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National Fuel Quality Standards Regulation Impact Statement 1 ...

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interactions with the terrestrial and marine ecosystems are not fully understood, the<br />

changing climate is affecting these systems. The long-term impacts of increased levels of<br />

greenhouse gas emissions include:<br />

- rising sea levels, causing flooding of low-lying areas, significant impacts on coastal<br />

ecosystems and other damage;<br />

- shifting climatic zones (and thus ecosystems and agricultural zones) towards the polar<br />

regions;<br />

- new climatic stresses affecting forests, deserts, rangelands and other ecosystems leading<br />

to adverse impacts on biodiversity;<br />

- changes in rainfall patterns, with decreases in rainfall expected for many regions of<br />

Australia leading to changes in water supply and agricultural productivity; and<br />

- effects on infrastructure and human health with consequential impacts on the insurance<br />

and finance industries.<br />

Under the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate<br />

Change (as agreed in December 1997 and signed by Australia on 29 April 1998),<br />

Australia is committed to a target for national greenhouse gas emissions of 8% above<br />

1990 levels by 2008-12. This represents about a 30% reduction against current business<br />

as usual projections of greenhouse gas emissions for the period 2008-12.<br />

The 1998 <strong>National</strong> Greenhouse Gas Inventory indicates that from 1990 to 1998 national<br />

transport emissions grew by 18%. In 1998 the transport sector was the third largest<br />

contributor to national greenhouse gas emissions, with about 16% (72.6 Mt) of<br />

Australia’s net emissions. Road transport is the largest contributor to transport emissions<br />

(89%) and makes up 14% of total national emissions. Emissions from passenger vehicles<br />

predominate, but light commercial vehicles are a fast growing source. Passenger cars<br />

contributed 9% of national emissions, or 57% of total transport sector emissions in<br />

1998.The outlook for greenhouse gas emissions from the transport sector continues to be<br />

of serious concern. Without reduction measures, emissions from the transport sector are<br />

predicted to increase by 38% above 1990 levels by the year 2010.<br />

2.3 GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION<br />

Government intervention is necessary because of the mechanism used to manage<br />

tailpipe emissions. Mandatory vehicle emission standards are established as<br />

Australian Design Rules (ADRs) under the Motor Vehicle <strong>Standards</strong> Act 1989. The<br />

gazettal of new, tighter emission standards effectively requires vehicle<br />

manufacturers to adopt new vehicle and emission control technologies. Existing<br />

Australian fuel quality is a constraint to the effective functioning of many of these<br />

new technolo<br />

Government intervention will ensure that any fuel standards are applied equally in respect<br />

of imports as well as domestically produced petroleum fuels and are compatible with

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