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A cArbon cApture And storAge network for yorkshire And humber

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A second part of this initial phase, and<br />

<strong>for</strong> each large capacity increase, will be<br />

the aggregation of commitments. For this<br />

we see the Carbon Capture and Storage<br />

Partnership <strong>for</strong> Yorkshire and Humber as the<br />

starting point.<br />

Looking to the local community,<br />

communication and engagement will<br />

have to develop so that the benefits are<br />

understood and people have the facts<br />

available when particular questions and<br />

consultations arise so that timely and<br />

appropriate decisions are made.<br />

Outward communication and awareness<br />

will also be important. Firstly to attract a<br />

cluster of early CCS projects, secondly to<br />

ensure national political support and thirdly,<br />

because of the excellent potential to do so,<br />

to materially contribute to meeting the UK’s<br />

climate change targets.<br />

Stern states that a disproportionately<br />

large share of the burden <strong>for</strong> achieving<br />

the required cuts will have to be borne by<br />

the power-generation sector (Reference 1<br />

pxiii):“Large-scale uptake of a range of clean<br />

power, heat, and transport technologies<br />

is required <strong>for</strong> radical emission cuts in the<br />

medium to long term. The power sector<br />

around the world will have to be at least<br />

60%, and perhaps as much as 75%,<br />

decarbonised by 2050 to stabilise at or<br />

below 550ppm CO2e.” Given the substantial<br />

power sector in the Yorkshire and Humber<br />

region the scale of the transport <strong>network</strong><br />

covered by this study will support<br />

this requirement.<br />

Carbon Capture and Storage Network 41<br />

The range of scenarios <strong>for</strong> the <strong>network</strong><br />

covers transport of, in total, between 150<br />

and 470 million tonnes carbon dioxide by<br />

2030 and by 2050 between 630 million<br />

tonnes (with no further sources added after<br />

2030) to 1700 million tonnes (with high and<br />

continuing CCS after 2030).<br />

The capital cost spend is about £2.0<br />

billion if it was all built today, but spreading<br />

expenditure over time and adjusting <strong>for</strong><br />

inflation, the present cost of a decision to<br />

build a <strong>network</strong> depends on the discount<br />

rate you choose to apply, but <strong>for</strong> a 6.5%<br />

discount the capital costs vary by scenario<br />

from £0.7bn to £1.0bn, and with a 14%<br />

discount rate the present cost of the<br />

decision is to spend £0.3bn to £0.6bn.<br />

The “Central” scenario and 11% discount<br />

gives a £0.7bn present cost.<br />

Operating costs are also modelled and<br />

the combined capital and operating spend<br />

divided by the amount of carbon dioxide<br />

transported is used to calculate the present<br />

value using a range of discount rates<br />

to reflect the time and risk value of the<br />

expenditure. These costs, as explained<br />

previously, are not the revenues required.<br />

The cost per tonne transported is<br />

there<strong>for</strong>e dependent on how long the<br />

system operates and under what financial<br />

assumptions, but <strong>for</strong> a fixed asset<br />

maximising volumes per year means lower<br />

costs per tonne and a longer period are<br />

cheaper per tonne. However cutting the<br />

period of consideration to from about 2015<br />

to 2040, about 25 years of operation, the<br />

unit costs are more representative, though<br />

we are still only in 2008. The different<br />

scenarios, <strong>for</strong> a given discount rate, show<br />

very little difference in unit costs. For<br />

example <strong>for</strong> an 11% discount rate the cost<br />

per tonne varies from £1.5 to £1.7/tonne.<br />

Due to investment timing the “Central”<br />

scenario has the higher rate, and that<br />

cost of £1.70/tonne has been used as the<br />

illustrated result. The conclusion is that the<br />

discount rate is more important than the<br />

scenarios when looking at transport costs<br />

per tonne.<br />

Given a range of discount rates of 6.5%<br />

to 14% the costs per tonne of £1.2/tonne<br />

($2.1, €1.6/tonne) to £3.4/tonne ($6,<br />

€4.7/tonne), with a mid point of 11% of a<br />

round £1.7/tonne ($3.1, €2.4/tonne) CO2<br />

transported as at 2008 <strong>for</strong> the period 2015<br />

to 2040.

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