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Measuring Achievements of Private Sector Development in ... - DCED

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<strong>Measur<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Achievements</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Private</strong> <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>in</strong> Conflict-Affected Environments<br />

Increase <strong>in</strong> peace and<br />

stability<br />

Participants have more<br />

economic <strong>in</strong>centives to<br />

avoid war<br />

Participants have more jobs,<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>come<br />

Project supports growth <strong>in</strong><br />

dynamic market systems<br />

% change <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>come<br />

# <strong>of</strong> jobs created<br />

% change <strong>in</strong> satisfaction with<br />

livelihoods<br />

% <strong>of</strong> demobilised excombatants<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g an<br />

<strong>in</strong>dependent livelihood after<br />

X year(s)<br />

% change <strong>in</strong> perceived cost <strong>of</strong><br />

conflict<br />

% change <strong>in</strong> # <strong>of</strong> people who<br />

believe that they will <strong>in</strong>cur<br />

economic losses if violence<br />

breaks out<br />

% change <strong>in</strong> # <strong>of</strong> people who<br />

see violence as a way to earn<br />

money<br />

% change <strong>in</strong> # <strong>of</strong> people who<br />

cite economic reasons for not<br />

support<strong>in</strong>g violence<br />

The top level <strong>in</strong> each <strong>of</strong> the above results cha<strong>in</strong>s is ‘<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> peace and stability’. When there are<br />

many factors <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g this results, an <strong>in</strong>dex <strong>in</strong>dicator can aggregate changes across multiple drivers <strong>of</strong><br />

conflict. The appropriate <strong>in</strong>dicators to <strong>in</strong>clude will vary based on the context, but could <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />

% reduction <strong>in</strong> perceptions that conflict is likely<br />

% <strong>of</strong> the population who perceive improv<strong>in</strong>g security situation, disaggregated as appropriate<br />

# <strong>of</strong> violent confrontations and extrajudicial kill<strong>in</strong>gs over land, water, or graz<strong>in</strong>g rights (by identity<br />

group)<br />

% change <strong>in</strong> attitudes toward peace and violence<br />

% change <strong>in</strong> perception <strong>of</strong> personal safety<br />

2.2 <strong>Measur<strong>in</strong>g</strong> the universal impact <strong>in</strong>dicators (Control Po<strong>in</strong>t 2.2)<br />

The <strong>in</strong>clusion <strong>of</strong> the three universal impact <strong>in</strong>dicators – scale, <strong>in</strong>come, employment – <strong>in</strong> monitor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

systems supports the aggregation <strong>of</strong> PSD impacts across multiple projects. Their application <strong>in</strong> CAEs is<br />

important, as there is evidence that generat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>come and employment can contribute to <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

stability. 40 As with conflict <strong>in</strong>dicators, it is particularly critical to disaggregate employment and <strong>in</strong>come<br />

results to assess the distribution <strong>of</strong> benefits.<br />

There is general consensus the uniqueness <strong>of</strong> each CAE prevents the development <strong>of</strong> universal<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicators for peacebuild<strong>in</strong>g. 41 Rather, other impact-level <strong>in</strong>dicators should be developed as needed<br />

based on the specific nature <strong>of</strong> the conflict. This will be particularly important for PSD projects with a<br />

peacebuild<strong>in</strong>g objective.<br />

40 ECOPA, Adapt<strong>in</strong>g IFC M&E approaches for projects <strong>in</strong> conflict-affected countries, Phase 2: Case studies and<br />

recommendations, August 2011, 24.<br />

41 ECOPA, Adapt<strong>in</strong>g IFC M&E approaches for projects <strong>in</strong> conflict-affected countries, Phase 2: Case studies and<br />

recommendations, August 2011, 106.<br />

Practical Guidel<strong>in</strong>es for Implement<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>DCED</strong> Standard. Version 2, July 2013<br />

25

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