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Jefferson County - East-West Gateway Coordinating Council

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A Regional Overview All-Hazard Mitigation Plan 67<br />

Seasonal Pattern<br />

Tornadoes occur mostly during the spring and summer; the tornado season comes early in<br />

the south and later in the north because spring comes later in the year as one moves<br />

northward. Tornadoes and storms usually occur during the late afternoon and early<br />

evening, but they have been known to occur in every state in the United States, on any day<br />

of the year, and at any hour.<br />

Based on Table J38, in <strong>Jefferson</strong> <strong>County</strong>, most of the storms occurred in the month of April<br />

with 8 tornadoes. May had a total of 7 tornadoes, both June and July had 2, and<br />

September, October, November and December had 1 each per month.<br />

Speed of Onset And/Or Existing Warning Systems<br />

Tornadoes and other severe windstorms can occur instantly. The National Oceanic and<br />

Atmospheric Agency and other agencies (National Weather Service) have prioritized the<br />

research and understanding of the development of these types of storms in order to<br />

protect citizens and their property. As a result of this research, Doppler Radar was<br />

developed. Doppler Radar research was started in the 1950s by the Weather Radar<br />

Laboratory. At about the same time, research was beginning on severe storms through the<br />

National Severe Storms Project. In late 1963 the NSSL was formed to continue and<br />

enhance these two efforts. By the 1970's it was clear that Doppler Radar would greatly<br />

benefit the National Weather Service and could help to provide much-improved severe<br />

thunderstorm and tornado warnings.<br />

The new Radar, or NEXRAD for Next Generation Radar (officially WSR-88D), provides<br />

forecasters with a detailed look at storms through reflectivity and velocity displays.<br />

Reflectivity indicates rainfall or precipitation intensity and velocity displays the speed and<br />

direction of the winds within the storm.<br />

Through the Doppler Effect, a physical phenomenon marked by a change in frequency<br />

depending on the motion of an object toward or away from a point, the radar can give a<br />

picture of the winds within a storm. If, within a small area, high winds toward the radar<br />

are adjacent to high winds away from the radar, a circulation has developed and<br />

forecasters prepare to issue a warning. With this capability, tornado warning lead times<br />

have increased in the last 10 years from less than 5 minutes to nearly 12 minutes (NWS).<br />

Phased Array Radar - NSSL will soon begin adapting SPY-1 radar technology for use in<br />

spotting severe weather.<br />

The mission of the Severe Weather Warning Applications and Technology Transfer (SWAT)<br />

team is to develop severe weather warning applications and transfer them to users to<br />

enhance their capability to warn of severe weather. There are two focus groups within<br />

SWAT:

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