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Results presentation - MTN Group

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Welcome to<br />

the New World<br />

<strong>MTN</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Limited<br />

Reviewed interim results for the period ended 30 June 2013


Agenda<br />

01<br />

Strategic and operational overview<br />

Sifiso Dabengwa<br />

<strong>Group</strong> President and CEO<br />

02<br />

Financial overview<br />

Brett Goschen<br />

<strong>Group</strong> CFO<br />

03<br />

Looking ahead<br />

Sifiso Dabengwa<br />

<strong>Group</strong> President and CEO


Strategic and operational overview


<strong>MTN</strong> Strategy<br />

Creating and managing stakeholder value<br />

Creating value for our shareholders, employees and communities in a sustainable way in accordance with the values of <strong>MTN</strong><br />

Creating a distinct<br />

customer experience<br />

- Network quality<br />

- Distribution<br />

- Customer analytics<br />

- Products and services<br />

- Customer service<br />

Driving<br />

sustainable growth<br />

- Voice<br />

• Tariff pressure<br />

• Increased MOU<br />

- Data<br />

• Increased contribution to revenue<br />

• Focus on access, digital services and innovation<br />

- ICT<br />

• Levering of infrastructure<br />

• Holistic offering<br />

• Focus on corporate and SME<br />

Transforming our<br />

operating model<br />

- Disciplined cost management<br />

- Monetising non-core assets<br />

- Transforming supply chain<br />

Innovation and best practice<br />

Operating under the principle of innovation in everything we do and looking for opportunities to share and apply best practice<br />

4


<strong>Group</strong> highlights<br />

6.5%<br />

to 201,5 million<br />

9.8%<br />

to R65,248 million<br />

36.9%<br />

to R9,054 million<br />

<strong>Group</strong> subscribers<br />

*Revenue<br />

Data revenue<br />

6.4%<br />

to R27,743 million<br />

22.0%<br />

to 654 cents<br />

15.3% to<br />

370 cents<br />

** EBITDA<br />

HEPS<br />

Interim dividend<br />

* On a constant currency basis increased 1.9%<br />

** On a constant currency basis EBITDA decreased 4.5%. EBITDA excludes tower profits<br />

5


1H13 in review<br />

Challenging operating environment<br />

Revenue<br />

– Constant currency revenue growth of 1.9%<br />

– Voice revenue impacted by competition and lower tariffs<br />

– Lower MTR’s impacting interconnect revenues<br />

Data driving growth<br />

– Strong data growth of 36.9%<br />

– Innovative products and device strategy<br />

– Increased focus on mobile financial services<br />

Focus on cost control<br />

– <strong>Group</strong> EBITDA margin remained relatively stable<br />

– Tower strategy will impact margins<br />

– Costs impacted by higher MTR costs and FX<br />

denominated expenses<br />

– Focus on power, infrastructure sharing and staff costs<br />

Capex rollout<br />

– Significant infrastructure investment to cater for<br />

increased traffic<br />

– 3G and fibre to enhance data access and connectivity<br />

Monestising non-core assets<br />

Establishment of Towerco’s in Cameroon and Ivory Coast<br />

Revenue<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

51 055<br />

5,224<br />

3,945<br />

41,886<br />

16% 10%<br />

68%<br />

59 418<br />

6,296<br />

6,612<br />

46,510<br />

37%<br />

65 248<br />

7,094<br />

9,054<br />

49,100<br />

Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13<br />

Other<br />

Data<br />

Voice<br />

6


30,000<br />

25,000<br />

20,000<br />

15,000<br />

10,000<br />

5,000<br />

0<br />

South Africa<br />

Challenging operating environment<br />

Launched Jun 1994 Market share 35.5% Population 51.7m Market sizing 80m (2014) Penetration 130% Shareholding 100%<br />

Dissapointing subscriber growth<br />

- Slow response to aggressive price competition<br />

- Net disconnections impacted by dormancy management<br />

- Positive response to competitive offers introduced in Q2<br />

- Better performance in post-paid segment<br />

Lower tariffs pressure revenues<br />

− Mainly due to lower pre-paid voice revenue<br />

Subscriber<br />

(‘000/ARPU (ZAR))<br />

22 033<br />

18,199<br />

25 421 25 001<br />

20,923 20,242<br />

3,834 4,498 4,759<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

Prepaid<br />

Postpaid<br />

ARPU<br />

− Interconnect revenues declined 23.1% on lower MTR<br />

Data supporting revenue growth<br />

− Efficient distribution and competitive value propositions<br />

− 8.6m 3G devices including 6.5m smartphones<br />

Revenue*<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

39 664<br />

21,042<br />

42 285<br />

21,855<br />

20 146<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

− Data traffic up strongly (62.8% YoY)<br />

18,622 20,430 20,146<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

*Prior year numbers restated to include <strong>MTN</strong> Business<br />

7


South Africa<br />

Evolving our infrastructure<br />

EBITDA margin impacted by handset costs<br />

− Handset costs up 8.4% impacted by weaker rand<br />

− Net interconnect declined 27.6% YoY<br />

− Increased focus on costs going forward<br />

− More disciplined cost control required<br />

Investing for growth<br />

− Capex increased 8.6% YoY<br />

− Added 213 2G and 527 3G sites<br />

− 197km of fibre rolled out<br />

Expenses*<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

26 000<br />

13,785 14,445<br />

12,215 13,407 13,642<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

34.4 34.1 32.3<br />

Capex*<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

27 852<br />

6 495<br />

13 642<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA margin<br />

%<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

Clarity on LTE spectrum remains an issue<br />

4 189<br />

4,515<br />

− Delay in planned auction of 2.6Hz and 3.5Hz spectrum<br />

2,813<br />

2 151<br />

− LTE currently on re-farmed spectrum<br />

− 239 LTE sites rolled out<br />

1,376 1,980 2,151<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

*Prior year numbers restated to include <strong>MTN</strong> Business<br />

8


Nigeria<br />

Data driving growth<br />

Launched Aug 2001 Market share 49.5% Population 163m Market sizing 141.9m (2014) Penetration 69% Shareholding 78.8%<br />

Very strong subscriber growth<br />

− Net connections of 7.8m in period<br />

− 3.2m disconnected in July due to SIM registration<br />

− Improved network quality and capacity<br />

Subscriber<br />

(‘000/ARPU (USD))<br />

9,4<br />

8,1<br />

7,2<br />

− Improved churn and dormancy management<br />

Regulatory engagement remains in focus<br />

41,641<br />

47,441<br />

55,238<br />

− Engagement regarding dominant operator status<br />

− Promotional ban lifted in Apr 13<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

− Network suspended in 3 states in Northern region<br />

− 2 states reconnected in July<br />

Positive revenue trends continue<br />

Revenue<br />

NGN (million)<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

− Sequential revenue growth continues<br />

757 978 753 578<br />

− Aggressive pricing following the lift of promotions ban<br />

− Reduced off-net tariff offering<br />

384,525 363,685<br />

383 057<br />

− Data momentum continues<br />

− Driven by innovative data products<br />

− 5.3m 3G devices on network to support data revenue<br />

373,453 389,892 383,057<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

9


Nigeria<br />

Improved network quality and capacity<br />

Strong cost focus continued<br />

− Normalised EBITDA margin of 56.5%<br />

− Well managed costs in inflationary environment<br />

− Higher interconnect charges as off-net traffic grows<br />

Improved network quality and capacity<br />

− Capex increased 48% YoY<br />

− Added 1 083 2G & 499 co-located 3G sites<br />

Expenses<br />

NGN (million)<br />

289 908<br />

313 904<br />

153,019 159,862<br />

131 440<br />

136,889 154,042 131,440<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

61.7 58.3 *65.7<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA margin<br />

%<br />

− Continued high traffic volumes, up 48.5% YoY<br />

Capex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

13 733<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

6 331<br />

4,263<br />

2,068<br />

9,301<br />

4,432<br />

6 571<br />

6,571<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

*includes reversal of management fees<br />

10


Iran<br />

Good result in challenging environment<br />

Launched Oct 2006 Market share 47.0% Population 77m Market sizing 99.3m (2014) Penetration 115% Shareholding 49%<br />

Solid subscriber growth<br />

− Subscribers up 3.8%<br />

− Penetration now exceeding 100%<br />

Strong revenue and margin performance<br />

Revenue<br />

IRR (billion)<br />

33 252<br />

17,563<br />

41 980<br />

21,855<br />

23 945<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA<br />

Margin<br />

− Revenues up 19% YoY in LC<br />

− Marginal decline in LC EBITDA margin to 44.2%<br />

− Data revenue (excl sms) increased 51.7% YoY<br />

− Wimax subscribers grow 32,5%<br />

Ongoing investment in network<br />

− Added 280 2G sites and rolled out 37km of fibre<br />

− Difficult environment resulted in some project delays<br />

Remain committed to sanction compliance<br />

− No dividends or loans repatriated in period<br />

15,689 20,125 23,945<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

Capex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

1 168 1 122<br />

755 704<br />

413<br />

445<br />

418 445<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

11


Ghana<br />

A strong performance<br />

Launched Nov 1996 Market share 50.5% Population 26.0m Market sizing 25.3m (2014) Penetration 96% Shareholding 98%<br />

Sustained market share<br />

− Subscribers up 7.3%<br />

− Improved distribution structure<br />

Revenue<br />

Cedi (million)<br />

1 277<br />

1 552<br />

818<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA<br />

Margin<br />

− Continued success of <strong>MTN</strong> Zone<br />

677<br />

845<br />

Data continues to gain momentum<br />

− Revenues increased 15.1% in LC<br />

− EBITDA margin* increased 1.3% points to 39.0%<br />

− Data revenues increased 54.8% YoY<br />

− 4.5m 3G devices on network<br />

Network quality and capacity key priority<br />

− 43 2G and 77 3G sites built<br />

− 212km of fibre rolled out<br />

− Network expansion and modernisation completed<br />

600 734 845<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

Capex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

851<br />

714<br />

1091<br />

818<br />

137 273<br />

685<br />

685<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

* (excludes tower profit)<br />

12


Cameroon<br />

An encouraging performance<br />

Launched Feb 2000 Market share 57.1% Population 21.2m Market sizing 17m (2014) Penetration 63% Shareholding 70%<br />

Sustained market share<br />

− Subscribers increased 4.3%<br />

− Gross additions impacted by registration requirements<br />

Data supporting revenue growth<br />

Revenue<br />

CFA (million)<br />

217 444<br />

112,305<br />

236 858<br />

120,720<br />

125 025<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA<br />

Margin<br />

− Revenues increased 7.7% YoY in LC<br />

− EBITDA margin declined 1.3 ppts to 45.8%<br />

− Impacted by leasing costs following tower transaction<br />

105,139 116,138 125,025<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

− Data revenues (excl SMS) increased 44.6% YoY<br />

Improvement in network rollout<br />

Capex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

724<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

− Capex increased 92.7% YoY<br />

450<br />

528<br />

− Added 102 2G sites<br />

− Tower transaction completed<br />

326<br />

234<br />

92<br />

274<br />

528<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

13


Ivory Coast<br />

Strong competition<br />

Launched April 1996 Market share 37.3% Population 23.4m Market sizing 13.0m (2014) Penetration 75.0% Shareholding 66.8%<br />

Maintained leadership position<br />

− Net additions of 493k despite aggressive competition<br />

− Gross connections impacted by registration process<br />

Good revenue growth despite competition<br />

Revenue<br />

CFA (million)<br />

217 917<br />

121,903<br />

256 386<br />

128 709<br />

137 806<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA<br />

Margin<br />

− Revenues increased 7.9% YoY<br />

− Margins decreased to 38.0% from 42.1% YoY<br />

− Impacted by higher interconnect and tower transaction<br />

96,014 127,677 137,806<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

− Launch of 3G in Dec 2012<br />

Increase investment in network<br />

Capex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

903<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

− Added 16 2G & 49 3G sites<br />

− Fibre rollout in Abidjan<br />

407<br />

630<br />

546<br />

− Impacted by conclusion of Towerco transaction<br />

305<br />

102<br />

273<br />

546<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

14


Uganda<br />

Sound results<br />

Launched Oct1998 Market share 53.1% Population 36.6m Market sizing 27m (2014) Penetration 41% Shareholding 96%<br />

Good result in competitive market<br />

− Strong subscriber growth of 4.4%<br />

− Subscriber registration process extended to 31 Aug 2013<br />

Solid revenue growth<br />

− Revenues increased 15.4% YoY in LC<br />

− Mobile money up 75%, now 11% of revenues<br />

− EBITDA margin declined to 36.5% from 38.0% YoY<br />

Revenue<br />

UGX (million)<br />

864 085<br />

1 007 386<br />

480,187 506 101<br />

577 807<br />

383,898 501,285 577,807<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA<br />

Margin<br />

− Impacted by tower rental expense<br />

Capex impacted by Towerco<br />

− 77 2G and 80 3G added<br />

− Capex impacted by Towerco<br />

Capex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

651<br />

389<br />

435<br />

205<br />

253<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

262<br />

230 253<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

15


Syria<br />

Extremely challenging environment<br />

Launched Jun 2002 Market share 44.2% Population 23.4m Market sizing 16m (2014) Penetration 53.4% Shareholding 75%<br />

Challenging operating environment<br />

− Unrest continues to impact results<br />

− Net disconnections of 521k<br />

Revenue<br />

SYP (million)<br />

43 596 44 860<br />

22,849 21,631<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA<br />

Margin<br />

Revenue and EBITDA remain under pressure<br />

− Revenues decreased 15.9% YoY in LC<br />

− EBITDA margin decreased to 16.4% from 23.0% YoY<br />

− Data revenues (excl sms) increased 28.7% YoY<br />

19 546<br />

20,747 23,229 19,546<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

Capex rollout impacted by ongoing unrest<br />

− Site rollout constrained by lack of access<br />

Capex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

577<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

− Focus remains on 3G coverage<br />

Network uptime remains significant challenge<br />

442<br />

356<br />

338<br />

295<br />

− Transmission negatively impacted<br />

− Power availability continues to deteriorate<br />

239<br />

295<br />

86<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

16


Sudan<br />

A strong performance despite a challenging environment<br />

Launched Sep 2005 Market share 31.5% Population 34.8m Market sizing 28.5m (2014) Penetration 77% Shareholding 85%<br />

Encouraging subscriber growth<br />

− Increased subscribers 7.2%<br />

− Impacted SIM registration and delay in numbering plan<br />

− Relatively stable market share<br />

Revenue<br />

SDG (million)<br />

724<br />

395<br />

929<br />

515<br />

589<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

EBITDA<br />

Margin<br />

Strong revenue and margin performance<br />

− Revenues increased 42.4% YoY in LC<br />

− EBITDA increased 55.0% YoY in LC, despite inflation<br />

329 414 589<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

− Data revenues increased 264.3% YoY<br />

Network rollout remains a priority<br />

Capex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

1 336<br />

H2<br />

H1<br />

− Rolled out 55 2G & 172 3G sites<br />

− Projects impacted by logistic delays<br />

Operating environment challenging<br />

− Ongoing unrest in Darfur and southern region<br />

− Currency devaluation and foreign currency availability<br />

952<br />

1,211<br />

680<br />

434<br />

272<br />

434<br />

125<br />

Dec-11 Dec-12 Jun-13<br />

17


Small opco cluster<br />

Not without its challenges<br />

Not without challenges…<br />

• Solid revenue growth up 24.6% YoY<br />

• Some pressure on margins, down 1.8% YoY<br />

• Sim registration impacting subscriber numbers (Afghanistan, Benin)<br />

• Increased regulatory challenges (MTRs, spectrum)<br />

• Volatile political environment (Conakry, Afghanistan, Bissau & Yemen)<br />

• Economic pressures remain (Cyprus, Bissau)<br />

…However medium term prospects remain intact<br />

• Low levels of penetration<br />

• Immature data market<br />

• Mobile financial services remains big opportunity<br />

18


Financial overview


Financial highlights for six months ended<br />

ZAR devaluation impacted reported results<br />

Revenue up 9.8% YoY<br />

– Revenue at constant prior year FX up 1.9% YoY<br />

– South Africa and Nigeria negatively impacting performance<br />

Opex up 12.5% YoY driven by<br />

– Direct network costs up 8.5%<br />

– Interconnect and roaming cost up 7.6%<br />

– Selling, distribution and marketing up 15.2%<br />

EBITDA up 6.4%<br />

− EBITDA at constant prior year FX down 4.5%<br />

− <strong>Group</strong> margin impacted by South Africa and Nigeria<br />

Capex 32.7% above prior year<br />

– South Africa committed capex 51.0% of approved<br />

– Nigeria committed capex 89.0% of approved<br />

AFCF 9.0% below prior year<br />

Prior years comparatives equity accounted in terms of<br />

IFRS11 for joint ventures:<br />

– Iran, Botswana, Swaziland<br />

Tower profit ZAR 856m<br />

– Cameroon ZAR 393m<br />

– Ivory Coast ZAR 443m<br />

– Ghana ZAR 20m<br />

<strong>Group</strong> summary: 2011 - 2013<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

51,055<br />

28,637<br />

22,418<br />

5,201<br />

17,217<br />

2011<br />

+16%<br />

59,418<br />

33,349<br />

26,069<br />

9,639<br />

16,430<br />

2012<br />

+10%<br />

65,248<br />

37,505<br />

27,743<br />

12,792<br />

14,951<br />

2013<br />

Rev<br />

OpEx<br />

EBITDA*<br />

CapEx<br />

AFCF**<br />

43.9% 43.9% 42.5% EBITDA margin<br />

44.8% 44.8% 43.8% EBITDA margin (incl tower profit)<br />

10.2% 16.2% 19.6% Capex / revenue<br />

* Excl tower profit Jun 13: ZAR 856m (Jun 12: ZAR 566m, Jun 11: ZAR 455m)<br />

** EBITDA less capex (approximates free cash flow)<br />

Reported<br />

’12 - ’13<br />

Organic<br />

’12 - ’13<br />

+10% +2%<br />

-12% -7%<br />

+6% -4%<br />

+33% +20%<br />

-9% -19%<br />

20


Revenue<br />

Increasing contribution of LOC<br />

Outgoing revenue<br />

– <strong>Group</strong> airtime and subscription revenue up 9.3% YoY<br />

– Revenue generating minutes up 26.2%<br />

– Subscribers up 14.5% YoY to 201.5m<br />

Incoming voice<br />

– Interconnect revenue down 5.5%<br />

– MTR gliding path in key markets<br />

– Incoming minutes down 4.0%<br />

Data<br />

– <strong>Group</strong> data revenue up 36.9%<br />

– Higher data users - 65.4m<br />

– Total data usage at 24PB<br />

– Data enabled devices -122.2m (smartphones 31.6m)<br />

Devices<br />

– South Africa contributes 92.1%<br />

– Number of prepaid handsets sold 2.4m, postpaid 699k<br />

Revenue breakdown<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

59,418<br />

284 301<br />

+2%<br />

1,085<br />

588 56<br />

60,562<br />

2012 RSA NIG LOC SOC HOE 2013CR<br />

4,686 65,248<br />

2013<br />

Revenue growth Organic Reported<br />

South Africa -1% -1%<br />

Nigeria -2% 16%<br />

Ghana 15% 23%<br />

Cameroon 8% 27%<br />

Ivory Coast 8% 27%<br />

Uganda 15% 27%<br />

Syria -16% -37%<br />

Sudan 43% 6%<br />

FX<br />

+8%<br />

2013CR is at constant prior year FX rate<br />

SOC – Small opco cluster<br />

LOC – Large opco cluster<br />

HOE – Head office companies and eliminations<br />

21


Revenue - data<br />

South Africa and Nigeria – main contributors to data revenue<br />

Data revenue increased by 36.9%<br />

– Contributes 13.9% of total revenue, 18.0% incl sms<br />

– Data users up 29.5% to 65.4m<br />

– South Africa and Nigeria contributed 82.7% of <strong>Group</strong> data revenue<br />

– South Africa data revenue up 14.7%<br />

- data effective tariff per MB down to USD0.02<br />

– Nigeria data revenue increased 60.3%, on higher data users<br />

- data effective tariff per MB at USD0.03<br />

Revenue - data<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

11%<br />

13%<br />

7,952<br />

14%<br />

9,054<br />

9%<br />

6,612<br />

4,016<br />

Data growth Organic Reported<br />

South Africa 15% 15%<br />

Nigeria 36% 60%<br />

8%<br />

3,945<br />

5,262<br />

3,502<br />

3,835<br />

Ghana 56% 67%<br />

Cameroon 45% 71%<br />

Ivory Coast 41% 65%<br />

Uganda 58% 59%<br />

2,644<br />

3,118<br />

1,195<br />

2,166<br />

2,734<br />

3,472<br />

Syria 29% -4%<br />

Sudan 260% 169%<br />

858<br />

443<br />

949<br />

944<br />

1,383<br />

1,566<br />

H1-11<br />

H2-11<br />

H1-12<br />

H2-12<br />

H1-13<br />

Other NIG RSA<br />

% of Rev<br />

* Nigeria reclassification of VAS to data<br />

22


OPEX<br />

Direct Network operating cost up 8.5%<br />

– Increased number of sites<br />

– Higher diesel and electricity<br />

– Ghana CPI of 10.0%, escalation on ATC lease cost<br />

– Tower leasing cost in Uganda, Cameroon and Ivory<br />

Coast (Jun 13: ZAR 244m)<br />

– Lower transmission cost - focus on self provisioning<br />

Handset cost up 6.8% mainly driven by South Africa<br />

– Higher average costs of smartphones and FX impact<br />

Interconnect and roaming cost up 7.6%<br />

– South Africa trending downward on lower MTR<br />

– Nigeria interconnect increased by 32.1% - increased<br />

traffic on lower offnet tariff<br />

Selling, distribution and marketing expenses up 15.2%<br />

– Higher service provider discount in South Africa<br />

– Higher handset subsidies on higher value smartphones<br />

in South Africa<br />

Employee benefits cost up 22.2%<br />

– 14.0% at constant prior year FX<br />

- annual inflationary adjustment and headcount<br />

increase<br />

Other operating expenses up 21.0%<br />

– Afghanistan provisions: ZAR 123m<br />

Opex<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

33,349<br />

7,751**<br />

4,574<br />

6,241<br />

3,496<br />

7,467<br />

3,820<br />

2012<br />

-12%<br />

37,505<br />

8,412<br />

4,883<br />

6,714<br />

4,272<br />

8,601<br />

4,623<br />

2013<br />

* Incl deferred gain Jun 13: ZAR 171m (Jun 12: ZAR 145m)<br />

** Reallocation of non-site rentals<br />

Direct network<br />

operating costs<br />

Costs of handsets<br />

and other accessories<br />

Interconnect<br />

and roaming<br />

Employee benefits<br />

Selling, distribution<br />

and marketing<br />

expenses<br />

Other operating<br />

expenses*<br />

Reported<br />

’12 - ’13<br />

% share<br />

of opex<br />

-9% 23%<br />

-7% 13%<br />

-8% 18%<br />

-22% 11%<br />

-15% 23%<br />

-21% 12%<br />

23


EBITDA margin<br />

EBITDA margin down 1.4pp to 42.5%<br />

South Africa<br />

EBITDA margin reconciliation<br />

(%)<br />

– Margin decrease 2.1pp to 32.3% - slow revenue growth<br />

– Increase in handset costs, commission and distribution costs<br />

Nigeria<br />

– Margin increased 5.7pp to 66.2%<br />

- Margin excl management fee reversal 56.5%, 4.0pp lower<br />

– Higher interconnect cost<br />

43.9<br />

0.6<br />

2.0<br />

-2.8pp<br />

0.2<br />

0.2<br />

3.8<br />

41.1<br />

1.4<br />

42.5<br />

LOC<br />

Cameroon<br />

– Additional charges for microwave frequency fees<br />

2012<br />

RSA<br />

NIG**<br />

LOC<br />

SOC<br />

**Nigeria -1,3%, HOE -0.4% excl management fee write off<br />

HOE**<br />

2013CR<br />

FX<br />

2013<br />

– Impact of lease payment<br />

Ivory Coast<br />

– Impact of lease payment<br />

SOC<br />

Bissau<br />

– Negative revenue growth<br />

Benin<br />

– Interconnect cost impact on higher traffic<br />

EBITDA growth Organic Reported<br />

South Africa -7% -7%<br />

Nigeria* 8% 27%<br />

Ghana 19% 28%<br />

Cameroon 5% 23%<br />

Ivory Coast -3% 15%<br />

Uganda 11% 23%<br />

Syria -40% -56%<br />

Sudan 54% 15%<br />

*Nigeria excl management fee write off, organic -8% and reported 8%<br />

24


Interest<br />

Net interest paid ZAR 1 102m<br />

Lower interest received<br />

– South Africa decrease by ZAR 250m (2012 reversal<br />

of ZAR 139m provision)<br />

– Nigeria decrease by ZAR 679m from prior year due to reduction in<br />

investments of ZAR 6 082m<br />

Functional currency gain ZAR 1 497m<br />

Net finance cost<br />

ZAR (million) 2013 2012 2011<br />

Net interest paid 1 102 148 892<br />

Net forex (gains)/losses (1 014) 1 536 (484)<br />

Total 88 1 684 408<br />

Closing rate of 9.87 vs 8.47 Dec 12<br />

– Intercompany account gain: ZAR 556m<br />

- Iran receivable: ZAR 197m (dividends ZAR 185m, other ZAR 12m)<br />

- Other intercompany: ZAR 359m<br />

– Bank balances gain: ZAR 941m (increased cash from dividends)<br />

Syria forex loss ZAR 962m taken to the statement of financial position (IAS21)<br />

Net forex (gains)/losses<br />

ZAR (million) 2013 2012 2011<br />

Sudan 134 1 070 39<br />

Syria (IMC) 41 673 (28)<br />

Mauritius (1 497) (77) (414)<br />

Other 308 (130) (81)<br />

Total (1 014) 1 536 (484)<br />

25


Taxation<br />

The <strong>Group</strong> effective tax rate at 31.3%, a decrease<br />

from 36.4% YoY due to<br />

Tax<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

– Secondary tax on companies - repealed and replaced with a<br />

dividend tax on the shareholder, prior year STC 4.7%<br />

– Withholding tax - 3.0% (prior year 3.6%), reduced due to the<br />

reversal of WHT on the reversal of management fees<br />

in Nigeria<br />

5,982<br />

-17%<br />

6,999<br />

1,586<br />

+5%<br />

6,620<br />

592<br />

– Deferred tax - increase in deferred tax liability due to<br />

˗<br />

Reversal of deferred tax asset (ZAR 496m) relating to<br />

reversal of management fee in Nigeria offset by decrease in<br />

normal tax<br />

674<br />

486<br />

36.4<br />

1,251 35.6 2013<br />

1,423<br />

31.3<br />

˗<br />

Increased fixed assets<br />

– Current tax - decrease due to<br />

˗<br />

˗<br />

Reduction in taxable income in South Africa<br />

Increase in initial allowance for capex in Nigeria<br />

4,057<br />

4,927<br />

4,605<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

Normal tax Def tax STC & other WHT Eff rate %<br />

26


Headline earnings per share<br />

ZAR (cents) 2013 2012<br />

Variance<br />

%<br />

Attributable earnings per share 684 575 19.0<br />

Profit on disposal of non-current assets (33) (38) 13.2<br />

Impairment/(reversal of impairment) of PPE and non-current<br />

assets<br />

3 (1) NM<br />

Basic headline earnings per share 654 536 22.0<br />

27


Shareholder returns<br />

Share buy-backs<br />

– H2 2011 repurchased 6.8m shares (ZAR 930m)<br />

– H1 2012 repurchased 15.6m shares (ZAR 2.1bn)<br />

– Total repurchase of 1.2% of issued shares since<br />

2011<br />

Dividends and share buy-backs<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

15,015<br />

930<br />

35%*<br />

17,429<br />

2,088<br />

9,356<br />

8,940<br />

9,362<br />

6,880<br />

6,577<br />

5,145<br />

5,979<br />

6,6,88<br />

06,880<br />

2,779<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

H1<br />

H2<br />

Share buy back<br />

*CAGR, H1<br />

28


Income statement<br />

ZAR (million) 2013 2012 Variance %<br />

Revenue 65 248 59 418 10<br />

Other income 1 027 711 44<br />

EBITDA 28 599 26 635 7<br />

Depreciation and amortisation 9 003 7 451 -21<br />

Profit from operations 19 596 19 184 2<br />

Net finance cost 88 1 684 NM<br />

Share of results from joint ventures and associates after tax 1 658 1 720 -4<br />

Profit before tax 21 166 19 220 10<br />

Income tax expense 6 620 6 999 5<br />

Profit after tax 14 546 12 221 19<br />

Non-controlling interests 2 009 1 627 -23<br />

Attributable profit 12 537 10 594 18<br />

EBITDA margin 43.8% 44.8% -1.0pp<br />

Profit on sale of towers 856 566 51<br />

EBITDA margin % excl tower profit 42.5% 43.9% -1.4pp<br />

Effective tax rate 31.3% 36.4% -5.1pp<br />

29


Statement of financial position<br />

ZAR (million) Jun 13 Dec 12<br />

Property, plant and equipment 83 866 73 905<br />

Intangible assets and goodwill 36 482 32 594<br />

Other non-current assets 12 288 13 700<br />

Current assets 64 830 54 502<br />

Non-current assets held for sale 190 1 373<br />

Total assets 197 656 176 074<br />

Total equity 103 664 92 887<br />

Interest bearing liabilities 42 148 32 084<br />

Other liabilities 51 844 51 103<br />

Total liabilities 93 992 83 187<br />

Total equity and liabilities 197 656 176 074<br />

Net debt/(cash)* 3 968 (2 857){<br />

[Net debt/(cash)]/ EBITDA 0.14 (0.05)<br />

*Foreign currency deposits and bonds of ZAR 8 363m (Dec 12: ZAR 5 338m) and treasury bills of ZAR 1 576m (Dec 12: ZAR 1 247m)<br />

30


Statement of cash flows<br />

ZAR (million) 2013 2012 Variance %<br />

Cash generated by operations 25 633 26 343 -3<br />

Dividends paid to equity holders of the Company (9 362) (8 940) -5<br />

Dividends paid to non-controlling interests (1 852) (1 420) -30<br />

Dividends received from joint ventures and associates 255 - NM<br />

Net interest paid (911) (497) -83<br />

Tax paid (8 909) (9 511) 6<br />

Cash generated by operating activities 4 854 5 975 -19<br />

Acquisition of property, plant and equipment (10 156) (8 413) -21<br />

Other investing activities 1 052 (4 555) NM<br />

Cash used in investing activities (9 104) (12 968) -30<br />

Cash generated by/(used in) financing activities 5 495 (2 145) NM<br />

Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year 22 539 33 074 -32<br />

Effect of exchange rates on cash and cash equivalents 1 529 (1 199) NM<br />

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year 25 313 22 737 11<br />

31


Looking Ahead


Looking Ahead<br />

Creating & managing stakeholder value<br />

• Maintained dividend policy<br />

• Opportunistic buy-back strategy<br />

Creating a distinct customer experience<br />

• Focus on improving customer experience<br />

• Improved network quality and capacity through ongoing investment<br />

• LTE rollout<br />

• Spectrum availability<br />

Driving sustainable growth<br />

• Developing and growing financial services and data applications<br />

• Select M&A opportunities<br />

• ICT solutions; cloud services, hosting services, Global connectivity, secure VPN services and M2M<br />

Cost optimisation<br />

• Network managed services<br />

• Enterprise support services<br />

• Monetisation of passive infrastructure<br />

Innovation and best practice<br />

• Opportunities in adjacencies<br />

• Migration to all IP networks – broadband growth<br />

• Leverage off Amadeus Fund<br />

33


Subscribers<br />

Guidance 2013<br />

Net subscriber additions (‘000)<br />

South Africa 800<br />

Nigeria 9 000<br />

Large opco cluster 8 150<br />

Iran 3 600<br />

Ghana 1 450<br />

Cameroon 850<br />

Ivory Coast 850<br />

Sudan 1 350<br />

Syria (750)<br />

Uganda 800<br />

Small opco cluster 3 150<br />

Total 21 100<br />

34


Appendix<br />

Appendix


Capex<br />

ZAR (million) 2013 2012 Authorised 2013<br />

South Africa 2 151 1 980 5 712<br />

Nigeria 6 571 4 432 13 079<br />

Large opco cluster 2 741 1 414 4 428<br />

Ghana 685 273 1 024<br />

Cameroon 528 274 697<br />

Ivory Coast 546 273 690<br />

Uganda 253 230 555<br />

Syria 295 239 688<br />

Sudan 434 125 774<br />

Small opco cluster 1 217 1 507 2 295<br />

Head office companies 112 306 1 643<br />

Total 12 792 9 639 27 157<br />

36


Net debt<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

Cash and cash<br />

equivalents*<br />

Interest bearing<br />

liabilities**<br />

Intercompany<br />

eliminations<br />

Net debt<br />

Jun 13***<br />

Net (cash)<br />

Dec 12<br />

South Africa (3 546) 17 179 (17 153) (3 520) (4 033)<br />

Nigeria (7 063) 19 593 - 12 530 5 892<br />

Large opco cluster (10 080) 10 629 (6 245) (5 696) (4 835)<br />

Ghana (1 626) 655 - (971) (933)<br />

Cameroon (2 964) 494 - (2 470) (977)<br />

Ivory Coast (976) 1 063 - 87 143<br />

Uganda (753) 251 - (502) (317)<br />

Syria (3 446) 2 677 (2 315) (3 084) (3 868)<br />

Sudan (315) 5 489 (3 930) 1 244 1 117<br />

Small opco cluster (3 059) 6 629 (2 698) 872 453<br />

Head office companies (14 431) 16 094 (1 881) (218) (334)<br />

Total (38 179) 70 124 (27 977) 3 968 (2 857)<br />

* Incl restricted cash and current investments - ZAR 12 764m<br />

** Incl bank overdraft - ZAR 103m<br />

*** Net debt excl Syria - ZAR 7 052m<br />

37


Revenue – data<br />

South Africa<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

Nigeria<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

+32%<br />

+15%<br />

4,016<br />

4,016<br />

+60%<br />

3,472 3,472<br />

3,502<br />

2,644<br />

2 196<br />

+152%<br />

2,166<br />

2,238<br />

604<br />

584<br />

858<br />

481<br />

505<br />

127<br />

404<br />

349<br />

H1-11<br />

H1-12<br />

H1-13<br />

H1-13<br />

H1-11<br />

H1-12<br />

H1-13<br />

H1-13<br />

MMS Blackberry VAS BS SA Internet<br />

Leased line/WiMax Blackberry VAS Internet<br />

38


South Africa<br />

Incl Business Solutions South Africa<br />

South Africa<br />

ZAR (million) H1-12 H2-12 H1-13<br />

Revenue 19 860 21 478 20 146<br />

EBITDA 7 034 7 444 6 503<br />

EBITDA margin 35.4% 34.7% 32.3%<br />

Capex 1 936 4 480 2 151<br />

Business Solutions South Africa<br />

ZAR (million) H1-12 H2-12 H1-13<br />

Revenue 570 377 -<br />

EBITDA (11) (34) -<br />

EBITDA margin (1.9%) (9.0%) -<br />

Capex 44 35 -<br />

South Africa incl Business Solutions South Africa<br />

ZAR (million) H1-12 H2-12 H1-13<br />

Revenue 20 430 21 855 20 146<br />

EBITDA 7 023 7 410 6 503<br />

EBITDA margin 34.4% 33.9% 32.3%<br />

Capex 1 980 4 515 2 151<br />

39


Income statement<br />

Proportionate consolidation (not reviewed by auditors)<br />

ZAR (million) 2013 2012 Variance %<br />

Revenue 70 180 66 426 6<br />

Other income 1 027 711 44<br />

EBITDA 30 798 29 798 3<br />

Depreciation and amortisation 9 466 8 157 -16<br />

Profit from operations 21 332 21 641 -1<br />

Net finance (income)/cost (121) 1 805 NM<br />

Share of results in associates after tax 168 (93) NM<br />

Profit before tax 21 621 19 743 10<br />

Income tax expense 7 075 7 522 6<br />

Profit after tax 14 546 12 221 19<br />

Non-controlling interests 2 009 1 627 -23<br />

Attributable profit 12 537 10 594 18<br />

EBITDA margin 43.9% 44.9% -1.0pp<br />

Profit on sale of towers 856 566 51<br />

EBITDA margin % excl tower profit 42.7% 44.0% -1.3pp<br />

Effective tax rate 32.7% 38.1% -5.4pp<br />

40


Effect of equity accounting<br />

ZAR (million)<br />

Jun 12<br />

reported Iran Other JV’s<br />

Jun 12<br />

restated<br />

Revenue 66 426 (6 506) (502) 59 418<br />

Operating expenditure 37 194 (3 598) (247) 33 349<br />

EBITDA (excl tower profit) 29 232 (2 908) (255) 26 069<br />

Capex 10 144 (418) (87) 9 639<br />

AFCF 19 088 (2 490) (168) 16 430<br />

Share of results from joint ventures and associates after tax (93) 1 670 143 1 720<br />

41


Equity Income<br />

ZAR (million) 2013 2012 Variance %<br />

Iran 1 361 1 670 -19<br />

Swaziland 30 27 11<br />

Botswana 102 122 -16<br />

Others 165 (99) NM<br />

Equity income 1 658 1 720 -4<br />

42


FX trends<br />

Average rate<br />

USD: Local currency H1-13 H2-12 H1-12 Var % YoY<br />

ZAR 9.18 8.47 7.89 -16<br />

Naira 158.62 158.52 159.48 -<br />

Rial 24 651 15 862 11 970 -106<br />

Cedi 1.95 1.91 1.78 -0.1<br />

Cameroon XAF 501.77 513.17 502.65 -<br />

Ivory Coast CFA 501.08 513.86 503.76 -<br />

Uganda shilling 2 605.54 2 558.01 2 456.92 -6<br />

Syrian pound 101.76 72.32 64.40 -58<br />

Sudanese pound 4.41 4.41 2.78 -58<br />

ZAR: Local currency H1-13 H2-12 H1-12 Var % YoY<br />

Naira 17.05 18.70 20.25 16<br />

Rial 2 662.57 1 886.00 1 515.07 -76<br />

Cedi 0.21 0.23 0.23 9<br />

Cameroon XAF 54.83 60.54 63.93 14<br />

Ivory Coast CFA 54.78 60.70 63.89 14<br />

Uganda shilling 279.33 301.82 303.73 8<br />

Syrian pound 11.02 8.56 8.14 -35<br />

Sudanese pound 0.48 0.52 0.35 -37<br />

43


FX trends<br />

Closing rate<br />

USD: Local currency H1-13 H2-12 H1-12 Var % YoY<br />

ZAR 9.87 8.47 8.16 -21<br />

Naira 162.71 156.40 163.18 -<br />

Rial 24 770 24 596 12 260 -102<br />

Cedi 2.03 1.90 1.94 -5<br />

Cameroon XAF 503.88 496.97 518.26 3<br />

Ivory Coast CFA 503.88 496.97 518.26 3<br />

Uganda shilling 2 588.00 2 643.67 2 465.00 -5<br />

Syrian pound 128.00 86.51 68.60 -87<br />

Sudanese pound 4.41 4.41 4.43 -<br />

ZAR: Local currency H1-13 H2-12 H1-12 Var % YoY<br />

Naira 16.49 18.47 20.00 18<br />

Rial 2 510.74 2 906.20 1 502.89 -67<br />

Cedi 0.21 0.22 0.24 13<br />

Cameroon XAF 51.07 58.70 63.53 20<br />

Ivory Coast CFA 51.07 58.70 63.53 20<br />

Uganda shilling 262.33 312.26 302.17 13<br />

Syrian pound 12.97 10.22 8.41 -54<br />

Sudanese pound 0.45 0.52 0.54 17<br />

44

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