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470 Chapter 14<br />

Winback<br />

Once customers have left, there is still the possibility that they can be lured<br />

back. Winback tries to bring back valuable customers, by providing them with<br />

incentives, products, and pricing promotions.<br />

Winback tends to depend more on operational strategies than on data analysis.<br />

Sometimes it is possible to determine why customers left. However, the<br />

winback strategies need to begin as part of the retention efforts themselves.<br />

Some companies, for instance, have specialized “save teams.” Customers cannot<br />

leave without talking to a person who is trained in trying to retain them. In<br />

addition to saving customers, save teams also do a good job of tracking the<br />

reasons why customers are leaving—information that can be very valuable to<br />

future efforts to keep customers.<br />

Data analysis can sometimes help determine why customers are leaving,<br />

particularly when customer service complaints can be incorporated into operational<br />

data. However, trying to lure back disgruntled customers is quite hard.<br />

The more important effort is trying to keep them in the first place with competitive<br />

products, attractive offers, and useful services.<br />

Lessons Learned<br />

Customers, in all their forms, are central to business success. Some are big and<br />

very important; these merit specialized relationships. Others are small and<br />

very numerous. This is the sweet spot for data mining, because data mining<br />

can help provide mass intimacy where it is too expensive to have personal<br />

relationships with everyone all the time. Some are in between, requiring a balance<br />

between these approaches.<br />

Subscription-based relationships are a good model for customer relationships<br />

in general because there is a well-defined beginning and end to the<br />

relationship. Each customer has his or her own life cycle defined by events—<br />

marriage, graduation, children, moving, changing jobs, and so on. These can<br />

be useful for marketing, but suffer from the problem that companies do not<br />

know when they occur.<br />

The customer life cycle, in contrast, looks at customers from the perspective<br />

of their business relationship. First, there are prospects, who are activated to<br />

become new customers. New customers offer opportunities for up-selling,<br />

cross-selling, and usage stimulation. Eventually all customers leave, making<br />

retention an important data mining application both for marketing and forecasting.<br />

And once customers have left, they may be convinced to return<br />

through winback strategies. Data mining can enhance all these business<br />

opportunities.

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