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YAVAPAI COUNTY, ARIZONA Federal Emergency ... - FEMA Region 9

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approximately 1,600 feet downstream of the former basin and has a 1-percent<br />

annual chance stillwater elevation of 3,492.1 feet (Cooper Arial Surveys, 1978).<br />

For some of the studies in the City of Prescott, flood-frequency data were<br />

developed from discharge-frequency relationships of historic floods and<br />

hydrologic study analyses performed by tile USACE (USACE, October 1973).<br />

Various modifying factors were applied in developing the discharge frequency<br />

curves to allow for the effects of existing floodplain developments.<br />

Flood hydrographs were developed using unit hydrograph procedures. The unit<br />

hydrograph was derived from synthetic S graphs as determined from<br />

reconstitution in the basin or a similar graph.<br />

Peak discharge values for Willow Creek Tributary and Willow Creek Reservoir<br />

Tributary were determined utilizing the NRCS Method. This method is<br />

recommended for drainage basin parameters such as drainage basin area, slope,<br />

vegetation type and cover density, and hydrologic soil groups to determine the<br />

rainfall-runoff relationship and the peak discharge for each recurrence interval.<br />

On Willow Creek, the discharges have been reduced at several points upstream of<br />

the mouth in accordance with the NRCS TR-20 model prepared by Henningson,<br />

Durham & Richardson, Inc.<br />

Discharges for the Agua Fria River, Navajo Drive Wash, and Lynx Creek in the<br />

Town of Prescott Valley were developed using the computer program Project<br />

Formulation Hydrology (<strong>FEMA</strong>, 1964). This NRCS methodology uses basin<br />

physical characteristics, soil classification, cover conditions, and precipitation<br />

amount as parameters for developing runoff.<br />

A hydrologic analysis for North Navajo Drive Wash was done by adjusting the<br />

discharge values of previously studied Navajo Drive Wash (<strong>FEMA</strong>, 1982, revised<br />

1990), by applying the drainage area ratio. The peak 1-percent annual chance<br />

discharge varies from 190 cubic feet per second (cfs) upstream to 740 cfs<br />

downstream. For this study only the 1-percent annual chance flood was<br />

calculated.<br />

The upper Agua Fria River watershed basin was divided into subwatersheds, with<br />

attention given to homogeneity of soil type and cover conditions. Times of<br />

concentrations were computed using Manning's equation to develop the velocity<br />

component. Drainage areas were measured using USGS topographic maps (U.S.<br />

Department of the Interior, 1965, et cetera; U.S. Department of the Interior, 1947<br />

et cetera; U.S. Department of the Interior, 1970).<br />

Soil classification and cover conditions were determined through field surveys<br />

and through the General Soil Map for Yavapai County (U.S. Department of<br />

Agriculture, 1978). Antecedent moisture condition 2 was used for the soil<br />

moisture content.<br />

Tile National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Atlas 2 (USACE,<br />

February 1977) was used to select rainfall amounts for the 10-, 2-, and 1-percent<br />

24

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