12.07.2015 Views

Course Notes - Department of Mathematics and Statistics

Course Notes - Department of Mathematics and Statistics

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8.3 Attributable Risk (AR)The attributable risk (AR) is given by w/(w+x) - y/(y+z).• So in our vaccine example:• Risk for being in vaccine group = 984• Risk for being in placebo group = 2285• Attributable Risk = 9 84 − 2285 = 0.15• We normally give the attributable risk as a whole number, so inthis example we would multiply it by 100, <strong>and</strong> say that in every100 people vaccinated there will be 15 fewer cases <strong>of</strong> flu, than ifthey had not been vaccinated.• Normally multiply by the smallest multiple <strong>of</strong> 10 that convertsour value to a whole number.8.4 Odds Ratio (OR)• Odds ratio (OR) gives the odds <strong>of</strong> an outcome relative to exposure.• It tends to be used in case-control studies (see why shortly)• It is calculated as a ratio <strong>of</strong> the odds <strong>of</strong> outcome for the exposedgroup to the odds <strong>of</strong> outcome for the unexposed group.OR = w/xy/z = wzxyDental enamel erosion example• Remember case-control is a retrospective study.• Is there an association between exposure to chlorinated water <strong>and</strong>dental enamel erosion?Erosion <strong>of</strong> EnamelSwim Time Per Week Yes (Cases) No (Controls) Total≥ 6 hrs 32 118 150< 6 hours 17 127 14449 245 294144

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