Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability ... - dnssab

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11) Research Team The Researchers for this project are David Plumstead, MBA: DNSSAB Researcher and report Author; Bibiane Sommerville, DNSSAB Affordable Housing Program Facilitator and Victoria Anishnabie, DNSSAB Housing Research Assistant. Any errors or omissions are those of the Author’s. Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability Study, May 2008. viii
TABLE OF CONTENTS KEY FINDINGS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . I RECOMMENDATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . XXI Section I: GOVERNMENT’S ROLE IN PROVIDING AFFORDABLE HOUSING 1.0 General Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Section II: NIPISSING’S KEY HOUSING INDICATORS 2.0 Setting the Stage, Key Housing Indicators. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Section III: HOUSING FRAMEWORK 3.0 Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 3.1 Housing Framework for this Study ……………………………………….. 14 i) Models: Housing Continuum …………………………………… 14 Supply & Demand ……………………………………… 17 3.2 Study Target Group………………………………………………………… 20 i) Low Income Definition ……………………………………………. 20 ii) Low Income Segments ………………………………………….... 21 Section IV: POPULATION & HOUSEHOLD ANALYSIS 4.0 Nipissing District Maps. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 4.1 Population………………………………………………………….............. 24 4.2 Population, Area and Density; 2006……………………………………... 25 4.3 Population trend, 1966 - 2006 …………………………………………… 26 i) Population Trend: Nipissing, Northern Ontario and Ontario ….. 28 4.4 General Age Groups ……………………………………………………… 29 i) General Age Group Trends, 1986 – 2006 ……………………… 29 ii) Population Share by Municipality, TWOMO and First Nation … 33 4.5 Components of Population Change, 1987 – 2006 ……………………. 34 a) Natural Increase …………………………………………………... 34 b) Net Migration ………………………………………………………. 35 c) From an Affordable Housing Need Perspective ……………….. 36 d) From an Affordable Housing Supply Perspective ……………... 37 4.6 Population: Municipalities & Areas……………………………………… 37 I) North Bay …………………………………………………………… 38 II) Bonfield and East Ferris …………………………………………... 41 III) West Nipissing ……………………………………………………... 44 IV) Mattawa …………………………………………………………….. 48 V) Calvin, Mattawan and Papineau-Cameron……………………. 51 VI) Chisholm ……………………………………………………………. 53 VII) Temagami…… ……………………………………………………. 54 VIII) South Algonquin……………………………………………………. 57 IX) Nipissing First Nation………………………………………………. 58 IX.i) Nipissing District’s Aboriginal Population………………………... 61 X) Unorganized Areas: Nipissing North & South (TWOMO)……… 64 5.0 Household Trends: Nipissing District, 1986 – 2006 and Comparison with Ontario, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 5.1 Total # Households and average Size …………………………………. 65 5.2 Household Size, 1 - 6+ persons ………………………………………… 66 5.3 Household & Family Types………………………………………………. 68 i) Household /Family Types by Income, Canada & Nipissing…….. 71 Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability Study, May 2008. ix
Page 1 and 2: 800 Housing Starts & Completions (#
Page 3 and 4: ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This study involve
Page 5 and 6: 3) Purpose This study is being unde
Page 7: All of Nipissing’s municipalities
Page 11 and 12: TABLE OF CONTENTS 14.0 Supportive &
Page 13 and 14: LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page Section
Page 15 and 16: LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 81 Aver
Page 17 and 18: LIST OF TABLES Table Page Section V
Page 19 and 20: KEY FINDINGS The following key find
Page 21 and 22: The Districts urban areas (Mattawa
Page 23 and 24: KEY FINDINGS Nipissing District’
Page 25 and 26: KEY FINDINGS In family terms, the
Page 27 and 28: KEY FINDINGS Structural type of hou
Page 29 and 30: KEY FINDINGS • The decrease in av
Page 31 and 32: KEY FINDINGS It can be noted fro
Page 33 and 34: 10-YEAR POPULATION & HOUSEHOLD FORE
Page 35 and 36: 10-YEAR POPULATION & HOUSEHOLD FORE
Page 37 and 38: • Based on 2006 household incomes
Page 39 and 40: RECOMMENDATIONS The following are t
Page 41 and 42: # RECOMMENDATION BACKGROUND LEAD 10
Page 43 and 44: The construction of Toronto’s Reg
Page 45 and 46: 1.1 Social Housing Devolution Accom
Page 47 and 48: SECTION II: NIPISSING’S KEY HOUSI
Page 49 and 50: Figure 4: Income Distribution, Nipi
Page 51 and 52: Figure 8: Housing Starts & Completi
Page 53 and 54: Figure 12: Housing Roles & Responsi
Page 55 and 56: Nipissing District is not exempt -
Page 57 and 58: Likewise, jumps along the continuum
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On the supply side as rental prices
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At the District level, affordable h
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ii) Affordable housing for the Abor
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As the map above indicates, Nipissi
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West Nipissing is the next largest
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The District’s population peak in
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Of particular significance is the i
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The 3.5% increase in the number of
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One of the main questions facing th
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By 1998, migration was still negati
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The municipalities are presented in
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During the 15-year period of declin
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The population of East Ferris has d
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Perhaps most significant for Bonfie
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As indicated by the dotted line on
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Below is a comparative summary of t
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In the past 20 years, Mattawa’s s
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As noted on the following chart, th
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Additionally, Chisholm has one of t
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The 20% increase in senior citizens
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Below is a comparative summary of t
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After steady growth in the children
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ii) Aboriginal Groups: Nipissing Di
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X) Unorganized Areas: Nipissing Nor
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The steady growth in households is
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5.3 Household & Family Types: Nipis
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5.3 vi) Multiple- family households
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General household incomes for rente
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These profiles are for households i
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Although they comprise just 11% of
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5.4 iv) Rental-supply implications
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Regarding the apartments that owner
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The number of Nipissing’s househo
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5.6 i) Period of Construction The t
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In 2006, there were 3,415 household
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In comparing the types of housing t
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• Public housing and Urban Native
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6.0 Household Trends: Nipissing’s
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It can be noted from the above tabl
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The chart above shows the percentag
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Notes: 1) The geographical changes
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6.3.2, i) Single Households As seen
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6.4.3) Bonfield, East Ferris and Te
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6.4.2) North Bay Homeownership Leve
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• During the past 20 years, the p
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For West Nipissing renters, the mos
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The clear anomaly in the above char
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Figure 60: Population Projections:
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Figure 62: Population Projections,
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The following table displays these
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The table reveals that a large perc
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• $20,000 - $29,000: approximatel
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8.0 Population and Household Foreca
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In the present low- vacancy environ
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Table 36: Average Tenure by Headshi
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In terms of real growth, the $20K -
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During information sessions, they i
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The above table also shows that the
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SECTION VI: SOCIOECONOMIC CHARACTER
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• The local health region has a g
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Income Figure 66: Individual Income
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Figure 70: Lowest Level of Schoolin
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This is in keeping with one of the
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T he above table pro vides insight
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• Three of the above shelters do
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• Violence Against Women (VAW) is
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The following table lists the suppo
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Some of the points refer to systemi
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It does include PHARA however, whic
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Table 48: Summary Results from Hous
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It can be noted that since Jan. 200
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There are broad affordability indic
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The other notable observation from
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Table 51: Housing Affordability Gap
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t The above indicates that there ar
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16.4) Information Session with Priv
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It can be noted that Nipissing’s
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The above chart is for the period S
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$180 sq. ft. • It can cost $40-$5
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Figure 87: Gaps along t he Nipissin
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18.2 Long-term Care (LTC) Facilitie
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- Renting a room in someone else’
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- This group of students has a larg
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Present Housing Arrangements - Appr
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- Another 23.5% of the employees pa
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19.3 Social Assistance Recipients S
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- For those who pay their rent & ut
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Seniors Present Housing Arrangement
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- In terms of requiring community h
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20.0 Canada-Ontario Affordable Hous
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Complete and Occupied Location: Cou
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The roles as defined in the second
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Earlier in the report it was noted
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In view of the information containe
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The overlapping circles in the abov
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26.2 Housing and Education Intuitiv
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Trying to grow a workforce with a l
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SECTION XI: BEST HOUSING PRACTICES
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27.3 Residential Intensification an
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This document provides a framework
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SECTION XII: MOVING FORWARD There a
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LIST OF ACRONYMS CA: Census Agglome
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Examples are shelters, lodging or r
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Long - Term Care (LTC) Long - Term
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Socioeconomic: Strong Communities S
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Bibliography Assembly of First Nati
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SHS Inc. (Social Housing Strategist
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The greater the difference between
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Additionally, population estimates
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Municipality /Area 1986 1991 1996 2
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) West Nipissing and Mattawa: House
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3.3) Household Type, 1986- 2006 Not
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Household Types: Airy /South Algonq
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East Nipissing Planning Area: House
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3.5) Households by Structural Type,
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Households by Structural Type: Airy
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Number of Dwellings by Period of Co
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Registry Wait List By Month/Area/Fa
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North Bay, Top 25 Employers (based
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Report prepared for the Ontario Pro
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d. Supply of Residential Lots and/o
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8. LAND USE DEVELOPMENT a. General
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c. Household Average Size: d. Suppl
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j. Accessory Apartments: West Nipis
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12. PERFORMANCE MEASURES a. Monitor
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