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18th annual conference on manual control.pdf - Acgsc.org

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Significance Testing<br />

Two techniques were employed to determine the significance<br />

of practice-related parameter differences: paired-difference t-<br />

tests performed <strong>on</strong> the model parameters, and the qualitative<br />

cross-comparis<strong>on</strong> scheme proposed by Levis<strong>on</strong> [6,7]. Applicati<strong>on</strong><br />

of the t-test was the same as would be applied to the basic<br />

tracking data (say, mean-squared error scores), except that the<br />

identified pilot parameters served as the "data". As a practical<br />

matter, this procedure was limited to analysis of populati<strong>on</strong><br />

means, with subject-paired early/late<br />

,<br />

differences used in the<br />

computati<strong>on</strong> of the "t" statistic.<br />

The cross-comparis<strong>on</strong> technique was applied to both<br />

individual subjects and to subject populati<strong>on</strong>s. To perform this<br />

test, three sets of model parameters were identified for a given<br />

tracking task: (i) the set that best matched the early data, (2)<br />

the set that best matched the late data, and (3) the set that<br />

best matched the average of early and late performance. Four<br />

scalar matching errors were computed:<br />

J(E,E) = matching error obtained from the early data, using<br />

parameters identified from the early data (i.e., best<br />

match to the early data).<br />

J(E,A) = matching error obtained from the early data, using the<br />

average parameter set.<br />

J(L,L) = best match to late data.<br />

J(L,A) = matching error obtained from late data, using the<br />

average parameter set.<br />

Finally, an average "matching error ratio" was computed as<br />

[J(E,A)/J(E,E) + J(L,A)/J(L,L)]/2.<br />

The matching error ratio relates to the degradati<strong>on</strong> in<br />

model-matching capability when an average set of parameters is<br />

used instead of the best-fitting parameters. If the average<br />

parameter set matches the data as well as the best-fitting set,<br />

then the matching error ratio is unity, and we accept the null<br />

hypothesis that there is no significant effect of practice <strong>on</strong><br />

Significance testing for individual subjects would require<br />

parameter identificati<strong>on</strong> for a number of individual trials per<br />

subject, which would generally entail significant computati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

requirements.<br />

243

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