Murder and Serious Sexual Assault - Lancaster EPrints - Lancaster ...

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© Crown Copyright 2002 First Published 2002 Policing and Reducing Crime Unit: Police Research Series The Policing and Reducing Crime Unit (PRC Unit) is part of the Research, Development and Statistics Directorate of the Home Office. The PRC Unit carries out and commissions research in the social and management sciences on policing and crime reduction. The Police Research Series presents research material on crime prevention and detection as well as police management and organisation issues. ISBN 1-84082-838-8 Copies of this publication can be made available in formats accessible to the visually impaired on request. (ii)
Foreword Murder and serious sexual assault are thankfully rare crimes, but their impact and consequences are severe. There has been an increasing emphasis on shifting policy towards exploring what can be achieved in the prevention of serious offences. This study of the criminal careers of those convicted of murder and serious sexual assault is a helpful contribution to our understanding of this area. It informs our understanding of the earlier criminal careers of serious offenders. Within an overall pattern of diversity, there is convincing evidence that convictions for particular rare offences – manslaughter, blackmail and kidnapping for murder, minor indecent assault, kidnapping and a range of other sex offences for serious sexual assault –are linked to an increased risk of future serious offending. An increased relative risk of future offending does not presently on its own offer a mechanism for identifying precisely potential serious offenders. The findings will, however, be helpful in guiding responses to groups of offenders who exhibit an overall increased risk of future serious offending. This study, while only an initial step towards understanding this area, provides a solid base for future advances. LAWRENCE SINGER Head of Policing Group Policing and Reducing Crime Unit Research, Development and Statistics Directorate Home Office September 2002 (iii)
Page 1: Police Research Series Paper 144 Mu
Page 5 and 6: Executive summary Improving our und
Page 7 and 8: Relationships - family, acquaintanc
Page 9 and 10: Finally, the study explored the ext
Page 11 and 12: 6. Summary and conclusions 39 Main
Page 13 and 14: 15 Robbery: odds ratios and relativ
Page 15 and 16: 1. Introduction Aims and objectives
Page 17 and 18: INTRODUCTION Here too, only those c
Page 19 and 20: INTRODUCTION Many individuals who a
Page 21 and 22: INTRODUCTION ● the number of offe
Page 23 and 24: Number of offenders MURDERERS AND S
Page 25 and 26: MURDERERS AND SERIOUS SEXUAL OFFEND
Page 41 and 42: RISK FACTORS AND RELATIONSHIPS IN M
Page 47 and 48: 5. Unusual previous offences UNUSUA
Page 49 and 50: UNUSUAL PREVIOUS OFFENCES One gener
Page 51 and 52: UNUSUAL PREVIOUS OFFENCES The relat
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6. Summary and conclusions SUMMARY
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SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS would be sh
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SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS The finding
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References REFERENCES Aitkin, M.A.,
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REFERENCES Soothill, K., Francis, B
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The model is: Number of previous se
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Figure 6: Sentence lengths of ‘se
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Table 14: Other wounding etc: odds
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Absolute risks through an indirect
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the model fit including the variabl
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APPENDIX C ‘murder-neutral’ and
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APPENDIX C career of offences appea
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RECENT POLICING AND REDUCING CRIME
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