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Jefferson County - East-West Gateway Coordinating Council

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A Regional Overview All-Hazard Mitigation Plan 55<br />

F-Scale (Fujita 1981), as listed in Storm Data. This study follows the accepted nomenclature<br />

that F2 and F3 tornadoes are strong and F4 are violent.<br />

Ostby (1993) found that the occurrence of weak tornadoes (F0-F1) has shown a dramatic<br />

increase since 1980, while the number of strong and violent tornadoes have either<br />

remained steady or decreased. Reasons for this include improved verification efforts by<br />

local NWS offices and the marked increase in storm chasing. Since strong and<br />

violent tornadoes produce a more stable long-term data set, these categories were the<br />

main focus of this study.<br />

Description of Hazard<br />

A tornado is a vortex of rapidly rotating air that must be in contact with the ground. This<br />

means that to be a tornado, the swirling winds must be at the surface, capable of doing<br />

damage. If there is debris (dust and other objects swirling in the winds), it is definitely a<br />

tornado, even if there is no visible funnel cloud. If there is no debris with a funnel cloud,<br />

then it might be a tornado but one cannot be certain that it is (or is not). A tornado can<br />

move over a surface with few objects to be picked up and swirled about, or one may not<br />

be able to see all the way to the surface beneath a funnel cloud because of intervening<br />

hills, trees, or buildings. All funnel clouds should be treated as if they are tornadoes, unless<br />

one can be certain that they will not touch down. See Figure J32 below.<br />

FIGURE J32 VIEW OF TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM<br />

Source: NOAA<br />

When storms influence a large area, the chances for significant hazards increase. The<br />

majority of windstorms in a convective system are of marginal severity, with only isolated<br />

events reaching high intensity. The most threatening situation would be for a very intense<br />

convective wind event that also affected a large area. It appears that a few times each year<br />

in North America, extreme convective wind events of this sort do occur. To date, no such<br />

storm has struck a major city during a vulnerable time (e.g., the morning or evening rush<br />

hours). However, it is only a matter of time until this sort of unfortunate concatenation<br />

actually occurs. Given that the area affected can approach that of a tropical cyclone's<br />

damage swath, and certainly far exceeds that affected during a tornado outbreak (while

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