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<strong>Document</strong><br />

Page 62<br />

(specifically central-place theory), social physics (specifically the market potential approach),<br />

cumulative causation, and localized external economies make perfectly good sense in terms of a<br />

rigorous economic model. They don't <strong>com</strong>e out exactly the way their originators presented them, but the<br />

basic insights stand up quite well.<br />

Moreover, it turns out that all four traditions are really different aspects of the same story different ways<br />

of looking at the same thing. This may not be too surprising an insight about traditions 2, 3, and 4.<br />

Consider first a snapshot of my model economy at a point in time, which is to say with some given<br />

distribution of manufacturing across space. We will, of course, find that some locations are more<br />

desirable for manufacturing than others. And we will not be surprised to find that the desirability of<br />

sites can be measured by a market potential index that is rather more <strong>com</strong>plicated than the ones used by<br />

the social physicists but still recognizably related.<br />

Next consider how the economy evolves. Manufacturing will move toward more desirable sites and<br />

away from less desirable ones, but in so doing it will change the market potential map, typically<br />

reinforcing the advantage of already-favored locations. Thus market potential be<strong>com</strong>es part of a story of<br />

circular and cumulative causation.<br />

Finally, the clustering of production that results from this dynamic process can be seen as the<br />

consequence of a kind of pecuniary external economy, not really inconsistent with Marshall's<br />

description.<br />

What may seem more obscure is how central-place theory could fit into the same scheme. Indeed, it<br />

does not fit quite as easily, partly because central-place theory is often expressed as if central places<br />

served only the demands of an evenly spread farm population. If you think about it, of<br />

<strong>file</strong>:///<strong>D|</strong>/Export2/<strong>www</strong>.<strong>netlibrary</strong>.<strong>com</strong>/<strong>nlreader</strong>/<strong>nlreader</strong>.<strong>dll</strong>@bookid=409&<strong>file</strong>name=page_62.html [4/18/2007 10:30:25 AM]

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