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Prospects for Coal Briquettes as a Substitute Fuel for Wood and ...

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must be <strong>as</strong>certained. The location of coal deposftsr economic vdabil ity,<br />

<strong>and</strong> proximity to existing transportation systems <strong>and</strong> markets must a1 so<br />

be defined. The coal deposits' location <strong>and</strong> their proximity to existing<br />

Infr<strong>as</strong>tructure w i l l affect the cost of the coal briquetting technology.<br />

2. -W&KFT ASS-T. In order to determine the best c<strong>and</strong>idate<br />

communities <strong>and</strong> users8 a market fe<strong>as</strong>ibil ity study should be undertaken.<br />

Where fe<strong>as</strong>ible, a prel iminary step to carrying out the market study<br />

would be to <strong>as</strong>sess the capabilities of local market research flrmsj one<br />

of these firms could implement the actual study. The market <strong>as</strong>sessment<br />

i tsel f shoul d i ncl ude examinati on of the target popul ati on8<br />

socioeconomic <strong>and</strong> cultural characteristics (particularly with respect to<br />

cookinglr urban fuel user fuel prices, <strong>and</strong> obstacles to acceptance of<br />

the new coal-b<strong>as</strong>ed fuel, etc.<br />

The ma.rket study should begin with a thorough <strong>as</strong>sessment of current<br />

fuels used, their sourcesI their prices, <strong>and</strong> the quantities used per<br />

year. The <strong>as</strong>sessment w i l l in most c<strong>as</strong>es occur in selected urban<br />

centers <strong>for</strong> re<strong>as</strong>ons noted below. The fuel types <strong>and</strong> quantities will<br />

affect the volume of coal <strong>and</strong> bricuettes that can pstentlally penetrate<br />

the market. The prices of alternative fuels w i l l be a primary<br />

determinant of the potential of smDkeless coal briquettes. Not only the<br />

current pricer but a near-term fcirec<strong>as</strong>t of fuel prices <strong>and</strong> quantities<br />

would be helpful in determining the necessary entry price <strong>for</strong> coal<br />

briquettes. A1 so, determining the current sources of firwood <strong>and</strong><br />

charcoal supply would help evaluate the potential <strong>for</strong> smokeless coal<br />

briquettes to penetrate the fuel use market <strong>and</strong> reduce de<strong>for</strong>estation.<br />

An <strong>as</strong>sessment of the country's demographics <strong>and</strong> a particul <strong>as</strong> examination<br />

of the target populationfs socioeconomic <strong>and</strong> cultural make-up are a<br />

second part to the market study. Examination of the proportion of<br />

people in cities versus those in rural are<strong>as</strong> <strong>and</strong> the distribution of the<br />

inhabitants in these settings w ill affect the market potentlal of<br />

briquettes. It seems clear that in most countrfes, the initial<br />

introduction of smoke1 ess coal briquettes w 111 take pl ace in urban<br />

are<strong>as</strong>? both to take advantage of a concentrated market <strong>and</strong> because the<br />

fuel<strong>Wood</strong> deficiencies are most acute in cities. Also9 the rural<br />

population may not be in a commercial firewood market, <strong>and</strong> generating a<br />

commerci a1 market <strong>for</strong> briquettes coul d be di fficul t.<br />

The market <strong>as</strong>sessment should examine energy use by fuel type in<br />

different economic Sectors, incl udi ng househol dsr commerci a1<br />

establ ishments, small industries, <strong>and</strong> pub1 ic institutions. The:<br />

potenti a1 <strong>for</strong> substitution of smoke1 ess coal briquettes in each of these<br />

sectors must be eval uated. Besides pricer one highly significant factor<br />

<strong>for</strong> substitution possibil ities is consumer acceptance. What<br />

characteristics must the briquette have to obtain acceptance, e.g.<br />

sizet shapet ignitibil ity, packagiEg, distribution points, needs <strong>for</strong> new<br />

equipment? How does the user feel about using smokeless coal relative<br />

to the current fuel used? One approach is to conduct surveys of certain<br />

sectorsp say the househol d <strong>and</strong> commerci a1 sectors. These surveys<br />

<strong>as</strong>sessi ng the potenti a1 acceptance of smoke1 ess coal briquettes cou7 d be<br />

tied together with the in<strong>for</strong>mation gathering on current fuel use <strong>and</strong><br />

prices.

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