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University of Botswana Law Journal - PULP

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FOREIGN AID, THE RULE OF LAW AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN AFRICA 11<br />

alternatives. Empirical work has found that differences in social, political, and<br />

cultural institutions across countries are among the most important<br />

determinants <strong>of</strong> differences in economic growth rates. The reason is that<br />

institutions establish the framework for economic activity within a country. 34<br />

As the late economist Mancur Olson explained, economic performance is<br />

determined mostly by the structure <strong>of</strong> incentives that individuals face when<br />

they make choices. National boundaries create different structures <strong>of</strong><br />

incentives, which determine much <strong>of</strong> the difference in wealth between<br />

countries. 35<br />

Good institutions create an environment that promotes<br />

entrepreneurship, inventiveness, economic growth and development. Some <strong>of</strong><br />

the most important <strong>of</strong> these institutions embody what is known as the Rule <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Law</strong>. The consensus among empirical researchers is that the Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong> is a<br />

key determinant <strong>of</strong> economic growth. 36 Since the Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong> is a significant<br />

factor in bringing about economic development, understanding what this<br />

entails and how it leads to development is essential for evaluating<br />

development policy.<br />

A. The Meaning <strong>of</strong> the Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong><br />

In recent years there has been a resurgence <strong>of</strong> interest in The Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong><br />

among legal scholars, and appeals to the Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong> have become frequent in<br />

policy analysis. 37 Despite its popularity as a rhetorical device, however,<br />

invocations <strong>of</strong> the Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong> are typically vague and <strong>of</strong>ten contradict one<br />

another. 38 This is probably due to the fact that important scholars have<br />

disagreed over the precise meaning <strong>of</strong> the phrase “Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong>,” so that several<br />

strands <strong>of</strong> ideas have been subsumed under the same name. 39 Irrespective <strong>of</strong><br />

this theoretical dispute, the aspects <strong>of</strong> the Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong> that are important for<br />

development are relatively straightforward.<br />

34 For a discussion <strong>of</strong> institutional economics by a Nobel Prize winning economist, see D. North,<br />

Institutions, Institutional Change, and Performance (Cambridge <strong>University</strong> Press, 1990).<br />

35 M. Olson, Jr., Distinguished Lecture on Economics in Government: Big Bills Left on the Sidewalk: Why<br />

Some Nations are Rich and Others are Poor, 10 The <strong>Journal</strong> <strong>of</strong> Economic Perspectives 3 (1996).<br />

36 R. J. Barro, Determinants <strong>of</strong> Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Study (MIT Press, 1997); R.<br />

J. Barro, Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong>, Democracy, and Economic Performance, in G. P. O’Driscoll, K. R. Holmes, M.<br />

Kirkpatick, eds, 2000 Index <strong>of</strong> Economic Freedom 31 (Heritage Foundation and Dow Jones & Co.,<br />

2000); S.-i-Martin, I Just Ran Two Million Regressions, Amercian Economic Review, 87 (2) (1997). For<br />

a complete survey <strong>of</strong> studies on the relationship between economic freedom and growth, see N. Berggren,<br />

The Benefits <strong>of</strong> Economic Freedom: A Survey, 8 Independent Review 193.<br />

37 Cf. T. Carothers, The Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong> Revival, Foreign Affairs Mar/Apr 1998, Vol. 77 Issue 2 (“One cannot<br />

get through a foreign policy debate these days without someone proposing the rule <strong>of</strong> law as a solution to<br />

the world’s troubles.”).<br />

38 Cf G. P. Fletcher, Basic Concepts in Legal Thought 12 (1996) (“(W)e are never really sure what we mean<br />

by the ‘rule <strong>of</strong> law’.”), cited in R. H. Fallon, Jr., "The Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong>" as a Concept in Constitutional<br />

Discourse, 97 Columbia <strong>Law</strong> Review 1 (1997). In Fallon’s estimation “Invocations <strong>of</strong> the Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong><br />

are sufficiently meaningful to deserve attention, but today are typically too vague and conclusory to dispel<br />

lingering puzzlement.”<br />

39 See Fallon, note 38 above, who identifies four separate ideal types that underlie different Rule <strong>of</strong> <strong>Law</strong><br />

based arguments.

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