Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability ... - dnssab

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“BY THE NUMBERS” Page Nipissing’s Shelters……………………………………………………………….. 17 Seniors % Population: Nipissing, ON & Canada, 1986 – 2006………………. 30 Nipissing’s Aboriginal Population by Area, 2006………………………………. 61 General Age Groups: Nipissing’s Aboriginal Population & the District, 2006. 63 Average Household Size: Nipissing, ON & Canada, 2006…………………… 66 Household Size as % of Total Households: Nipissing, ON & Canada, 2006. 67 Families & Households as % of Total: Nipissing, ON & Canada, 2006……... 70 Median Income by Household Type: Nipissing District, 2000………………... 71 Household Tenure: Nipissing, ON & Canada, 2006…………………………... 73 Owners by Structural Type of Housing: Nipissing District, 2006…………….. 80 Renters by Structural Type of Housing: Nipissing District, 2006…………….. 81 Households by Structural Type of Housing: Nipissing & ON, 2006…………. 82 Households by Structural Type & Tenure: Nipissing & ON, 2006…………… 83 Age of Housing by Tenure, Nipissing District; 2006…………………………… 86 Poor Housing Condition by Tenure and Age of Housing, Nip. District; 2006. 86 Renters Living in Housing that is in Poor Condition, by Structural type, 06… 87 Renters Living in Housing that is in Poor Condition, Nipissing & ON, 2006... 88 Net Growth in Households since 1986, Nipissing’s Municipalities…………... 92 Net Decrease in Ave. Household Size since 1986, Nip. Municipalities……... 93 Aboriginal Households by Area, 2006…………………………………………... 94 Median Income for 1-person (single) Households, 2000……………………... 96 Net Change in Household Type since 1986 (Municipalities & Areas)………. 98 Aboriginal Lone-parent households by Area, 2006……………………………. 100 Net Change in Housing Tenure since 1986 (Municipalities & Areas)……….. 102 Number of Owners & Renters in Nipissing’s Municipalities & Areas, 2006… 105 Households by Structural Type and Tenure, North Bay & ON; 2006……….. 106 Households by Structural Type and Tenure, West. Nip., North Bay & ON 107 Average Waiting Time for Social Housing by Family Type, 2007……………. 158 Renter Households Living in Purpose-built Rental Housing, 2006………….. 159 Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability Study, May 2008. xviii
KEY FINDINGS The following key findings are presented in the order that they appear in the report: POPULATION • Nipissing District and its municipalities have experienced varying rates of population change over a 40-year trend period (1966 – 2006). The municipalities’ net population changes since 1966 and 2001 are summarized below (presented in descending order, starting with the greatest change since 1966. Note: the base year is 1966 except for Temagami which is 1971 and Nipissing First Nation (FN) which is 1981). II Municipality Present pop. 2006 Change since 1966, # Change since 1966, % Change since 2001, # Change since 2001, % East Ferris 4,200 2,153 105% -91 -2.1% Nipissing FN 1,413 703 99% 35 2.5% Mattawan 147 64 77% 33 28.9% Chisholm 1318 491 59% 88 7.2% Bonfield 2009 547 37% -55 -2.7% Papineau-Cameron 1,058 208 24% 61 6.1% North Bay 53,966 8,890 20% 1,195 2.3% Calvin 608 90 17% 5 0.8% Nipissing District 84,688 11,155 15% 1,778 2.1% West Nipissing 13,410 0 0% 296 2.3% Temagami 934 -488 -34% 41 4.6% Mattawa 2,003 -1,140 -36% -267 -11.8% South Algonquin 1,253 N/A N/A -25 -2.0% Nipissing North 1,798 N/A N/A -58 -3.1% Nipissing South N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A • Based on the 40-year population trend between 1966–2006, Nipissing District and North Bay have had two cycles of population growth followed by decline. 2001 appears to mark the beginning of a new growth cycle. • The District’s 2% population growth since 2001, has occurred in the youth (15-24), core wage-earning (25-64) and senior citizen (65+) age-groups. The childrens age group (0-14) decreased by 10%. Nipissing’s population growth during the next 10 years will come from net inmigration as natural increase will no longer be positive. If the current situation of no new private-sector rental supply continues, the rental housing market will remain tight and will become increasingly vulnerable, as it moves in concert with migration. II. Notes: 1) As South Algonquin was formed in 1998, population data is only available from 2001. 2) The Unorganized areas (TWOMOs) have had many geographical boundary changes during this reference period and calculating historical populations accurately would require special /customized data and analysis. 3) All 2006 census data for Nipissing, Unorganized South has been suppressed – its current 2006 population is under evaluation by Statistics Canada. Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability Study, May 2008. I
Page 1 and 2: 800 Housing Starts & Completions (#
Page 3 and 4: ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This study involve
Page 5 and 6: 3) Purpose This study is being unde
Page 7 and 8: All of Nipissing’s municipalities
Page 9 and 10: TABLE OF CONTENTS KEY FINDINGS . .
Page 11 and 12: TABLE OF CONTENTS 14.0 Supportive &
Page 13 and 14: LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page Section
Page 15 and 16: LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 81 Aver
Page 17: LIST OF TABLES Table Page Section V
Page 21 and 22: The Districts urban areas (Mattawa
Page 23 and 24: KEY FINDINGS Nipissing District’
Page 25 and 26: KEY FINDINGS In family terms, the
Page 27 and 28: KEY FINDINGS Structural type of hou
Page 29 and 30: KEY FINDINGS • The decrease in av
Page 31 and 32: KEY FINDINGS It can be noted fro
Page 33 and 34: 10-YEAR POPULATION & HOUSEHOLD FORE
Page 35 and 36: 10-YEAR POPULATION & HOUSEHOLD FORE
Page 37 and 38: • Based on 2006 household incomes
Page 39 and 40: RECOMMENDATIONS The following are t
Page 41 and 42: # RECOMMENDATION BACKGROUND LEAD 10
Page 43 and 44: The construction of Toronto’s Reg
Page 45 and 46: 1.1 Social Housing Devolution Accom
Page 47 and 48: SECTION II: NIPISSING’S KEY HOUSI
Page 49 and 50: Figure 4: Income Distribution, Nipi
Page 51 and 52: Figure 8: Housing Starts & Completi
Page 53 and 54: Figure 12: Housing Roles & Responsi
Page 55 and 56: Nipissing District is not exempt -
Page 57 and 58: Likewise, jumps along the continuum
Page 59 and 60: On the supply side as rental prices
Page 61 and 62: At the District level, affordable h
Page 63 and 64: ii) Affordable housing for the Abor
Page 65 and 66: As the map above indicates, Nipissi
Page 67 and 68: West Nipissing is the next largest
Page 69 and 70:
The District’s population peak in
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Of particular significance is the i
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The 3.5% increase in the number of
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One of the main questions facing th
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By 1998, migration was still negati
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The municipalities are presented in
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During the 15-year period of declin
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The population of East Ferris has d
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Perhaps most significant for Bonfie
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As indicated by the dotted line on
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Below is a comparative summary of t
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In the past 20 years, Mattawa’s s
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As noted on the following chart, th
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Additionally, Chisholm has one of t
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The 20% increase in senior citizens
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Below is a comparative summary of t
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After steady growth in the children
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ii) Aboriginal Groups: Nipissing Di
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X) Unorganized Areas: Nipissing Nor
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The steady growth in households is
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5.3 Household & Family Types: Nipis
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5.3 vi) Multiple- family households
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General household incomes for rente
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These profiles are for households i
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Although they comprise just 11% of
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5.4 iv) Rental-supply implications
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Regarding the apartments that owner
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The number of Nipissing’s househo
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5.6 i) Period of Construction The t
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In 2006, there were 3,415 household
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In comparing the types of housing t
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• Public housing and Urban Native
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6.0 Household Trends: Nipissing’s
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It can be noted from the above tabl
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The chart above shows the percentag
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Notes: 1) The geographical changes
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6.3.2, i) Single Households As seen
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6.4.3) Bonfield, East Ferris and Te
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6.4.2) North Bay Homeownership Leve
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• During the past 20 years, the p
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For West Nipissing renters, the mos
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The clear anomaly in the above char
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Figure 60: Population Projections:
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Figure 62: Population Projections,
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The following table displays these
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The table reveals that a large perc
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• $20,000 - $29,000: approximatel
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8.0 Population and Household Foreca
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In the present low- vacancy environ
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Table 36: Average Tenure by Headshi
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In terms of real growth, the $20K -
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During information sessions, they i
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The above table also shows that the
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SECTION VI: SOCIOECONOMIC CHARACTER
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• The local health region has a g
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Income Figure 66: Individual Income
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Figure 70: Lowest Level of Schoolin
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This is in keeping with one of the
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T he above table pro vides insight
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• Three of the above shelters do
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• Violence Against Women (VAW) is
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The following table lists the suppo
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Some of the points refer to systemi
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It does include PHARA however, whic
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Table 48: Summary Results from Hous
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It can be noted that since Jan. 200
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There are broad affordability indic
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The other notable observation from
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Table 51: Housing Affordability Gap
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t The above indicates that there ar
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16.4) Information Session with Priv
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It can be noted that Nipissing’s
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The above chart is for the period S
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$180 sq. ft. • It can cost $40-$5
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Figure 87: Gaps along t he Nipissin
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18.2 Long-term Care (LTC) Facilitie
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- Renting a room in someone else’
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- This group of students has a larg
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Present Housing Arrangements - Appr
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- Another 23.5% of the employees pa
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19.3 Social Assistance Recipients S
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- For those who pay their rent & ut
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Seniors Present Housing Arrangement
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- In terms of requiring community h
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20.0 Canada-Ontario Affordable Hous
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Complete and Occupied Location: Cou
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The roles as defined in the second
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Earlier in the report it was noted
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In view of the information containe
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The overlapping circles in the abov
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26.2 Housing and Education Intuitiv
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Trying to grow a workforce with a l
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SECTION XI: BEST HOUSING PRACTICES
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27.3 Residential Intensification an
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This document provides a framework
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SECTION XII: MOVING FORWARD There a
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LIST OF ACRONYMS CA: Census Agglome
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Examples are shelters, lodging or r
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Long - Term Care (LTC) Long - Term
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Socioeconomic: Strong Communities S
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Bibliography Assembly of First Nati
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SHS Inc. (Social Housing Strategist
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The greater the difference between
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Additionally, population estimates
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Municipality /Area 1986 1991 1996 2
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) West Nipissing and Mattawa: House
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3.3) Household Type, 1986- 2006 Not
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Household Types: Airy /South Algonq
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East Nipissing Planning Area: House
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3.5) Households by Structural Type,
Page 289 and 290:
Households by Structural Type: Airy
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Number of Dwellings by Period of Co
Page 293 and 294:
Registry Wait List By Month/Area/Fa
Page 295 and 296:
North Bay, Top 25 Employers (based
Page 297 and 298:
Report prepared for the Ontario Pro
Page 299 and 300:
d. Supply of Residential Lots and/o
Page 301 and 302:
8. LAND USE DEVELOPMENT a. General
Page 303 and 304:
c. Household Average Size: d. Suppl
Page 305 and 306:
j. Accessory Apartments: West Nipis
Page 307:
12. PERFORMANCE MEASURES a. Monitor
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