A regional perspective on poverty in Myanmar - United Nations ...
A regional perspective on poverty in Myanmar - United Nations ...
A regional perspective on poverty in Myanmar - United Nations ...
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Poverty <strong>in</strong> <strong>Myanmar</strong> 45<br />
M<strong>on</strong><br />
Land hold<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Underemployment<br />
gap<br />
Losses from<br />
calamities<br />
Poverty rate<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
Poverty decl<strong>in</strong>e<br />
Poverty gap<br />
PPI<br />
Loans<br />
Poverty <strong>in</strong>ertia<br />
Utilities share<br />
Food share<br />
Inequality<br />
26 M<strong>on</strong> State's radar chart shows a favourable local price <strong>in</strong>dex which should, de facto, further reduce<br />
its already slightly better than average <strong>poverty</strong> gap and <strong>poverty</strong> rate. As with Kay<strong>on</strong> and Tan<strong>in</strong>tharyi,<br />
the favourable <strong>in</strong>dex might have to do with the State’s proximity to Thailand. Outstand<strong>in</strong>g loans are<br />
below nati<strong>on</strong>al average, provid<strong>in</strong>g M<strong>on</strong>’s people with some f<strong>in</strong>ancial leeway for other c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong><br />
and for <strong>in</strong>vestment. But it seems that the people need to <strong>in</strong>vest much labour, many hours, to obta<strong>in</strong><br />
this slightly better than average <strong>poverty</strong> gap: they receive a low return of their labour. This might be<br />
the result of a skills level which is below nati<strong>on</strong>al average, or market imperfecti<strong>on</strong>s for example<br />
through m<strong>on</strong>opolistic structures. The above average median land hold<strong>in</strong>g and the lower than average<br />
losses from calamities (<strong>on</strong>ly 3% of the harvest is lost) <strong>in</strong>dicate some scope for agricultural<br />
development.<br />
Two agricultural products stand out <strong>in</strong> M<strong>on</strong>’s structure: rubber and fish<strong>in</strong>g. The world market for<br />
natural rubber is highly promis<strong>in</strong>g, and M<strong>on</strong>’s rubber plantati<strong>on</strong>s are <strong>in</strong>ternati<strong>on</strong>ally competitive. But<br />
more care needs to be taken that these rubber plantati<strong>on</strong>s’ competitiveness can be susta<strong>in</strong>ed and<br />
that their negative spill over effects do not spoil other development prospects of M<strong>on</strong>: the vast<br />
expansi<strong>on</strong> of the rubber plantati<strong>on</strong>s risk destroy<strong>in</strong>g a delicate ecological balance with potentially<br />
serious c<strong>on</strong>sequences for M<strong>on</strong>’s other <strong>in</strong>dustries. The Government needs to look at expansi<strong>on</strong> plans<br />
from a more holistic and l<strong>on</strong>g term State <str<strong>on</strong>g>perspective</str<strong>on</strong>g>. It should then foster the development of<br />
natural rubber based <strong>in</strong>dustries by, e.g., produc<strong>in</strong>g tyres for locally made motor bikes, whose market<br />
will certa<strong>in</strong>ly boom <strong>in</strong> the next years. Alternatively, it could <strong>in</strong>vite rubber based FDIs.<br />
<strong>Myanmar</strong> as a whole has reached its susta<strong>in</strong>ability limits <strong>in</strong> catch fish and is, <strong>in</strong> fact, already bey<strong>on</strong>d<br />
the natural replenishment rate of fish and shrimps. The <strong>on</strong>ly way to susta<strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry is to limit the<br />
overall amount that can be caught <strong>in</strong> agreement with other Divisi<strong>on</strong>s border<strong>in</strong>g the sea. It then needs<br />
to develop aquaculture, and set up value added <strong>in</strong>dustries. As has been shown, there is a large<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>regi<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> and world market for frozen fish and fish fillets, which <strong>Myanmar</strong> so far failed to tab. This<br />
26 This chapter’s recommendati<strong>on</strong>s draw <strong>on</strong> the work of Kh<strong>in</strong> pw<strong>in</strong>t oo