethnic diversity of <strong>the</strong> population.<br />

4.13Susta<strong>in</strong>able Communities must be attractive to <strong>the</strong> full range of<br />

<strong>in</strong>come groups. There has to be a range of hous<strong>in</strong>g types <strong>and</strong><br />

costs across <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong>, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g more homes for higher <strong>and</strong><br />

medium level <strong>in</strong>come groups. Some areas are dom<strong>in</strong>ated by<br />

particular forms of hous<strong>in</strong>g, such as large estates, <strong>and</strong> would<br />

benefit from greater variety. The contribution of affordable<br />

hous<strong>in</strong>g will be important throughout <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gateway</strong> to address<br />

social need <strong>and</strong> ensure that a workforce with a range of skills can<br />

be accommodated across <strong>the</strong> area. In <strong>the</strong> London Plan, <strong>the</strong> Mayor<br />

has set an overall target that 50% of all additional hous<strong>in</strong>g should<br />

be affordable. This target <strong>in</strong>cludes affordable hous<strong>in</strong>g from all<br />

sources <strong>and</strong> not just that secured through plann<strong>in</strong>g obligations.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> South East a proportion of affordable hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

additional hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> order of 30% is anticipated. The target<br />

for South Essex will be determ<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> context of Regional<br />

Plann<strong>in</strong>g Guidance now <strong>in</strong> preparation. A comprehensive picture<br />

for <strong>the</strong> whole <strong>Gateway</strong> will <strong>the</strong>n be established.

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