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World Drug Report 2006 - United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime

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<str<strong>on</strong>g>World</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Drug</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Report</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>2006</str<strong>on</strong>g> Volume 2. Statistics<br />

Estimates of annual prevalence of drug use at the global level in the late 1990s <strong>and</strong> in 2001-2003<br />

240<br />

6%<br />

milli<strong>on</strong> people<br />

200<br />

160<br />

120<br />

80<br />

40<br />

0<br />

5.0%<br />

200<br />

185<br />

180<br />

4.0%<br />

160.1<br />

144.1146.2<br />

0.6%<br />

29.6<br />

24.2<br />

26.2<br />

0.2%<br />

0.3% 0.4%<br />

0.3%<br />

4.5 8.3 7.9 14.013.3 13.7 13.515.2 15.9 9.2 9.2 10.6<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

0%<br />

All drugs<br />

Cannabis<br />

Amphetamines<br />

Ecstasy<br />

Cocaine<br />

Opiates<br />

Heroin<br />

annual prevalence in % of populati<strong>on</strong><br />

age 15-64<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Drug</str<strong>on</strong>g> users in the late 1990s (WDR 2000) <str<strong>on</strong>g>Drug</str<strong>on</strong>g> users in 2001/02 (WDR 2004)<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Drug</str<strong>on</strong>g> users in 2003/04 (WDR 2005)<br />

What many countries do collect, however, is routine data such as number of pers<strong>on</strong>s arrested for drug abuse,<br />

urine testing of arrestees, number of pers<strong>on</strong>s undergoing drug treatment, or they m<strong>on</strong>itor drug use based <strong>on</strong><br />

school surveys. In additi<strong>on</strong>, drug experts dealing <strong>on</strong> a regular basis with drug issues – even without having<br />

precise data at h<strong>and</strong> – often have a good feeling about whether use of certain drugs is increasing, stabilizing or<br />

declining in their c<strong>on</strong>stituency.<br />

This knowledge base is regularly tapped by UNODC. Member States usually pass the Annual <str<strong>on</strong>g>Report</str<strong>on</strong>g>s<br />

Questi<strong>on</strong>naire to drug experts in the country (often in the ministry of health) who provide UNODC with their<br />

percepti<strong>on</strong>, <strong>on</strong> a five-point scale, of whether there has been a ‘large increase’, ‘ some increase’, ‘ no great<br />

change’, some decrease’ or a ‘large decrease’ in the abuse of the various drugs over the past year. The<br />

percepti<strong>on</strong>s may be influenced by a number of factors <strong>and</strong> partial informati<strong>on</strong>, including police reports <strong>on</strong><br />

seizures <strong>and</strong> arrests, reports from drug treatment centres, reports from social workers, press reports, pers<strong>on</strong>al<br />

impressi<strong>on</strong>s, etc. Any of these influencing factors could c<strong>on</strong>tain a reporting bias which has the potential to skew<br />

the data towards a misleading increase or decrease. Prioritizati<strong>on</strong> of the drug issue is another factor which<br />

influences reporting. It can probably be assumed that the countries which reply regularly to the ARQ are those<br />

which take the drug problem more seriously. In a number of cases this is a c<strong>on</strong>sequence of rising levels of drug<br />

use <strong>and</strong> thus increased public awareness of the problem. All of this suggests that the sample of countries<br />

replying to the ARQs may be slightly biased towards countries faced with a deteriorating drug problem. Results<br />

must thus be treated with some cauti<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> should not be over-interpreted.<br />

Despite these caveats, trend data provide interesting insights into the growth patterns of individual drugs as well<br />

as into regi<strong>on</strong>al <strong>and</strong> global growth patterns. They represent the most comprehensive data set of expert opini<strong>on</strong><br />

available <strong>on</strong> the development of the drug abuse problem at the global level, provided in a c<strong>on</strong>sistent manner<br />

over more than a decade.<br />

412

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