Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability ... - dnssab

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KEY FINDINGS Bonfield has also experienced population decline since 2001 (-2.5%), which occurred within its children and youth age-groups. Although there was no change in the number of Bonfield’s core wage-earners since 2001, this age group presently accounts for approximately 60% of Bonfield’s population which is one of the highest, per-capita rates in Nipissing District. The population-share of seniors in Bonfield is 11% which is the second lowest in the District. West Nipissing has one of the highest rates of ageing in Nipissing District. Since 1986, the senior citizen population of West Nipissing and its former municipalities has nearly doubled (includes the period of municipal restructuring) and the number of seniors is now larger than each of the children and youth populations. As the seniors population is averaging almost twice the growth rate of the wage-earning population, West Nipissing’s dependency ratio of 52 is the second highest in the District. Mattawa’s population decreased by 12% since 2001 which is its largest intercensal decline in the past 40 years. Although the number of seniors has not been increasing significantly in Mattawa, the continual loss of population in the other age groups is resulting in the share of seniors being very high – currently it is 20% which is the second highest in the District. This factor, combined with the declining youth and wage-earning populations results in a dependency ratio of 57 – the highest in Nipissing District. The East Nipissing Planning Area (Calvin, Mattawan and Papineau-Cameron) had average growth of 5.5% since 2001. Although it has a relatively smaller share of seniors compared to the District, the rate of increase in this age group is one of the District’s highest – the seniors population has nearly doubled since 1986. Within Nipissing District, Chisholm has experienced the greatest population growth since 2001 – it has the lowest per-capita share of seniors in Nipissing and one of the highest shares of youth. Chisholm’s senior citizen population remains smaller than each of its children and youth populations and it has the lowest dependency ratio in Nipissing District. Temagami has the highest rate of ageing amongst Nipissing’s municipalities – since 1986, its seniors population has more than doubled (includes the period of municipal restructuring) and the number of seniors is larger than each of the children and youth populations. South Algonquin has the highest per-capita share of seniors and the lowest percapita share of children in Nipissing District – its number of seniors is now larger than both the children and youth populations combined. Additionally, it has the oldest population in Nipissing District, based on a median age of 49. Nipissing First Nation’s seniors population has quintupled since 1986 and the population share of seniors has doubled. Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability Study, May 2008. IV
KEY FINDINGS Nipissing District’s current Aboriginal population (2006) is approximately 7,310 people or 8.5% of the District’s total population. This represents an increase of 19% since 2001, which is far exceeding the growth of the non-Aboriginal population. Approximately 70.5% of the Aboriginal population lives in North Bay, West Nipissing and Mattawa and 17.5% live in other communities throughout the District – only 12.5% live on the Nipissing First Nation Reserve. This urban Aboriginal population represents a growing source of housing demand. Half of the District’s Aboriginal population is Métis while just under half (46.5%) are North American Indians (First Nations). The remaining Aboriginals are Inuit (0.5%), multiple Aboriginal groups (1%) or “other” (Aboriginals who identify themselves as being either a Registered Indian or from a Reserve, but not from one of the groups mentioned above). There are approximately 2.5 times more First Nations people living off-reserve than on reserve (2,490 vs. 900). The majority live in North Bay (60%) and West Nipissing (13.5%). This has significant implications for housing as the Aboriginal population is over-represented in low-income and core housing need. Nipissing District’s Aboriginal population is not only growing much faster than the non-Aboriginal population, it is also much younger. The median age of the District’s aboriginal population is 32 years vs. 42 years for the District. Also, 42% of the Aboriginal population is under the age of 24 years vs. just 30% for the District. On the older end, seniors represent a much smaller share of the Aboriginal population (6.5%) than they do for the District’s overall population (16%). 72% of the Aboriginal children & youth population (0-24 yrs.) live in the District’s urban areas (North Bay, West Nipissing and Mattawa). These children & youth represent a significant percentage of the total children & youth population, in these areas (8%, 15.5% and 27.5% respectively). HOUSEHOLDS, NIPISSING DISTRICT • As of 2006, there are approximately 35,000 households in Nipissing District. Since 1986 the number of households has increased by approximately 28% (7,740 households), or an average of 387 households /year – household growth is outpacing population growth significantly. • Nipissing’s average household size is currently 2.4 persons /household – down by 0.4 persons /household 20 years ago. This is smaller than the provincial and national averages of 2.6 and 2.5 persons /household, respectively. • Approximately 65% of the District’s households contain just 1 or 2 people. Since 1986, the number of 1 & 2-person households has increased by 68% (9,035 households), or an average of 452 households /year. The number of households with 3 or more persons has decreased by 10% (1,360 households), or an average of -68 households /year. Nipissing District Housing Needs, Supply & Affordability Study, May 2008. V
Page 1 and 2: 800 Housing Starts & Completions (#
Page 3 and 4: ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This study involve
Page 5 and 6: 3) Purpose This study is being unde
Page 7 and 8: All of Nipissing’s municipalities
Page 9 and 10: TABLE OF CONTENTS KEY FINDINGS . .
Page 11 and 12: TABLE OF CONTENTS 14.0 Supportive &
Page 13 and 14: LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page Section
Page 15 and 16: LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 81 Aver
Page 17 and 18: LIST OF TABLES Table Page Section V
Page 19 and 20: KEY FINDINGS The following key find
Page 21: The Districts urban areas (Mattawa
Page 25 and 26: KEY FINDINGS In family terms, the
Page 27 and 28: KEY FINDINGS Structural type of hou
Page 29 and 30: KEY FINDINGS • The decrease in av
Page 31 and 32: KEY FINDINGS It can be noted fro
Page 33 and 34: 10-YEAR POPULATION & HOUSEHOLD FORE
Page 35 and 36: 10-YEAR POPULATION & HOUSEHOLD FORE
Page 37 and 38: • Based on 2006 household incomes
Page 39 and 40: RECOMMENDATIONS The following are t
Page 41 and 42: # RECOMMENDATION BACKGROUND LEAD 10
Page 43 and 44: The construction of Toronto’s Reg
Page 45 and 46: 1.1 Social Housing Devolution Accom
Page 47 and 48: SECTION II: NIPISSING’S KEY HOUSI
Page 49 and 50: Figure 4: Income Distribution, Nipi
Page 51 and 52: Figure 8: Housing Starts & Completi
Page 53 and 54: Figure 12: Housing Roles & Responsi
Page 55 and 56: Nipissing District is not exempt -
Page 57 and 58: Likewise, jumps along the continuum
Page 59 and 60: On the supply side as rental prices
Page 61 and 62: At the District level, affordable h
Page 63 and 64: ii) Affordable housing for the Abor
Page 65 and 66: As the map above indicates, Nipissi
Page 67 and 68: West Nipissing is the next largest
Page 69 and 70: The District’s population peak in
Page 71 and 72: Of particular significance is the i
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The 3.5% increase in the number of
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One of the main questions facing th
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By 1998, migration was still negati
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The municipalities are presented in
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During the 15-year period of declin
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The population of East Ferris has d
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Perhaps most significant for Bonfie
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As indicated by the dotted line on
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Below is a comparative summary of t
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In the past 20 years, Mattawa’s s
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As noted on the following chart, th
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Additionally, Chisholm has one of t
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The 20% increase in senior citizens
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Below is a comparative summary of t
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After steady growth in the children
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ii) Aboriginal Groups: Nipissing Di
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X) Unorganized Areas: Nipissing Nor
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The steady growth in households is
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5.3 Household & Family Types: Nipis
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5.3 vi) Multiple- family households
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General household incomes for rente
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These profiles are for households i
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Although they comprise just 11% of
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5.4 iv) Rental-supply implications
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Regarding the apartments that owner
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The number of Nipissing’s househo
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5.6 i) Period of Construction The t
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In 2006, there were 3,415 household
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In comparing the types of housing t
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• Public housing and Urban Native
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6.0 Household Trends: Nipissing’s
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It can be noted from the above tabl
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The chart above shows the percentag
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Notes: 1) The geographical changes
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6.3.2, i) Single Households As seen
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6.4.3) Bonfield, East Ferris and Te
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6.4.2) North Bay Homeownership Leve
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• During the past 20 years, the p
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For West Nipissing renters, the mos
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The clear anomaly in the above char
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Figure 60: Population Projections:
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Figure 62: Population Projections,
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The following table displays these
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The table reveals that a large perc
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• $20,000 - $29,000: approximatel
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8.0 Population and Household Foreca
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In the present low- vacancy environ
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Table 36: Average Tenure by Headshi
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In terms of real growth, the $20K -
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During information sessions, they i
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The above table also shows that the
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SECTION VI: SOCIOECONOMIC CHARACTER
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• The local health region has a g
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Income Figure 66: Individual Income
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Figure 70: Lowest Level of Schoolin
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This is in keeping with one of the
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T he above table pro vides insight
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• Three of the above shelters do
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• Violence Against Women (VAW) is
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The following table lists the suppo
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Some of the points refer to systemi
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It does include PHARA however, whic
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Table 48: Summary Results from Hous
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It can be noted that since Jan. 200
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There are broad affordability indic
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The other notable observation from
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Table 51: Housing Affordability Gap
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t The above indicates that there ar
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16.4) Information Session with Priv
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It can be noted that Nipissing’s
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The above chart is for the period S
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$180 sq. ft. • It can cost $40-$5
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Figure 87: Gaps along t he Nipissin
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18.2 Long-term Care (LTC) Facilitie
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- Renting a room in someone else’
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- This group of students has a larg
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Present Housing Arrangements - Appr
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- Another 23.5% of the employees pa
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19.3 Social Assistance Recipients S
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- For those who pay their rent & ut
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Seniors Present Housing Arrangement
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- In terms of requiring community h
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20.0 Canada-Ontario Affordable Hous
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Complete and Occupied Location: Cou
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The roles as defined in the second
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Earlier in the report it was noted
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In view of the information containe
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The overlapping circles in the abov
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26.2 Housing and Education Intuitiv
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Trying to grow a workforce with a l
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SECTION XI: BEST HOUSING PRACTICES
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27.3 Residential Intensification an
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This document provides a framework
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SECTION XII: MOVING FORWARD There a
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LIST OF ACRONYMS CA: Census Agglome
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Examples are shelters, lodging or r
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Long - Term Care (LTC) Long - Term
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Socioeconomic: Strong Communities S
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Bibliography Assembly of First Nati
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SHS Inc. (Social Housing Strategist
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The greater the difference between
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Additionally, population estimates
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Municipality /Area 1986 1991 1996 2
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) West Nipissing and Mattawa: House
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3.3) Household Type, 1986- 2006 Not
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Household Types: Airy /South Algonq
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East Nipissing Planning Area: House
Page 287 and 288:
3.5) Households by Structural Type,
Page 289 and 290:
Households by Structural Type: Airy
Page 291 and 292:
Number of Dwellings by Period of Co
Page 293 and 294:
Registry Wait List By Month/Area/Fa
Page 295 and 296:
North Bay, Top 25 Employers (based
Page 297 and 298:
Report prepared for the Ontario Pro
Page 299 and 300:
d. Supply of Residential Lots and/o
Page 301 and 302:
8. LAND USE DEVELOPMENT a. General
Page 303 and 304:
c. Household Average Size: d. Suppl
Page 305 and 306:
j. Accessory Apartments: West Nipis
Page 307:
12. PERFORMANCE MEASURES a. Monitor
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