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ICT in Agriculture and Disaster Management - Bangladesh ...

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FAO<br />

Available reports show that the tropical <strong>and</strong> subtropical countries would be more<br />

vulnerable to the potential impacts of global warm<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Bangladesh</strong> is likely to be one<br />

of the worst-hit countries of the globe, be<strong>in</strong>g an Asian as well as a Third World<br />

country.<br />

It is very likely that the soil sal<strong>in</strong>ity would <strong>in</strong>crease due to climate change <strong>and</strong><br />

consequential effects. Increased sal<strong>in</strong>ity would significantly decrease food gra<strong>in</strong><br />

production. This loss can be m<strong>in</strong>imized by varietal <strong>and</strong> agronomic manipulations.<br />

Reduction <strong>in</strong> food gra<strong>in</strong> production would put additional pressure to the food security<br />

of the country (Habibullah et al., 1999)<br />

Climate change <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with sea level rise would aggravate the soil sal<strong>in</strong>ity <strong>in</strong><br />

the coastal region of the country. A GCM model<strong>in</strong>g approach has <strong>in</strong>dicated that, under<br />

predicted climatic conditions the <strong>in</strong>dex of aridity will <strong>in</strong>crease dur<strong>in</strong>g w<strong>in</strong>ter (Ahmed<br />

et al., 1996).<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the Third Assessment Report of IPCC (2001) it is likely to have a 45 cm of<br />

sea level rise. Under this scenario, if no adaptation is assumed about 11 % of l<strong>and</strong> area<br />

of the country would be lost <strong>and</strong> also 5.5 million people would be vulnerable.<br />

Table 4. Some important statistics of the Coastal Zone of <strong>Bangladesh</strong><br />

Total L<strong>and</strong> Area (000 ha)P1P 14400<br />

Population <strong>in</strong> 2010 (millions) 141.82<br />

Population <strong>in</strong> 2020* (millions) 181.18<br />

Percent of population with<strong>in</strong> 100 km of the coast 55%<br />

Coastl<strong>in</strong>e Length (km)<br />

3306 (710 km coastal belt)<br />

Territorial sea (up to 12 nautical miles) (kmP2P) 40,257<br />

Claimed Exclusive Economic Zone (kmP2P) 39,868<br />

*Estimated population, P1P<br />

(2008).<br />

Source: WRI (2000). Coastl<strong>in</strong>e=This entry gives the total length of the boundary between the<br />

l<strong>and</strong> area (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g isl<strong>and</strong>s) <strong>and</strong> the sea<br />

Sal<strong>in</strong>ity Intrusion<br />

In the w<strong>in</strong>ter months the areas suffer due to sal<strong>in</strong>ity related problems. In absence of<br />

appreciable ra<strong>in</strong>fall the soil <strong>in</strong> the coastal areas starts to desiccate, <strong>and</strong> because of<br />

capillary actions salt comes up at the surface of the soil <strong>and</strong> accumulates <strong>in</strong> the root<br />

zones of crops. Many of the crop varieties are not tolerant to sal<strong>in</strong>ity, <strong>and</strong> as a result, a<br />

large area <strong>in</strong> the coastal districts becomes virtually unsuitable for a number of crops,<br />

while the production of a few other crops is lesser under sal<strong>in</strong>e conditions.<br />

Most of the l<strong>and</strong> rema<strong>in</strong>s fallow <strong>in</strong> the dry season (January- May) because of soil<br />

sal<strong>in</strong>ity, lack of good quality irrigation water <strong>and</strong> late dra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g condition. Farmers<br />

cultivate mostly low yield<strong>in</strong>g, traditional rice varieties dur<strong>in</strong>g wet season. The process<br />

of sal<strong>in</strong>ization is governed by many factors among which the dom<strong>in</strong>ant ones are l<strong>and</strong><br />

characteristics <strong>and</strong> dra<strong>in</strong>age of tidal flood<strong>in</strong>g through a network of tidal creeks <strong>and</strong><br />

dra<strong>in</strong>age channels <strong>in</strong>undates the soil <strong>and</strong> impregnates them with soluble salts thereby<br />

render<strong>in</strong>g the topsoil <strong>and</strong> subsoil sal<strong>in</strong>e. With<strong>in</strong> the embankment the sedimentation<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>undation process with sal<strong>in</strong>e water <strong>in</strong> brackish water shrimp cultivation area are<br />

still active. Only about six percent of the l<strong>and</strong> types <strong>in</strong> coastal area are highl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

13% medium low l<strong>and</strong>. The dom<strong>in</strong>ant l<strong>and</strong> type <strong>in</strong> this region is medium highl<strong>and</strong>,<br />

which is about 64%. A comparative study of soil sal<strong>in</strong>ity maps of 1973, 2000 <strong>and</strong> 2009<br />

27

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