Market Opportunities for African Agriculture - International Food ...

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Appendix I Table 14—Agricultural growth scenarios: Uganda macro results GDP Real agr GDP Total agr production 82 <strong>Food</strong> consumption Total agr exports Total agr imports Level of <strong>Food</strong> Price ---- Per capita annual growth rate ---- Scenarios 1. High growth in nontraditional exports 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.08 1.34 0.39 0.14 2. High growth in traditional exports 0.16 0.22 0.52 0.06 4.64 -0.02 0.32 3. High growth in grain sector 0.09 0.06 0.18 0.18 -0.07 0.00 -0.09 4. High growth in grains and livestock 0.42 0.55 1.19 1.35 -0.21 0.00 -0.32 5. High growth in agriculture plus increased TFP in transportation 0.91 1.40 1.91 1.44 6.45 -0.03 0.79 6. High economy-wide growth 1.38 1.99 1.95 1.48 5.79 -0.03 1.72 Source: IFPRI CGE simulations
Appendix I Table 15—Agricultural growth scenarios: Southern Africa sector results Consumer Level of Output demand Exports Imports price Scenarios ---- Per capita annual growth rate ---- 1. High growth in non-traditional exports Vegetables and fruits 2. High growth in traditional exports Cotton, sugar & tree crops 3. High growth in grain sector Coarse grains (maize) 4. High growth in grains and livestock Livestock and products 5. High growth in agriculture plus increased in TFP in transportation sector Vegetables and fruits Cotton, sugar & tree crops Coarse grains (maize) Livestock and products 6. High economy-wide growth Vegetables and fruits Cotton, sugar & tree crops Coarse grains (maize) Livestock and products Source: IFPRI CGE simulations 83 4.6 9.0 -1.2 0.7 1.4 -0.2 0.8 0.9 0.3 -2.3 -1.0 2.3 2.0 5.9 -2.5 -1.7 5.3 10.2 -1.2 1.1 1.7 -0.1 1.3 1.2 3.7 1.8 -0.5 2.5 2.3 5.9 -1.4 -1.6 5.0 9.1 -1.1 2.0 2.5 0.0 1.9 1.7 4.6 2.3 0.0 3.0 2.7 5.7 -0.9 -1.4
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DSGD DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 1 MARKET
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We wish to thank t
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LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Some basic
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LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Monthly a
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imports 25 percent of its food grai
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MARKET OPPORTUNITIES FOR AFRICAN AG
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Table 1—Some basic facts about Su
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We begin with a review of broad tre
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Table 2—World and Sub-Saharan cou
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Table 3—Composition of exports fr
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This is mainly because of a signifi
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Staples Non-traditional Traditional
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impact on export earnings and incom
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ooms of the 1970s, but the trends f
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produced by smallholders, resulting
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Table 7—Export of fish and fisher
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Table 8—Summary of food safety re
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flowers and foliage to the EU. The
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The emergence and growth of the Ken
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SUMMARY Currently, the agricultural
Page 43 and 44: Table 12—Sub-Saharan African majo
Page 45 and 46: Besides the demand-side constraint,
Page 47 and 48: percent. However, because rapid gro
Page 49 and 50: pace, by 4.15 percent per year thro
Page 51 and 52: equivalent to 9 to 11 percent of ma
Page 53 and 54: esult in increased imports of lives
Page 55 and 56: this study is to evaluate African c
Page 57 and 58: In this scenario, where non-traditi
Page 59 and 60: more employment opportunities for u
Page 61 and 62: of SSA (4 percent). No additional p
Page 63 and 64: d. Combining high growth livestock
Page 65 and 66: output (Table 20). Because the chan
Page 67 and 68: This increase in TFP in the transpo
Page 69 and 70: scenarios, we find that some countr
Page 71 and 72: Per capita annual growth of cereal
Page 73 and 74: Figure 3—Impact of TFP growth on
Page 75 and 76: too long to make a significant cont
Page 77 and 78: particularly important, and better
Page 79 and 80: Franco, M., and R. Godoy. 1993. “
Page 81 and 82: Staples Non-traditional Traditional
Page 87 and 88: Appendix I Table 7—Baseline Proje
Page 89 and 90: Appendix I Table 9—Projected annu
Page 91 and 92: Appendix I Table 11—Projected ann
Page 93: Appendix I Table 13—Agricultural
Page 97 and 98: Appendix I Table 17—Agricultural
Page 99 and 100: Appendix II Table 1—Agricultural
Page 101 and 102: and in 1998 Mozambique contributed
Page 103 and 104: from 56.5 percent in 1981-83 to 40.
Page 105 and 106: Uganda has distinct competitive adv
Page 107 and 108: Victoria and their Natural Carrying
Page 109 and 110: Macroeconomic Policies In 1991, tax
Page 111 and 112: Appendix II Table 4—Agricultural
Page 113 and 114: inappropriate seeds and fertilizers
Page 115 and 116: i.e. upgrading equipments and labor
Page 117 and 118: 9. Ghana 10. Guinea 11. Guinea-Biss
Page 119: 21. Sugar 22. Processed food produc
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