Climate Change and Switzerland 2050 - OcCC - SCNAT

2 Climate Change and Switzerland 2050 | Contents
Contents
Editorial 4
Executive Summary 5
Introduction 9
Background 11
1. The future climate of Switzerland 12
2. Extreme events 17
3. Basic estimate of other climatic variables 18
4. Impact of climate change on the hydrological cycle 21
Land ecosystems 25
1. Introduction 26
2. Biodiversity 29
3. Natural hazards and living space security 34
4. Use and products of ecosystems 38
Agriculture 41
1. Introduction 42
2. Domestic plant production 44
3. Extreme weather events 45
4. Yield security 46
5. Water supply and location 47
6. Pests and their relevance 47
7. Food production from livestock 49
8. Measures for crops, cultivation methods and farm management 50
9. National and global food supply 52
Water management 55
1. Introduction 56
2. Changes in natural waterbodies 58
3. Water-related natural hazards 60
4. Water supply and demand 63
5. Water use 64
6. Intensified management of water resources 65
Health 67
1. Introduction 68
2. Heat waves 70
3. Other extreme events: floods, landslides, storms 72
4. Food poisoning 74
5. Respiratory diseases and allergies 74
6. Vector-borne diseases 76
Tourism 79
1. Introduction 80
2. Change in offerings and demand due to climate 82
3. Impact of climate change on natural tourism offerings 83
4. Impact of climate change on tourism in Switzerland 86
5. Strategies and measures 91
6. Tourism in the year 2050 93