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SENA<br />
ENATOR<br />
JOSEPH<br />
BIDEN<br />
that Sandia National Laboratories has been working on for years. It could also include working with other major<br />
powers to offer security assurances to both India and Pakistan if they were to give up their nuclear weapons.<br />
A second great challenge is to stop the spread of the world’s most dangerous weapons to the most dangerous<br />
states. Here the problem starts with the administration’s security and nuclear strategies—pre-emption, the development<br />
of a new nuclear weapon, the disdain this administration shows for the interests of other countries, and the<br />
illusion of missile defense. Taken together, in my view, the doctrine of preventative war amounts to a proliferation<br />
policy instead of a nonproliferation policy.<br />
Consider the administration’s strategy of preventative war, including the possible use of nuclear weapons<br />
against countries that may not even have weapons of mass destruction, let alone be threatening us with their use.<br />
This strategy runs the risk of prompting countries to develop nuclear weapons rather than refrain from promoting<br />
them since they risk a U.S. nuclear attack even if they do not go nuclear. They will see the acquisition of nuclear<br />
weapons as their insurance policy against regime change, which we are not loath to talk about.<br />
Then consider the administration’s effort to develop new nuclear weapons such as low-yield warheads and<br />
bunker busters. In 1994 Paul Warnke warned especially, that if we were to develop low-yield nuclear weapons for<br />
use against third-world countries, “the only logical response would be for small countries to develop nuclear<br />
weapons and threaten the United States with a few primitive atomic bombs that could be delivered in comparatively<br />
primitive ways.” Warnke’s warning certainly fits North Korea today and might describe Iran in the future.<br />
Further, it doesn’t help when the new weapons the administration seeks are largely useless. New bunker busters<br />
would cause tremendous civilian casualties due to radioactive fallout, as well as blasts, because they are highyield.<br />
If biological weapons were stored in those bunkers, a nuclear attack would more likely spread the pathogens<br />
then destroy them. New low-yield weapons would add little to the stockpile that already has low-yield options and<br />
would lower the barrier between conventional and nuclear war—which is exactly the opposite direction we<br />
should be moving.<br />
Our search for new nuclear weapons has an aura of mindless devotion to nuclear war. As an old friend of<br />
mine who introduced me to this issue, Frank Church, used to say, “Joe, listen to these nuclear theologians and you<br />
will much more easily appreciate the debate about how many angels can be placed on the head of a pin.” None of<br />
them make sense. Truth of the matter is I think this administration is still tied to that nuclear theology.<br />
Our search for new nuclear weapons is one that I still do not quite understand. This undermines the central<br />
bargain in the nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) that we signed on to—that nuclear-weapon states would<br />
gradually move away from nuclear weapons while non-nuclear-weapon states refrained from acquiring them.<br />
That was the essence of the bargain. Consider how the administration has alienated the very countries we need to<br />
promote and enforce nonproliferation. We undermined international solidarity when we withdrew from the ABM<br />
[Anti-Ballistic Missile] Treaty. We make other countries less willing to obey and enforce the nuclear Nonproliferation<br />
Treaty when we failed to ratify the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, give up on START II, and badger<br />
our scientists to come up with new ideas for new nuclear weapons.<br />
The administration is especially feckless on a fissile material cutoff treaty. This has been a U.S. objective for<br />
eight years because we have more than enough fissile material while countries of concern continue to seek them.<br />
For over two years, the administration has castigated other countries for preventing negotiations from starting and<br />
now there is a chance for success. However, the administration announced we may refuse to negotiate. As my<br />
granddaughters might say, what’s up with that? (Laughter.) Will this promote solidarity with our allies who<br />
worked for years to help us convince other countries to negotiate? Will this help maintain the support for a firm<br />
stand on the need for Iran and North Korea to dismantle their nuclear weapons programs? I think it will have the<br />
exact opposite impact.<br />
And finally consider the delusion that the premature deployment of a national missile defense will in any<br />
way solve our proliferation problem. Never mind that an ICBM [inter-continental ballistic missile] with a return<br />
address is the least likely delivery vehicle a rogue state would use against us. By the way, that is the assessment of<br />
the Defense Department as well. We all know that our missile defense will be un<strong>test</strong>ed when it is deployed. Several<br />
critical components of the system won’t even be ready when the president declares it deployed. Its ability to defeat<br />
even simple counter measures will be uncertain at best. Thomas Christie, the Pentagon’s chief of [operational] <strong>test</strong><br />
and evaluation, selected by this administration, just made that painfully clear when he wrote “it is not clear what<br />
mission capability will be [demonstrated].” He’s referring to deployment.<br />
So why is the Pentagon rushing to deploy this system? Will it meet the only <strong>test</strong> that matters in this area—and<br />
that is making America more secure? Or will it give people a false sense of security? Missile defense is no substitute<br />
for the hard work of nonproliferation.<br />
So how do we counter proliferation to rogue states? The apparently successful recent agreement with Libya,<br />
not withstanding what is argued, is a product of international isolation, sanctions, and hardheaded diplomacy,<br />
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