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Chapter 9: Introduction to Hypothesis Testing

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410 CHAPTER 9 • INTRODUCTION TO HYPOTHESIS TESTING<br />

EXAMPLE 9-10 Computing Beta<br />

TRY PROBLEM 9.52 Wright Tax Assistance, Inc. Wright Tax Assistance, Inc., a major income tax<br />

preparation company, has claimed its clients save an average of more than $200 each by<br />

using the company’s services. A consumer’s group plans <strong>to</strong> randomly sample 64 cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

<strong>to</strong> test this claim. The standard deviation of the amount saved is assumed <strong>to</strong> be $100. Before<br />

testing, the consumer’s group is interested in knowing the probability that they will mistakenly<br />

conclude that the mean savings is less than or equal <strong>to</strong> $200 when, in fact, it does<br />

exceed $200, as the company claims. To find beta if the true population mean is $210, the<br />

company can use the following steps.<br />

Step 1 Specify the null and alternative hypotheses.<br />

The null and alternative hypotheses are<br />

H 0<br />

: $200<br />

H A<br />

: $200 (claim)<br />

Step 2 Specify the significance level.<br />

The one-tailed hypothesis test will be conducted using 0.05.<br />

Step 3 Determine the critical value, z <br />

, from the standard normal<br />

distribution.<br />

The critical value from the standard normal is z α<br />

z 0.05<br />

1.645.<br />

Step 4 Calculate the critical value.<br />

<br />

x005 z005 200 1 645 100<br />

.<br />

<br />

<br />

.<br />

. 220.<br />

56<br />

n<br />

64<br />

Thus, the null hypothesis will be rejected if x 220.56.<br />

Step 5 Specify the stipulated value for .<br />

The null hypothesis is false for all values greater than $200. What is beta if<br />

the stipulated mean is $210?<br />

Step 6 Compute the z-value based on the stipulated population mean.<br />

The z-value based on stipulated population mean is<br />

x005 .<br />

220.<br />

56 210<br />

z <br />

084 .<br />

<br />

100<br />

n<br />

64<br />

Step 7 Determine beta.<br />

From the standard normal table, the probability associated with z 0.84 is<br />

0.2995. Then 0.5000 0.2995 0.7995. There is a 0.7995 probability<br />

that the hypothesis test will lead the consumer agency <strong>to</strong> mistakenly<br />

believe that the mean tax savings is less than or equal <strong>to</strong> $200 when, in<br />

fact, the mean savings is $210.

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