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Prediction Theory 1 Introduction 2 General Linear Mixed Model

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Another alternative might be to partition R and y into a full rank subset and analyze that part<br />

ignoring the linearly dependent subset. However, the solutions for ˆb and û may be dependent<br />

on the subsets that are chosen, unless X and Z may be partitioned in the same manner as R.<br />

Singular R matrices do not occur frequently with continuously distributed observations, but<br />

do occur with categorical data where the probabilities of observations belonging to each category<br />

must sum to one.<br />

15 When u and e are correlated<br />

Nearly all applications of BLUP have been conducted assuming that Cov(u, e) = 0, but suppose<br />

that Cov(u, e) = T so that<br />

V ar(y) = ZGZ ′ + R + ZT ′ + TZ ′ .<br />

A solution to this problem is to use an equivalent model where<br />

y = Xb + Wu + ɛ<br />

for<br />

and<br />

(<br />

u<br />

V ar<br />

ɛ<br />

W = Z + TG −1<br />

)<br />

=<br />

(<br />

G 0<br />

0 B<br />

)<br />

where B = R − TG −1 T ′ , and consequently,<br />

V ar(y) = WGW ′ + B<br />

= (Z + TG −1 )G(Z ′ + G −1 T ′ ) + (R − TG −1 T ′ )<br />

= ZGZ ′ + ZT ′ + TZ ′ + R<br />

The appropriate MME for the equivalent model are<br />

( ) (<br />

X ′ B −1 X X ′ B −1 W<br />

ˆb<br />

W ′ B −1 X W ′ B −1 W + G −1 û<br />

The inverse of B can be written as<br />

)<br />

=<br />

(<br />

X ′ B −1 y<br />

W ′ B −1 y<br />

)<br />

.<br />

but this form may not be readily computable.<br />

B −1 = R −1 − R −1 T(G − T ′ R −1 T) −1 T ′ R −1 ,<br />

The biggest difficulty with this type of problem is to define T = Cov(u, e), and then to<br />

estimate the values that should go into T. A model with a non-zero variance- covariance matrix<br />

between u and e can be re-parameterized into an equivalent model containing u and ɛ which<br />

are uncorrelated.<br />

17

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