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Page 46<br />
You know the answer. But let me point out the specific problem: it is <strong>com</strong>pletely unclear what is being<br />
maximized when a firm chooses a point of maximum market potential. Indeed, if you think about it at<br />
all you realize that the whole idea of <strong>com</strong>puting market potential in the way that I have described must<br />
implicitly involve some strong beliefs about market structure. Firms cannot exhibit constant returns to<br />
scale otherwise one would simply establish a facility to serve every market, and there would be no<br />
reason to <strong>com</strong>pute a single market potential surface for the whole of the United States or the European<br />
Union. Nor can they be producing goods that are perfect substitutes; there would be sharply defined<br />
market areas after the manner of Lösch, not smooth potential surfaces with no edges. Thus the market<br />
potential approach seems to have an implicit monopolistic <strong>com</strong>petition story lurking underneath but that<br />
story is entirely implicit, and had to be so, since monopolistic <strong>com</strong>petition was not something people<br />
knew how to model during the heyday of the market potential approach.<br />
Cumulative Causation<br />
One immediately obvious implication of the market potential analysis is the possibility of circularity.<br />
Firms want to locate where market potential is high, that is, near large markets. But markets will tend to<br />
be large where lots of firms locate. So one is led naturally to a consideration of the possibility of selfreinforcing<br />
regional growth or decline.<br />
I am not entirely clear on how well geographers understood this point. The pioneering paper by Harris<br />
(1954) certainly pointed out that regions with high market potential,<br />
<strong>file</strong>:///<strong>D|</strong>/Export2/<strong>www</strong>.<strong>netlibrary</strong>.<strong>com</strong>/<strong>nlreader</strong>/<strong>nlreader</strong>.<strong>dll</strong>@bookid=409&<strong>file</strong>name=page_46.html [4/18/2007 10:30:15 AM]