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Edmonton International Airport - EIA Corporate

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(Exhibit 3.13).<br />

Gradual increases are expected as business and<br />

general aviation traffic shift from ECCA. For this<br />

gradual master plan, 2014 is assumed to be a pivotal<br />

year for increase in aircraft movements into <strong>Edmonton</strong><br />

<strong>International</strong> <strong>Airport</strong> as traffic transfers from ECCA.<br />

Additional business aviation traffic is expected to be<br />

handled at the expanded apron areas at <strong>EIA</strong>.<br />

With the expected growth in air carrier, air cargo and<br />

business aviation activities at <strong>EIA</strong>, the total number<br />

of aircraft movements is estimated to reach 206,856<br />

in 2020 and 279,313 in 2035 (Exhibit 3.14 and 3.14A).<br />

3.3.3 Air Cargo Demand<br />

Air cargo forecasts are normally prepared<br />

correlating cargo activity with an economic variable<br />

such as Gross Domestic Product. In addition, the<br />

impact of <strong>Edmonton</strong> ‘regional multi-modal’ cargo<br />

development initiatives under the Port Alberta<br />

Development Plan have been incorporated in<br />

the air cargo forecasts for <strong>EIA</strong> (Exhibit 3.15). The<br />

resulting cargo forecasts project overall growth<br />

of 4.6 per cent per year in the long term after the<br />

modest increase of one to three per cent in the<br />

early years (2010-2013).<br />

The forecast for air cargo activities is displayed in a<br />

range (Exhibit 3.16).<br />

3.3.3.1 Port Alberta – Cargo at a Single<br />

Point<br />

Port Alberta is staged to become the new gateway<br />

for cargo combining air, rail and road transportation<br />

infrastructure at a single point.<br />

Millions of Kilograms<br />

Millions of Kilograms<br />

Exhibit 3.15 | Air Cargo Volumes<br />

100<br />

Domestic Transborder <strong>International</strong><br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Exhibit 3.16 | Air Cargo Volumes Forecasts<br />

120<br />

Low Baseline High<br />

96<br />

72<br />

48<br />

24<br />

0<br />

1993<br />

2000 2007 2014 2021<br />

2028<br />

2010 2015 2020 2025<br />

2030<br />

2035<br />

2035<br />

<strong>Edmonton</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Airport</strong> Draft Master Plan<br />

Chapter 3<br />

37

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