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132 Chapter 5<br />

A QUESTION OF TERMINOLOGY<br />

One very important idea in statistics is the idea of a distribution. For a discrete<br />

variable, a distribution is a lot like a histogram—it tells how often a given value<br />

occurs as a probability between 0 and 1. For instance, a uniform distribution<br />

says that all values are equally represented. An example of a uniform<br />

distribution would occur in a business where customers pay by credit card<br />

and the same number of customers pays with American Express, Visa, and<br />

MasterCard.<br />

The normal distribution, which plays a very special role in statistics, is an<br />

example of a distribution for a continuous variable. The following figure shows<br />

the normal (sometimes called Gaussian or bell-shaped) distribution with a<br />

mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. The way to read this curve is to<br />

look at areas between two points. For a value that follows the normal<br />

distribution, the probability that the value falls between two values—for<br />

example, between 0 and 1—is the area under the curve. For the values of 0<br />

and 1, the probability is 34.1 percent; this means that 34.1 percent of the time<br />

a variable that follows a normal distribution will take on a value within one<br />

standard deviation above the mean. Because the curve is symmetric, there is<br />

an additional 34.1% probability of being one standard deviation below the<br />

mean, and hence 68.2% probability of being within one standard deviation<br />

above the mean.<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

TEAMFLY<br />

Probability Density<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5<br />

Z-Value<br />

The probability density function for the normal distribution looks like the familiar<br />

bell-shaped curve.<br />

Team-Fly ®

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