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Measuring Achievements of Private Sector Development in ... - DCED

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<strong>Measur<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Achievements</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Private</strong> <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>in</strong> Conflict-Affected Environments<br />

A “conflict bl<strong>in</strong>d” project may not achieve its objectives, due to unanticipated conflict-related factors, or<br />

<strong>in</strong>advertently worsen the conflict. The next two sections therefore explore how the project logic can<br />

<strong>in</strong>corporate Do No Harm and peacebuild<strong>in</strong>g pr<strong>in</strong>ciples.<br />

1.1.1 Do No Harm<br />

At a m<strong>in</strong>imum, projects <strong>in</strong> CAEs should aim<br />

to “Do No Harm”. They must be built on a<br />

comprehensive conflict analysis, and<br />

consider potential negative <strong>in</strong>teractions<br />

between the conflict and the context.<br />

1.1.1.1 Conflict Analysis<br />

“At the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the project, I was not<br />

conv<strong>in</strong>ced by peace and conflict analysis. I<br />

thought that I don’t have time for it. But<br />

I’ve discovered that, if I make the time, we<br />

avoid a lot <strong>of</strong> trouble. A good conflict<br />

analysis is vital to success.” – Liane Hryca,<br />

GIZ Afghanistan 13<br />

To be effective <strong>in</strong> a CAE, the project logic<br />

needs to be based on an understand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong><br />

the conflict. This should be done through a<br />

conflict analysis, which is a systematic<br />

study <strong>of</strong> the pr<strong>of</strong>ile, causes, actors, and dynamics <strong>of</strong> conflict. 14<br />

In particular, the conflict analysis should<br />

identify the drivers (i.e. underly<strong>in</strong>g causes) <strong>of</strong> conflict. For a selection <strong>of</strong> conflict analysis guidel<strong>in</strong>es, see<br />

the key resources section below.<br />

Key Questions for Conflict Analysis 15<br />

Conflict pr<strong>of</strong>ile<br />

What is the political, economic, and socio-cultural context<br />

What are the emergent political, economic, ecological and social issues<br />

What specific conflict prone/affected areas can be situated with<strong>in</strong> this context<br />

Is there a history <strong>of</strong> conflict<br />

Conflict causes<br />

What are structural causes <strong>of</strong> conflict<br />

What issues can be considered as proximate causes <strong>of</strong> conflict<br />

Impact <strong>of</strong> EU engagement <strong>in</strong> Afar Region, Ethiopia<br />

Afar is an <strong>in</strong>secure region <strong>in</strong> the East <strong>of</strong> Ethiopia, where<br />

regional <strong>in</strong>security, weak regional government, loss <strong>of</strong><br />

access to livelihood resources, and marg<strong>in</strong>alization <strong>of</strong><br />

m<strong>in</strong>ority groups, <strong>in</strong> particular pastoralist communities,<br />

all risk creat<strong>in</strong>g physical conflict.<br />

The EU provided approximately two billion Euros<br />

between 1976 and 1994 <strong>in</strong> aid to Ethiopia. In the Afar<br />

region, this <strong>in</strong>cluded large-scale irrigation projects on<br />

more than 40,000 ha <strong>of</strong> land.<br />

A report by Saferworld concluded that these projects<br />

have excluded pastoralists from plann<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

implementation, depriv<strong>in</strong>g them <strong>of</strong> graz<strong>in</strong>g land and<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the risk <strong>of</strong> conflict between pastoralists,<br />

agriculturalists and the state.<br />

What triggers can contribute to the outbreak/further escalation <strong>of</strong> conflict<br />

13 Interview with Liane Hryca (GIZ Afghanistan), September 28, 2012.<br />

14 Conflict Sensitivity Consortium, How To Guide to Conflict Sensitivity, 2012.<br />

15 Conflict Sensitivity Consortium, How To Guide to Conflict Sensitivity, 2012.<br />

Practical Guidel<strong>in</strong>es for Implement<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>DCED</strong> Standard. Version 2, July 2013<br />

9

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