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Prediction Theory 1 Introduction 2 General Linear Mixed Model

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Then<br />

GZ ′ V −1 = GZ ′ (R −1 − R −1 ZTZ ′ R −1 )<br />

= (GZ ′ R −1 − GZ ′ R −1 ZTZ ′ R −1 )<br />

= (GT −1 − GZ ′ R −1 Z)TZ ′ R −1<br />

= (G(Z ′ R −1 Z + G −1 ) − GZ ′ R −1 Z)TZ ′ R −1<br />

= TZ ′ R −1 .<br />

Similarly, the MME solution for û and substituting it into the first equation in the MME<br />

gives<br />

X ′ R −1 Xˆb + X ′ R −1 Z(TZ ′ R −1 (y − Xˆb)) = X ′ R −1 y.<br />

Combine the terms in ˆb and y to give<br />

X ′ (R −1 − R −1 ZTZ ′ R −1 )Xˆb = X ′ (R −1 − R −1 ZTZ ′ R −1 )y,<br />

which are the same as the GLS equations,<br />

X ′ V −1 Xˆb = X ′ V −1 y.<br />

Goldberger (1962) published these results before Henderson (1963), but Henderson knew of<br />

these equivalences back in 1949 through numerical examples. After he discovered Goldberger’s<br />

paper (sometime after his retirement) Henderson insisted on citing it along with his work. Most<br />

people in animal breeding, however, refer to Henderson as the originator of this work and its<br />

primary proponent.<br />

9 Variances of Predictors and <strong>Prediction</strong> Errors From MME<br />

The covariance matrices of the predictors and prediction errors can be expressed in terms of the<br />

generalized inverse of the coefficient matrix of the MME, C. Recall that<br />

( ) ( ) ( )<br />

ˆb Cxx C<br />

=<br />

xz X ′ R −1<br />

û C zx C zz Z ′ R −1 y,<br />

or as<br />

ˆb = C ′ by,<br />

and<br />

û = C ′ uy.<br />

If the coefficient matrix of the MME is full rank (or a full rank subset) (to simplify the<br />

presentation of results), then<br />

( ) ( ) ( )<br />

Cxx C xz X ′ R −1 X X ′ R −1 Z<br />

I 0<br />

C zx C zz Z ′ R −1 X Z ′ R −1 Z + G −1 =<br />

,<br />

0 I<br />

10

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