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Murder and Serious Sexual Assault - Lancaster EPrints - Lancaster ...

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MURDERERS AND SERIOUS SEXUAL OFFENDERS WITH A CRIMINAL HISTORY<br />

criminal activity. The scale of the differences needs to be understood. So, for<br />

example, while the most prevalent offence (‘other theft’) leads to a slightly reduced<br />

risk of serious sexual offending, it still needs to be remembered that almost one-half<br />

(46.8%) of the SSA offenders still had this offence in their prior criminal history<br />

(Table 2). Taken together, these findings reinforce the heterogeneity of the criminal<br />

backgrounds of those convicted of serious sexual offences <strong>and</strong> the range of<br />

‘offending pathways’ that exist.<br />

This represents the first stages in exploring the value of this kind of approach. What<br />

has emerged is that some serious offenders – whether they murder or commit SSA<br />

against adult females – are unlike the general run of offenders. They are more likely<br />

to have convictions for violent crime in their criminal histories. Furthermore, in the<br />

case of murder, previous convictions for some of the violent offences do not merely<br />

increase the risk of future convictions for violence in general. When a control sample<br />

of violent offenders is used, the statistical significance of, for example, previous<br />

robbery, arson <strong>and</strong> wounding (endangering life), indicates that the risk of murder<br />

specifically is increased by having previously been convicted of these offences. This<br />

analysis does not, however, address how various previous offences might work in<br />

combination with each other. This is addressed in detail in Appendix C.<br />

The next chapter looks at risk factors <strong>and</strong> offender-victim relationships in murder.<br />

As noted with respect to serious sexual assault, murder is a term which can cover a<br />

very wide range of activity. Analysing such offenders as a homogenous group may<br />

well smooth out some of the more unusual characteristics peculiar to a particular<br />

type of murder; Chapter 4 explores this issue.<br />

26

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