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Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis

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248 MODELS FOR MATCHED PAIRS<br />

An alternative model applies the logit link,<br />

This is equivalent <strong>to</strong><br />

logit[P(Y1 = 1)] =α + β, logit[P(Y2 = 1)] =α (8.3)<br />

logit[P(Yt = 1)] =α + βxt<br />

where xt is an indica<strong>to</strong>r variable that equals 1 when t = 1 and 0 when t = 2. The<br />

parameter e β is the odds ratio comparing the marginal distributions. Its ML estimate<br />

is the odds ratio for the sample marginal distributions. For Table 8.1, exp( ˆβ) =<br />

[(359/785)/(334/810)] =1.11. The population odds of willingness <strong>to</strong> pay higher<br />

taxes are estimated <strong>to</strong> be 11% higher than the population odds of willingness <strong>to</strong><br />

accept cuts in living standards.<br />

These models are called marginal models. They focus on the marginal distributions<br />

of responses for the two observations.<br />

8.2.2 Subject-Specific and Population-Averaged Tables<br />

Next, we show a three-way representation of binary matched-pairs data that motivates<br />

a different type of model. This display presents the data as n separate 2 × 2 partial<br />

tables, one for each matched pair. The kth partial table shows the responses (Y1,Y2)<br />

for the kth matched pair. It has columns that are the two possible outcomes (e.g.,<br />

“yes” and “no”) for each observation. It shows the outcome of Y1 (e.g., response <strong>to</strong><br />

question 1) in row 1 and the outcome of Y2 (e.g., response <strong>to</strong> question 2) in row 2.<br />

Table 8.1 cross-classified results on two environmental questions for 1144 subjects.<br />

Table 8.2 shows a partial table for a subject who answers “yes” on both questions.<br />

The full three-way table corresponding <strong>to</strong> Table 8.1 has 1144 partial tables. Of them,<br />

227 look like Table 8.2, 132 have first row (1, 0) and second row (0, 1), representing<br />

“yes” on question 1 and “no” on question 2, 107 have first row (0, 1) and second row<br />

(1, 0), and 678 have (0, 1) in each row.<br />

Each subject has a partial table, displaying the two matched observations. The 1144<br />

subjects provide 2288 observations in a 2 × 2 × 1144 contingency table. Collapsing<br />

this table over the 1144 partial tables yields a 2 × 2 table with first row equal <strong>to</strong><br />

Table 8.2. Representation of Matched Pair<br />

Contributing <strong>to</strong> Count n11 in Table 8.1<br />

Response<br />

Issue Yes No<br />

Pay higher taxes 1 0<br />

Cut living standards 1 0

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