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18th annual conference on manual control.pdf - Acgsc.org

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variable(s) of interest. After parameters have been identified<br />

in this manner and tested for significance, <strong>on</strong>e can justifiably<br />

impose c<strong>on</strong>straints <strong>on</strong> the search procedure. A c<strong>on</strong>strained search<br />

then allows <strong>on</strong>e to focus <strong>on</strong> the important effects and, as is<br />

clear from a comparis<strong>on</strong> of Tables la and ib, it greatly<br />

facilitates presentati<strong>on</strong> of the results of the analysis.<br />

Two procedures were also explored for testing the<br />

statistical significance of parameter differences: the standard<br />

t-test, and a sensitivity analysis that we have termed the<br />

"qualitative cross-comparis<strong>on</strong>" procedure. Both methods yielded<br />

the same c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s in situati<strong>on</strong>s where practice effects were<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sistent across subjects. C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s were different when<br />

subject behavior was inc<strong>on</strong>sistent; but, since we have no way of<br />

determining which method is "right", it is prudent to retain both<br />

techniques in our repertoire of analysis tools.<br />

To some extent, the nature of the data base will determine<br />

which testing procedure to use. Since the t-test requires a<br />

number of replicati<strong>on</strong>s per c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>, the qualitative testing<br />

procedure must be used to compare parameters identified from two<br />

experimental trials (as might be desired if significant trial-totrial<br />

learning occurs). The qualitative procedure can also be<br />

used to minimize computati<strong>on</strong>al requirements when multiple trials<br />

per c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> are available, as this method allows <strong>on</strong>e to<br />

directly test the replicate-averaged data.<br />

Either method may be used for testing average results for a<br />

subject populati<strong>on</strong>. If parameters are identified for individual<br />

subjects first (a recommended procedure if substantial subject<br />

differences are expected), applying the t-test to subject-paired<br />

parameter differences avoids the necessity for further model<br />

analysis. If, <strong>on</strong> the other hand, parameters have been identified<br />

<strong>on</strong>ly for subject-averaged data, the cross-comparis<strong>on</strong> scheme must<br />

be used, as there is <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>e set of model parameters per<br />

experimental c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Practice<br />

Effects<br />

There are a number of reas<strong>on</strong>s for attempting to characterize<br />

the effects of practice in terms of a single independent model<br />

parameter. First, it is this author's opini<strong>on</strong> that, in general,<br />

the model having the greatest potential for predictive capability<br />

is the most parsim<strong>on</strong>ious model -- i.e., the model that explains<br />

the greatest amount of experimental data with the fewest<br />

independent parameters. Reducti<strong>on</strong> of practice effects to changes<br />

in a single independent parameter does not necessarily impose<br />

limitati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> modelling the complexity of the learning process.<br />

252

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