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PDF file: Annual Report 2002/2003 - Scottish Crop Research Institute

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Director’s <strong>Report</strong><br />

nomic and social rôle of plant breeding. Further contractions<br />

took place in the UK plant-breeding and<br />

agrochemical industries.<br />

TIFF Much cited but often the cause of confusion<br />

over the performance of agriculture, the Total Income<br />

From Farming (TIFF) figure refers to business profits<br />

and income generated by production with the agricultural<br />

industry, including subsidies, to those with an<br />

entrepreneurial interest in the agricultural industry<br />

(e.g. farmers, growers, partners, directors, spouses, and<br />

most other workers). Always stressed is the fact that<br />

TIFF is remarkably sensitive to small changes in the<br />

values of outputs and inputs, compounded by the<br />

provisional nature of data for <strong>2002</strong>. Moreover, payments<br />

for livestock destroyed for FMD and associated<br />

welfare purposes were excluded from TIFF on the<br />

grounds of being exceptional losses as defined in the<br />

European System of Accounts 1995. TIFF is derived<br />

by deducting interest, rent, and paid labour costs from<br />

Net Value Added (NVA) at factor cost (i.e. at basic<br />

prices plus other subsidies (less taxes on production<br />

e.g. agri-environment payments, set-aside)). NVA at<br />

factor cost is regarded as a reliable measure of value<br />

added by the industry because it includes all subsidies<br />

but it makes no allowance for interest, rent or labour<br />

costs. According to Agriculture in the United Kingdom<br />

<strong>2002</strong>, TIFF was estimated to have risen by 15% (14%<br />

in real terms) to £2.356 billion compared with its<br />

level in 2001. The TIFF figure for <strong>2002</strong> was estimated<br />

to be 56% (62% in real terms) below its peak in<br />

1995, after more than doubling between 1990 and<br />

1995. NVA at factor cost increased over 2001 by 5%<br />

to £4.990 billion. Diversification was encouraged as a<br />

way to increase rural incomes. According to the<br />

aggregate balance sheets in terms of assets and liabilities<br />

for UK agriculture, at current prices the net worth<br />

in <strong>2002</strong> was, provisionally, £106.968 billion compared<br />

with an updated figure of £102.767 billion for<br />

2001. Net worth was reckoned to have reached its<br />

highest level in real terms since 1980, as have total<br />

assets, and liabilities were at their lowest level since<br />

1980, too.<br />

Productivity Productivity of the UK agricultural<br />

industry can be assessed in various ways. It is neither<br />

adequate nor reasonable simply to measure the volume<br />

of output, labour productivity, profitability in a<br />

single financial year, its relation to imports etc.; rather<br />

it should be a measure of resources utilised to convert<br />

inputs into outputs. Typically, productivity measures<br />

are based on the ratio of the volume of outputs and<br />

the volume of inputs. Productivity is regarded as the<br />

key determinant of the economic sustainability of UK<br />

agriculture, an underestimated industry that underpins<br />

the food chain and related environmental and<br />

social benefits. Comparisons at international, national,<br />

and regional levels, or from year to year are fraught<br />

by complexities arising not only from obtaining reliable<br />

data but also by factors regarded as exogenous<br />

such as climate, topography, location etc. Total factor<br />

productivity in terms of the volume of output leaving<br />

the industry per unit of all inputs, including fixed capital<br />

and paid labour (a significant, but difficult to<br />

quantify, portion of agricultural labour is unpaid), has<br />

increased by 43% since 1973. This growth reflects<br />

increases in labour productivity (volume of NVA) per<br />

unit of paid and entrepreneurial labour) which has<br />

more than doubled since 1973. Throughout the<br />

1990s, output remained static but inputs (most especially<br />

labour costs) have decreased in line with<br />

improved automation and a massive drop in the numbers<br />

employed. Using volume indices 1995=100, provisional<br />

productivity measurements for <strong>2002</strong> were<br />

96.2 for final output (gross output less transaction)<br />

within the agricultural industry; 142.0 for NVA per<br />

annual work unit of all labour (full-time equivalent);<br />

and 111.7 for final output per unit of all inputs<br />

(including fixed capital and labour). The paid labour<br />

costs, which include payments-in-kind, National<br />

Insurance contributions, redundancy payments etc.,<br />

were estimated to be £1.907 billion in <strong>2002</strong>, compared<br />

with £1.909 billion the year before. Minimum<br />

wage legislation does not apply to the self-employed<br />

that constitute much of the agricultural and horticultural<br />

workforce, were it to do so, then much of UK<br />

agriculture would collapse, along with the profitability<br />

of enterprises further up the food chain.<br />

Farming Incomes in the EU From 2001 to <strong>2002</strong>,<br />

there was great variation in the percentage changes in<br />

income derived from agricultural activity across member<br />

states of the EU. According to the much-troubled<br />

Eurostat, see Eurostat-Statistics: Statistics in focus,<br />

December <strong>2002</strong>; Indicator A which is based on NVA<br />

at factor cost (deflated by the GDP price index) and<br />

measuring agricultural income per annual work unit<br />

(full-time worker equivalent), there was a decline of<br />

3% overall in the EU, and declines recorded in ten of<br />

the fifteen member states. Rises were noted in Finland<br />

(7.3%), Greece (5.7%), UK (3.9%), Spain (1.2%),<br />

and Luxembourg (1%). Declines were recorded in<br />

France (-0.9%), Sweden (-1.5%), Italy (-1.6%),<br />

Portugal (-2.2%), Austria (-2.8%), The Netherlands (-<br />

7.5%), Belgium (-7.7%), the Republic of Ireland (-<br />

11.4%), Germany (-18.0%), and Denmark (-26.3%).<br />

58

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