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World Bank Document - Mumbai Railway Vikas Corporation Ltd ...

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accordingly by both administrations. However, this does not make MRVC a permanent structure<br />

and MRVC will remain in existence only as long as it is judged necessary beyond the year 2014,<br />

the end of the current MOU. An amendment to the MOU will be signed to ensure that MRVC<br />

continues as implementing agency of MUTP-2A until its completion.<br />

D. Critical Risks and Possible Controversial Aspects<br />

Risks Risk Mitigation Measures Risk Rating with Mitigation Risk Rating<br />

Operation-specific Risks<br />

Technical Design Demand assessment risk: demand may<br />

exceed the forecast, thereby reducing<br />

the expected passenger comfort<br />

benefits (reduced overcrowding). This<br />

can happen because population or<br />

Additional counts will be made during<br />

project preparation and project<br />

implementation to monitor passenger<br />

loadings. The pace of implementation of<br />

the Strategic Transport Plan may be<br />

economic growth does not change as<br />

forecast. It can also happen because<br />

the fare does not rise at the same pace<br />

as the cost escalation index. Based on<br />

recent traffic counts, this risk is<br />

moderate.<br />

revised accordingly.<br />

Moderate<br />

Implementation<br />

Capacity and<br />

Sustainability<br />

Financial<br />

Management<br />

About ten percent of electric motors<br />

have failed in trains so far delivered<br />

under MUTP-1, with a small impact<br />

on operations as the Vendor has<br />

replaced them, but with moderate<br />

future risk.<br />

Financial sustainability: continuation<br />

of the present fare level trend will<br />

increase the financial deficit of the<br />

suburban operation, creating a<br />

medium-term financial risk for IR.<br />

Possibility of certain gaps in corporate<br />

governance and financial<br />

accountability and management<br />

practices in MRVC. (MRVC is in the<br />

process of implementing MUTP-1 and<br />

is already familiar with <strong>Bank</strong><br />

procedures).<br />

The <strong>Bank</strong> team will encourage IR to pay<br />

more attention to qualification of critical<br />

items of rolling stock procurement.<br />

The impact of the project on IR’s financial<br />

performance as a whole is considered small<br />

and not liable to affect significantly the<br />

sustainability of the suburban operations<br />

and maintenance.<br />

An assessment of corporate governance<br />

and financial accountability (CGFA)<br />

arrangements in MRVC has been<br />

completed. The objective of the assessment<br />

is to (i) benchmark current CGFA practices<br />

in MRVC against industry standards and<br />

good practices and (ii) agree on an action<br />

plan with dates for implementing capacity<br />

building measures that are identified.<br />

Progress on the agreed action plan would<br />

be monitored during project preparation<br />

and prior to implementation.<br />

Funds will flow to MRVC through budget<br />

release, which will be replenished by the<br />

<strong>Bank</strong> on the basis of quarterly interim<br />

unaudited financial reports and expenditure<br />

forecasts. Direct payment by the <strong>Bank</strong> to<br />

the suppliers will be the likely option under<br />

the project. The project will comprise only<br />

a few large supply contracts, which will be<br />

subject to prior review by the <strong>Bank</strong>.<br />

Low<br />

Low<br />

Moderate<br />

(subject to<br />

progress of<br />

implementati<br />

on of agreed<br />

CGFA action<br />

plan<br />

10

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