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can only be ended definitively by making those tools good enough to transcend those limitations.<br />

Page 73<br />

All of this is, I suppose, fairly uncontroversial when we are talking about understanding natural systems<br />

like the weather. But what happens when we turn to social systems, like the economy? Then many<br />

people suddenly adopt a very different attitude.<br />

Modeling in Economics<br />

When it <strong>com</strong>es to physical science, few people have problems with the idea that to study <strong>com</strong>plex<br />

systems it is necessary to build simplified models. When we turn to social science, however, the whole<br />

issue of modeling begins to raise people's hackles. Suddenly the idea of representing the relevant<br />

system through a set of simplifications that are dictated at least in part by the available techniques<br />

be<strong>com</strong>es highly objectionable. Everyone accepts that it was reasonable for meteorologists to represent<br />

the earth, at least for a first pass, with a flat dish, because that was what was practical. But what do you<br />

think about the decision of most economists between 1820 and 1970 to represent the economy as a set<br />

of perfectly <strong>com</strong>petitive markets, because a model of perfect <strong>com</strong>petition was what they knew how to<br />

build? It's essentially the same thing, but it raises howls of indignation.<br />

Why is our attitude so different when we <strong>com</strong>e to social science? There are some discreditable reasons:<br />

like Victorians offended by the suggestion that they were descended from apes, some humanists<br />

imagine that their dignity is threatened when human society is represented as the moral equivalent of a<br />

dish on a turntable. Also, the most<br />

<strong>file</strong>:///<strong>D|</strong>/Export2/<strong>www</strong>.<strong>netlibrary</strong>.<strong>com</strong>/<strong>nlreader</strong>/<strong>nlreader</strong>.<strong>dll</strong>@bookid=409&<strong>file</strong>name=page_73.html [4/18/2007 10:30:31 AM]

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