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<strong>Document</strong><br />

Page 105<br />

What we get from this static exercise is an indication of how the parameters of the model ought to affect<br />

the balance between the centripetal forces that favor agglomeration and the centrifugal forces that<br />

oppose it. Agglomeration is favored by low transport costs (low τ), a large share of manufacturing in<br />

the economy (high µ) and strong economies of scale at the level of the firm (low σ).<br />

This is, however, only an analysis of a static, two-location equilibrium. We now turn to dynamics in a<br />

multi-location example.<br />

Dynamics in a Multi-Location Model:<br />

The Economy as a Self-Organizing System<br />

We now turn to a dynamic, multi-location model. In doing so we find that paper-and-pencil analysis<br />

will no longer suffice, and must be supplemented with numerical methods. Since the model has only a<br />

few parameters, however, it is not hard to use numerical methods to explore its properties fairly<br />

thoroughly; and the numerical results are easy to understand given the intuition developed in the twolocation<br />

case.<br />

We assume, then that there are J › 2 locations, and we return to the assumption that agricultural workers<br />

are equally distributed among the locations, with a share 1/J in each.<br />

In a many-location model it is necessary to specify the matrix of distances between locations. I choose<br />

the simplest setup that preserves symmetry: the locations are equally spaced around a circle, with<br />

transportation possible only along the circle's circumference. We let the distance between any two<br />

neighboring locations equal 1. In the numerical examples described shortly, we consider in particular<br />

the case of 12 locations, laid out like a clock face.<br />

<strong>file</strong>:///<strong>D|</strong>/Export3/<strong>www</strong>.<strong>netlibrary</strong>.<strong>com</strong>/<strong>nlreader</strong>/<strong>nlreader</strong>.<strong>dll</strong>@bookid=409&<strong>file</strong>name=page_105.html [4/18/2007 10:31:53 AM]

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