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A regional perspective on poverty in Myanmar - United Nations ...

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Poverty <strong>in</strong> <strong>Myanmar</strong> 45<br />

M<strong>on</strong><br />

Land hold<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Underemployment<br />

gap<br />

Losses from<br />

calamities<br />

Poverty rate<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

Poverty decl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

Poverty gap<br />

PPI<br />

Loans<br />

Poverty <strong>in</strong>ertia<br />

Utilities share<br />

Food share<br />

Inequality<br />

26 M<strong>on</strong> State's radar chart shows a favourable local price <strong>in</strong>dex which should, de facto, further reduce<br />

its already slightly better than average <strong>poverty</strong> gap and <strong>poverty</strong> rate. As with Kay<strong>on</strong> and Tan<strong>in</strong>tharyi,<br />

the favourable <strong>in</strong>dex might have to do with the State’s proximity to Thailand. Outstand<strong>in</strong>g loans are<br />

below nati<strong>on</strong>al average, provid<strong>in</strong>g M<strong>on</strong>’s people with some f<strong>in</strong>ancial leeway for other c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong><br />

and for <strong>in</strong>vestment. But it seems that the people need to <strong>in</strong>vest much labour, many hours, to obta<strong>in</strong><br />

this slightly better than average <strong>poverty</strong> gap: they receive a low return of their labour. This might be<br />

the result of a skills level which is below nati<strong>on</strong>al average, or market imperfecti<strong>on</strong>s for example<br />

through m<strong>on</strong>opolistic structures. The above average median land hold<strong>in</strong>g and the lower than average<br />

losses from calamities (<strong>on</strong>ly 3% of the harvest is lost) <strong>in</strong>dicate some scope for agricultural<br />

development.<br />

Two agricultural products stand out <strong>in</strong> M<strong>on</strong>’s structure: rubber and fish<strong>in</strong>g. The world market for<br />

natural rubber is highly promis<strong>in</strong>g, and M<strong>on</strong>’s rubber plantati<strong>on</strong>s are <strong>in</strong>ternati<strong>on</strong>ally competitive. But<br />

more care needs to be taken that these rubber plantati<strong>on</strong>s’ competitiveness can be susta<strong>in</strong>ed and<br />

that their negative spill over effects do not spoil other development prospects of M<strong>on</strong>: the vast<br />

expansi<strong>on</strong> of the rubber plantati<strong>on</strong>s risk destroy<strong>in</strong>g a delicate ecological balance with potentially<br />

serious c<strong>on</strong>sequences for M<strong>on</strong>’s other <strong>in</strong>dustries. The Government needs to look at expansi<strong>on</strong> plans<br />

from a more holistic and l<strong>on</strong>g term State <str<strong>on</strong>g>perspective</str<strong>on</strong>g>. It should then foster the development of<br />

natural rubber based <strong>in</strong>dustries by, e.g., produc<strong>in</strong>g tyres for locally made motor bikes, whose market<br />

will certa<strong>in</strong>ly boom <strong>in</strong> the next years. Alternatively, it could <strong>in</strong>vite rubber based FDIs.<br />

<strong>Myanmar</strong> as a whole has reached its susta<strong>in</strong>ability limits <strong>in</strong> catch fish and is, <strong>in</strong> fact, already bey<strong>on</strong>d<br />

the natural replenishment rate of fish and shrimps. The <strong>on</strong>ly way to susta<strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry is to limit the<br />

overall amount that can be caught <strong>in</strong> agreement with other Divisi<strong>on</strong>s border<strong>in</strong>g the sea. It then needs<br />

to develop aquaculture, and set up value added <strong>in</strong>dustries. As has been shown, there is a large<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>regi<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> and world market for frozen fish and fish fillets, which <strong>Myanmar</strong> so far failed to tab. This<br />

26 This chapter’s recommendati<strong>on</strong>s draw <strong>on</strong> the work of Kh<strong>in</strong> pw<strong>in</strong>t oo

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