Copeland Health Profile 2010 - Cumbria County Council
Copeland Health Profile 2010 - Cumbria County Council
Copeland Health Profile 2010 - Cumbria County Council
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Figure 3: Practice birth rate, 1.7.<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>Copeland</strong> PBC: practice birth rate/1,000 population as at 1st July <strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>Copeland</strong> average<br />
12.2<br />
10.4 10.4 10.3 9.9 9.6 9.2 9.0 8.9 8.3<br />
Mansion<br />
House<br />
Surgery<br />
Catherine<br />
Street<br />
Surgery<br />
Waterloo<br />
House<br />
Surgery<br />
Distington<br />
Surgery<br />
Queen<br />
Streen<br />
Medical<br />
Practice<br />
Lowther<br />
Medical<br />
Centre<br />
Westcroft<br />
House<br />
Seascale<br />
<strong>Health</strong><br />
Centre<br />
Beech<br />
House<br />
Group<br />
Practice,<br />
Flatt Walks<br />
<strong>Health</strong><br />
Centre<br />
To have an indication of the birth rate at GP practice level, population figures have been<br />
taken from the Exeter patient registration system. By counting the number of infants aged<br />
below one year, it is possible to calculate a proxy practice birth rate, see figure 3. Using this<br />
method the average birth rate for <strong>Copeland</strong> PBC is 9 births per 1,000 registered population<br />
(July, <strong>2010</strong>). There is a wide variation in practice birth rates with Mansion House Surgery<br />
experiencing the highest rate of 12.2 births and Flatt Walks <strong>Health</strong> Centre the lowest at 8.3<br />
births.<br />
Population Projections<br />
Figure 4: Population projections (2008 based)<br />
<strong>Copeland</strong> projected population<br />
70.0<br />
70.2<br />
70.4<br />
70.6<br />
70.9<br />
71.1<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
2011<br />
2012<br />
2013<br />
71.4<br />
71.6<br />
71.9<br />
72.1<br />
72.4<br />
72.7<br />
73.0<br />
2014<br />
2015<br />
2016<br />
2017<br />
2018<br />
2019<br />
2020<br />
73.3<br />
73.5<br />
73.8<br />
74.0<br />
74.2<br />
74.4<br />
74.6<br />
74.7<br />
2021<br />
2022<br />
2023<br />
2024<br />
2025<br />
2026<br />
2027<br />
2028<br />
74.9<br />
75.0<br />
75.2<br />
75.3<br />
75.5<br />
2029<br />
2030<br />
2031<br />
2032<br />
2033<br />
Figure 4 shows the population projection (2008 based) trend for <strong>Copeland</strong>. By 2033,<br />
projections suggest a growth of 8% in the overall population size of <strong>Copeland</strong>. Nationally<br />
over the same period the population is projected to grow by 18%.<br />
<strong>Copeland</strong> <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Profile</strong><br />
J Clay<br />
5
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