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Lessons from the Texas Homeowners Insurance Crisis Bob Puelz ...

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Table 7<br />

GMM Estimates of Empirical Equation (1)<br />

GMM IV Panel Data<br />

Estimator<br />

Coefficient t-stat<br />

Intercept 2.219 4.25<br />

Perils:<br />

Fire 0.00882 2.98<br />

Wind 0.00130 3.23<br />

Water 0.01781 4.65<br />

Theft 0.02626 0.79<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r 0.00061 0.30<br />

Liability 0.00951 3.05<br />

VMM 0.24140 2.24<br />

Proxy for Uncertainty:<br />

Deviation t-1 -0.04443 -3.02<br />

Control Variables:<br />

Crime 0.00003 2.24<br />

ln(Income) 0.08315 1.68<br />

ln(Housing Units) -0.12202 -9.35<br />

ln(Proportion Rural Housing) -0.06017 -3.32<br />

ln(Proportion Vacant) 0.07539 2.35<br />

ln(Proportion Rent) -0.03693 -0.78<br />

ln(Household Size) 0.02742 0.23<br />

ln(Proportion of Population Non-White) -0.01566 -1.07<br />

Lagged Perils:<br />

Fire t-1 0.01315 4.16<br />

Wind t-1 0.00564 2.84<br />

Water t-1 0.04271 4.15<br />

Theft t-1 0.04772 1.19<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r t-1 -0.00589 -1.92<br />

Liability t-1 0.01653 3.71<br />

VMM t-1 0.24618 2.60<br />

34<br />

F-Stat<br />

n<br />

13.79<br />

1215<br />

Note: The Arellano-Bond (1991) test for AR(1) in first differences was rejected (z = 2.51),<br />

while <strong>the</strong> same test for AR(2) could not be rejected (z = 0.98).<br />

Table 8<br />

Association Among Perils Relative to Fire<br />

Perils<br />

Estimated Elasticity<br />

% Difference Relative to<br />

Fire<br />

Water 0.016813 125.16%<br />

Fire 0.007467 -<br />

VMM 0.003862 -48.27%<br />

Wind 0.003547 -52.49%<br />

Liability 0.002446 -67.24%

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